cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kurtis Rourke /Indiana

Kurtis Rourke

QB · Indiana · Sr · #9

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLSan Francisco — drafted 2025, Rd 7, Pick 11, #227 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

San FranciscoEntering 2nd NFL season

#227Rd 7 · Pick 11
San FranciscoEntering 2nd NFL season

QB · INDIANA · BIG TEN

Kurtis Rourke

  • 4
  • #9
  • 6-5 | 222 lb
  • Oakville, ON

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#5

6.3% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

6.3%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

In contention

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 5 · Apex

R15 · POTY finalist

Position-of-the-Year finalist. Among the nation's elite at the position.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R15 POTY finalist · 2024

2021

Ohio · QB

2022

Ohio · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2023

Ohio · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2024

Indiana · QB

R15 · POTY finalist

Apex

NFL Draft 2025 · Rd 7, Pick 11 · #227 overall · San Francisco

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2024
1,8172021
3,2562022
2,2072023
3,0422024

+67%

Up 67% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2221 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
R7 · #227
San Francisco · 2025

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey9
Measurements6-5 | 222 lb
HometownOakville, ON
Primary teamIndiana

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2221 recruit
Composite rating 0.8115 HighSchool
Signed with Ohio 2019
Origin Holy Trinity Canada, CANA, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 3-star | 0.8115 No. 2221 recruit | HighSchool | Ohio

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4Where the full season sim points
Win probability6.3%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability34.5%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability98.4%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Ohio

Composite

0.8115

#2221 national

NFL Draft

2025 · Rd 7, Pick 11

#227 overall · San Francisco

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kurtis Rourke

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kurtis Rourke

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the transfer arc matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kurtis Rourke's card is compelling because the national relevance arrived fast after a change in surroundings. The transfer path matters: when a player changes programs and still rises into the #5 tier, it usually means the role, production, and team fit all clicked immediately.

Current place #5 6.3% win | 34.5% finalist
Role load 46.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 3,042 29 TD | 5 INT | #35/382 (91st pct)
Completion rate 69.4% 222/320 completions | #71/383 (82nd pct)
Yards/attempt 9.5 Explosiveness through the air | #38/382 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient | Vertical threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficientVertical threatPocket-leaning

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
222 87th
ATT
320 83rd
CMP%
69.4% 82nd
Y/A
9.5 90th

Passing Production

YDS
3,042 91st
TD
29 98th
INT
5 32nd

Rushing

CAR
46 67th
YDS
-35 5th
YPC
-0.8 13th
TD
2 73rd

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Ohio3-9HC: Tim Albin · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2022Ohio10-4HC: Tim Albin · Balanced
2023Ohio10-3HC: Tim Albin · Run-leaning
2024Indiana11-2HC: Curt Cignetti · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2024Indiana22232069.4%3,0429.5295176.0----
2023Ohio19530763.5%2,2077.2115132.5----
2022Ohio24435369.1%3,2569.2254167.7----
2021Ohio17126165.5%1,8177.0117132.5----
Career4 loaded seasons8321,24167.0%10,3228.37621153.7----
SeasonTeam
2024Indiana46-35-0.82--
2023Ohio672193.34--
2022Ohio742493.44--
2021Ohio743274.43--
Career4 loaded seasons2617602.913--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact -35 2 rush TD | #389/408 (5th pct)
Usage 46.9% 93.6% pass share | 6.5% rush share | #107/428 (75th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.63 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #1/200 (100th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 3,042 #35/382 91st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 29 #9/407 98th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 222 #51/383 87th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 69.4% #71/383 82nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 9.5 #38/382 90th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards -35 #389/408 5th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.63 #1/200 100th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 349 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 46.9% #107/428 75th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 320 #71/407 83rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 5 #276/407 32nd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 46 #134/408 67th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 12 #261/391 34th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #113/408 73rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry -0.8 #354/407 13th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 93.6% #38/428 91st pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 65.4% #66/428 85th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 60.5% #108/428 75th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 46.8% #104/428 76th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 41.6% #100/428 77th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 40.6% #104/428 76th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 6.5% #236/428 45th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #163/258 37th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Curt Cignetti

Pass share

38.7%

404 pass / 641 run

Plays / game

65.3

16 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.3%

275 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2024

2 coaches
2021
Tom Allen
Indiana
2022
Tom Allen
Indiana
2023
Tom Allen
Indiana
2024
Curt Cignetti
Indiana
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Tom Allen → Curt Cignetti. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOakville, ON
Height6'5"
Weight222 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

4 entries
🥈

ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM

All-Conf 1st team (2024)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

4 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Big Ten all_conference Indiana | Big Ten QB
2024 All-Big Ten all_conference Big Ten --
2023 All-MAC all_conference Ohio | MAC QB
2022 All-MAC all_conference Ohio | MAC QB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Indiana QB4 #5 #4 6.3% 34.5% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Ohio QB4 #69 #73 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Ohio QB4 #52 #83 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American
2021 Ohio QB4 #384 #665 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Indiana Big Ten QB 4 No. 9 | 6-5 | 222 lb | Oakville, ON
2023 Ohio Mid-American QB 4 No. 9 | 6-5 | 222 lb | Oakville, ON
2022 Ohio Mid-American QB 4 No. 9 | 6-5 | 222 lb | Oakville, ON
2021 Ohio Mid-American QB 4 No. 9 | 6-5 | 222 lb | Oakville, ON