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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kyron Drones /Virginia Tech

Kyron Drones

QB · Virginia Tech · Sr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1,919 PASS YDS · 17 PASS TD · 644 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Virginia Tech for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Virginia Tech for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · Virginia Tech

Returning around him

  • 50% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (27 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Virginia Tech · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #40 · 2026 recruiting class #39

QB · VIRGINIA TECH · ACC

Kyron Drones

  • 4
  • #1
  • 6-2 | 235 lb
  • Pearland, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

40

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 68th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#896

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
In Their Words 96 windows · 2025 fan posts
nine×432.3kyron×648.5seven×69.5virginia×19.1

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2022–2025
2192022
2,0842023
1,9192025

+776%

Up 776% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#263 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey1
Measurements6-2 | 235 lb
HometownPearland, TX
Primary teamVirginia Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 263 recruit
Composite rating 0.9087 HighSchool
Signed with Baylor 2021
Origin Shadow Creek Pearland, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9087 No. 263 recruit | HighSchool | Baylor

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Virginia Tech 2023
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 5, 2022
Season Move Context
2023 Baylor -> Virginia Tech 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#896Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#845Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (644).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Baylor

Composite

0.9087

#263 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kyron Drones

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

70

Grounded Optimism

Sample 5 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 8 mentions · belief +37 · "Virginia Tech football: Everyone is excited about Virginia Tech QB Ethan Grunkem"Own fansRivals: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "I’ll be there and I’ll try to rally my section to be loud. Need to humble this g"Rivals
  • Own fans · n=8
  • Rivals · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kyron Drones

Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

QB rushing weighted-EPA

+0.340

EPA

P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 50 carries

National rank #20 of 46
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 50 carries 58th

Why it matters

#20 of 46 P4 + Notre Dame QBs among scrambling QBs by rushing weighted-EPA — +0.340 EPA per run on 137 carries.

Vs cohort

This player +0.340 (58th)

HIGH · n=137 cohort 46

  • Also strong
  • TD : INT ratio#48 / 72
  • Combined WEPA per play (pass + rush)#49 / 57
  • Passing yards (total)#55 / 72

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
1,919Pass yards
17Pass TDs
9INT
Per game
159.9Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
2,079Pass yards
18Pass TDs
10INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,919): needs 1,081/game over remaining 1.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,919): needs 2,081/game over remaining 1.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 17): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 17): needs 13/game over remaining 1.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 17): needs 18/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Kyron Drones's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Virginia Tech, he has 1,919 passing yards and 17 touchdown passes, but he also adds 644 rushing yards and 9 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #896 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 62.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 263 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 1,919 17 TD | 9 INT | #97/382 (75th pct)
Completion rate 56.5% 178/315 completions | #266/383 (31st pct)
Yards/attempt 6.1 Explosiveness through the air | #254/382 (34th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Steady volumeDual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
178 77th
ATT
315 82nd
CMP%
56.5% 31st
Y/A
6.1 34th

Passing Production

YDS
1,919 75th
TD
17 86th
INT
9 12th

Rushing

CAR
170 98th
YDS
644 95th
YPC
3.8 63rd
TD
9 95th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1L 11-24@ South Carolina15/35221026.344.0
Wk 2L 20-44vs Vanderbilt17/29134104.662.7
Wk 3L 26-45vs Old Dominion26/39266316.832.63 TD passes
Wk 4W 38-6vs Wofford27/32307209.670.5Season-high 307 yds
Wk 5W 23-21@ NC State20/34177205.253.3
Wk 6L 23-30vs Wake Forest14/28111114.027.0
Wk 7L 20-35@ Georgia Tech13/21181218.667.7
Wk 9W 42-34vs California9/18119316.686.73 TD passes
Wk 10L 16-28vs Louisville11/2476103.245.0
Wk 12L 14-34@ Florida State10/18125116.961.5
Wk 13L 17-34vs Miami12/21124005.943.5
Wk 14L 7-27@ Virginia4/1678124.910.6
Total178/31519191796.150.4
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Baylor6-7HC: Dave Aranda · Run-leaning
2023Virginia Tech7-6HC: Brent Pry · Run-leaning
2025Virginia Tech3-9HC: Brent Pry · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Virginia Tech17831556.5%1,9196.1179119.8----
2023Virginia Tech16628558.2%2,0847.3173137.2----
2022Baylor142360.9%2199.511146.5----
Career3 loaded seasons35862357.5%4,2226.83513128.8----
SeasonTeam
2025Virginia Tech1706443.89--
2023Virginia Tech1668184.95--
2022Baylor8496.12--
Career3 loaded seasons3441,5114.416--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 644 9 rush TD | #20/408 (95th pct)
Usage 62.8% 97.5% pass share | 33.8% rush share | #7/428 (99th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.22 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #130/200 (36th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 1,919 #97/382 75th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 17 #57/407 86th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 178 #91/383 77th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 56.5% #266/383 31st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 6.1 #254/382 34th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 644 #20/408 95th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.22 #130/200 36th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 310 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 62.8% #7/428 99th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 315 #75/407 82nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 9 #359/407 12th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 170 #11/408 98th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 33 #99/391 75th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 9 #23/408 95th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.8 #153/407 63rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 97.5% #5/428 99th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 83.8% #3/428 100th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 77.9% #10/428 98th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 61.9% #15/428 97th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 55.3% #12/428 97th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 50.7% #29/428 93rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 33.8% #9/428 98th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.34 #28/140 81st pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 137 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 4 #237/258 9th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home7g1621.65.80.4
Road5g1561.26.41.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins3g2012.37.10.3
Losses9g1461.15.70.9

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-77g2001.66.40.7
Weeks 8+5g1041.25.50.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

40Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (89th). Strength: rush tds (86th). Concern: fumbles lost (8th).

Rush yards#20 / 183 · 89th pct
644rush
Rush TDs#21 / 183 · 86th pct
9rush
Pass TDs#57 / 183 · 68th pct
17pass
Pass yards#97 / 183 · 47th pct
1919pass
Interceptions#135 / 183 · 22nd pct
9pass
Yards / att#150 / 183 · 16th pct
6.1pass
Completion %#155 / 183 · 16th pct
56.5%pass
Fumbles lost#154 / 174 · 8th pct
4fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

120/204 (58.8%) · 11 TD · 5 INT

Short

0–9 yds
58%of completions
70 comp5.2 yds avg5 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
23%of completions
28 comp13.7 yds avg4 TD

Deep

20+ yds
18%of completions
22 comp29.2 yds avg2 TD

Overall 58.8% completion on 204 attempts · 22 deep completions averaging 29.2 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Concerns: EPA / dropback.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.220
23th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.22Below (<p25) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.34Mid (p50–p75) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Kyron DronesVirginia TechMalik WashingtonMaryland· 81% simRyan BrownePurdue· 80% simNoah KimEastern Michigan· 78% sim
Rush yards
89
Drones
73
Washington
61
Browne
59
Kim
Rush TDs
86
Drones
59
Washington
59
Browne
74
Kim
Pass TDs
68
Drones
68
Washington
33
Browne
72
Kim
Pass yards
47
Drones
79
Washington
56
Browne
76
Kim
Interceptions
22
Drones
22
Washington
14
Browne
10
Kim
Yards / att
16
Drones
21
Washington
23
Browne
46
Kim
Completion %
16
Drones
20
Washington
29
Browne
42
Kim
Fumbles lost
8
Drones
38
Washington
18
Browne
18
Kim

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Scrambler

Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Braylon Braxton’s 2022 season.

Braylon Braxton

70%match

Tulsa · 2022

#2

Mark Gronowski

Iowa · 2025

67%
#3

Brendan Sorsby

Indiana · 2023

66%
#4

Grant Wilson

Old Dominion · 2023

64%
#5

Lunch Winfield

Louisiana · 2025

63%

Matches Braylon on

Weight
Rush yards / carry

Differs from Braylon on

INT rate (higher)
Recruiting rating (higher)
Rush usage (higher)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Logan Smothers’s path through Jacksonville State.

Logan Smothers

88%match

Jacksonville State · 2024

#2

TJ Lateef

Nebraska · 2025

86%
#3

Lunch Winfield

Louisiana · 2025

85%
#4

Bryson Barnes

Utah State · 2025

All-Mountain West
85%
#5

Jason Brown

Jackson State · 2023

84%

Matches Logan on

Height
Completion %
Recruiting rating

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Brennan Armstrong's senior season at NC State (2023).

Brennan Armstrong

60%match

NC State · 2023

All-ACC
#2

Robby Ashford

Wake Forest · 2025

58%
#3

Ashton Daniels

Auburn · 2025

All-ACC
54%
#4

Emory Jones

Cincinnati · 2023

53%
#5

Payton Thorne

Auburn · 2023

50%

Matches Brennan on

Yards / attempt
Total pass EPA (college ability)

Differs from Brennan on

Weight (higher)
TD rate (higher)
Completion % (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brent Pry

Pass share

42.0%

319 pass / 441 run

Plays / game

63.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.5%

296 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Brent Pry
Virginia Tech
2023
Brent Pry
Virginia Tech
2025
Brent Pry
Virginia Tech

Played his entire career under Brent Pry.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPearland, TX
Height6'2"
Weight235 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Virginia Tech QB4 #896 #845 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Virginia Tech QB4 #72 #104 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Baylor QB4 #309 #318 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 Baylor QB4 #912 #584 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Virginia Tech ACC QB 4 No. 1 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Pearland, TX
2024 Virginia Tech ACC QB 4 No. 1 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Pearland, TX
2023 Virginia Tech ACC QB 4 No. 1 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Pearland, TX
2022 Baylor Big 12 QB 4 No. 1 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Pearland, TX
2021 Baylor Big 12 QB 4 No. 1 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Pearland, TX