cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Logan Loya /Minnesota

Logan Loya

WR · Minnesota · Sr · #17

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

61 REC YDS · 10 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Minnesota for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Minnesota for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Minnesota

Returning around him

  • 44% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 Minnesota player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (19 in / 20 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Minnesota · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #41 · 2026 recruiting class #49

WR · MINNESOTA · BIG TEN

Logan Loya

  • 4
  • #17
  • 5-11 | 190 lb
  • Garden Grove, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

5

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 39th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#675

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
22.02021
2842022
6552023
3482024
61.02025

+177%

Up 177% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#323 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey17
Measurements5-11 | 190 lb
HometownGarden Grove, CA
Primary teamMinnesota

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 323 recruit
Composite rating 0.8993 HighSchool
Signed with UCLA 2020
Origin St. John Bosco Bellflower, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 4-star | 0.8993 No. 323 recruit | HighSchool | UCLA

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Minnesota 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 23, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 UCLA -> Minnesota 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#675Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1029Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to UCLA

Composite

0.8993

#323 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Logan Loya

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Logan Loya

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
61Rec yards
10Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
8.7Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
113.3Rec yards
19Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 61): needs 106.5/game over remaining 6.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 61): needs 156.5/game over remaining 6.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 10): needs 8.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 10): needs 11.7/game over remaining 6.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.7/game over remaining 6.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Logan Loya's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Minnesota, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #675 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 323 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 10 0 rec TD | #578/1110 (48th pct)
Receiving yards 61 6.1 per catch | #745/1107 (33rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 56 Total offensive yardage | #745/1107 (33rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
10 48th
YDS
61 33rd
YPR
6.1 10th
TD
0 45th

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
-5 8th
YPC
-5.0 6th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 23-10vs Buffalo2189.0010
Wk 2W 66-0vs Northwestern State
Wk 3L 14-27@ California11010.0010
Wk 5W 31-28vs Rutgers4276.8010Season-high 27 yds
Wk 6L 3-42@ Ohio State1-1-1.000
Wk 8W 24-6vs Nebraska177.007
Wk 12L 13-42@ Oregon100.000
Total10615.3010
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021UCLA8-4HC: Chip Kelly · Run-heavy
2022UCLA9-4HC: Chip Kelly · Run-leaning
2023UCLA8-5HC: Chip Kelly · Run-leaning
2024UCLA5-7HC: Deshaun Foster · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Minnesota8-5HC: P.J. Fleck · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Minnesota10616.10--
2024UCLA2934812.04--
2023UCLA5965511.15--
2022UCLA1828415.83--
2021UCLA22211.00--
Career5 loaded seasons1181,37011.612--
SeasonTeam
2025Minnesota1-5------
2024UCLA----1256--
2023UCLA------123--
2022UCLA----1041--
2021UCLA------35--
Career5 loaded seasons1-522255--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.2% 5.9% pass-game share | #778/1137 (32nd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 10 #578/1110 48th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 61 #745/1107 33rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 6.1 #993/1106 10th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 5.9% #778/1137 32nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards -5 #367/397 8th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry -5.0 #371/393 6th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 10 #965/1105 13th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 1 #182/237 24th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.6% #581/1137 49th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.6% #611/1137 46th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 3.3% #635/1137 44th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.2% #727/1137 36th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 3.0% #906/1137 20th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 1.4% #960/1137 16th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.5% #284/1137 75th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g1.813.07.60.0
Road3g1.03.03.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g1.813.07.60.0
Losses3g1.03.03.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g1.610.86.20.0
Weeks 8+2g1.03.53.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

5Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long catch (0th).

Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Rush yards#267 / 287 · 6th pct
-5rush
Yards / catch#554 / 558 · 1st pct
6.1rece
Rec yards#558 / 558 · 0th pct
61rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
10rece
Long catch#559 / 558 · 0th pct
10rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Logan LoyaMinnesotaMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 56% simChauncy CobbArkansas State· 45% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 44% sim
Rush TDs
39
Loya
39
III
39
Cobb
39
Gibson
Rec TDs
7
Loya
24
III
24
Cobb
7
Gibson
Rush yards
6
Loya
6
III
12
Cobb
76
Gibson
Yards / catch
1
Loya
9
III
25
Cobb
15
Gibson
Rec yards
0
Loya
70
III
87
Cobb
74
Gibson
Receptions
0
Loya
92
III
98
Cobb
92
Gibson
Long catch
0
Loya
16
III
58
Cobb
56
Gibson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

P.J. Fleck

Pass share

51.7%

397 pass / 371 run

Plays / game

59.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.3%

302 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

1 coach
2021
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
2022
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
2023
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
2024
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
2025
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota

Played his entire career under P.J. Fleck.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGarden Grove, CA
Height5'11"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey17

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UCLA WR4 #675 #1029 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 UCLA WR4 #451 #503 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 UCLA WR4 #558 #525 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12
2021 UCLA WR4 #2164 #2050 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Minnesota Big Ten WR 4 No. 17 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Garden Grove, CA
2024 UCLA Big Ten WR 4 No. 17 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Garden Grove, CA
2023 UCLA Pac-12 WR 4 No. 17 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Garden Grove, CA
2022 UCLA Pac-12 WR 4 No. 17 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Garden Grove, CA
2021 UCLA Pac-12 WR 4 No. 17 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Garden Grove, CA