cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Luis Medina /Troy

Luis Medina

DT · Troy · Sr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

36 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Troy for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Troy for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive tackle · Troy

Returning around him

  • 33% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (14 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Troy · Last season: 8-6 · Talent rank #99 · 2026 recruiting class #82

DT · TROY · SUN BELT

Luis Medina

  • 4
  • #1
  • 6-1 | 305 lb
  • Summerville, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

54

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12170

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

5 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2021

Troy · DT

2022

Troy · DT

2023

Troy · DT

2024

Troy · DT

2025

Troy · DT

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Troy
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDT
Class4
Jersey1
Measurements6-1 | 305 lb
HometownSummerville, GA
Primary teamTroy

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12170Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12615Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Luis Medina

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Luis Medina

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
36Tackles
4Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
39Tackles
4.3Tackles for loss
2.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 36): needs 44/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 36): needs 64/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Luis Medina is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Troy's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 4.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12170 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 36 8 solo | #1060/4942 (79th pct)
TFL 4.0 Backfield disruption | #738/4972 (85th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
36 79th
SOLO
8 50th
TFL
4.0 85th
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
1 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 38-20vs Nicholls311.01.00
Wk 2L 16-27@ Clemson100.00.00
Wk 3L 7-28vs Memphis200.50.50
Wk 4W 21-17@ Buffalo411.00.00
Wk 6W 31-24vs South Alabama620.00.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 7W 48-41@ Texas State220.00.00
Wk 8W 37-14@ UL Monroe210.00.00
Wk 9W 35-23vs Louisiana410.50.50
Wk 10L 10-23vs Arkansas State400.50.00
Wk 12L 0-33@ Old Dominion400.50.00
Wk 13W 31-19vs Georgia State300.00.00
BowlL 13-17@ Jacksonville State100.00.00
Total3684.02.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Troy5-7HC: Chip Lindsey · Balanced
2022Troy12-2HC: Jon Sumrall · Run-leaning
2023Troy11-3HC: Jon Sumrall · Balanced
2024Troy4-8HC: Gerad Parker · Run-leaning
2025Troy8-6HC: Gerad Parker · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Troy3684.02.0------
2024Troy1791.50.0------
2023Troy23112.01.0------
2022Troy310.50.0------
2021Troy28112.52.5------
Career5 loaded seasons1074010.55.5------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 36 #1060/4942 79th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 4.0 #738/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 8 #2283/4584 50th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Defensive TD 1 #23/200 89th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g3.70.40.30.0
Road6g2.30.20.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g3.40.40.20.0
Losses5g2.40.30.10.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.70.40.20.0
Weeks 8+5g3.40.30.10.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DT cohort

54Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: passes defended (17th).

Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Tackles for loss#736 / 2975 · 73rd pct
4.0defe
Tackles#1060 / 2975 · 64th pct
36defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Solo tackles#2282 / 2975 · 21st pct
8defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DT · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Luis MedinaTroyMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 66% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 65% simJohnny Chaney Jr.Florida International· 65% sim
Sacks
80
Medina
80
Parker
63
Davey
89
Jr.
Tackles for loss
73
Medina
87
Parker
91
Davey
91
Jr.
Tackles
64
Medina
98
Parker
99
Davey
99
Jr.
QB hurries
55
Medina
88
Parker
82
Davey
55
Jr.
Forced fumbles
47
Medina
47
Parker
47
Davey
47
Jr.
Solo tackles
21
Medina
96
Parker
99
Davey
100
Jr.
Passes defended
18
Medina
18
Parker
18
Davey
48
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Nose Anchor

Two-gap space-eater who occupies blockers and frees the linebackers.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Warren Dabney’s 2022 season.

Warren Dabney

92%match

Western Michigan · 2022

#2

Adarius McWilliams

UAB · 2023

90%
#3

Ka'Darian Hill

Ole Miss · 2022

89%
#4

Herbert Gums Jr.

Boise State · 2022

89%
#5

Jaylon Hutchings

Texas Tech · 2021

88%

Matches Warren on

Weight
TFL rate
Sack rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Gerad Parker

Pass share

47.1%

431 pass / 484 run

Plays / game

65.4

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

17.0%

342 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
Chip Lindsey
Troy
2022
Jon Sumrall
Troy
era →
2023
Jon Sumrall
Troy
2024
Gerad Parker
Troy
era →
2025
Gerad Parker
Troy

Played under 3 different head coaches: Chip Lindsey, Jon Sumrall, and Gerad Parker. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSummerville, GA
Height6'1"
Weight305 lb
Class4
PositionDT
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Sun Belt all_conference Troy | Sun Belt DL

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Troy DT4 #12170 #12615 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Troy DT4 #7335 #7434 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Troy DT4 #9296 #8822 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt
2021 Troy DT4 #9483 #9809 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Troy Sun Belt DT 4 No. 1 | 6-1 | 305 lb | Summerville, GA
2024 Troy Sun Belt DT 4 No. 1 | 6-1 | 305 lb | Summerville, GA
2023 Troy Sun Belt DT 4 No. 1 | 6-1 | 305 lb | Summerville, GA
2022 Troy Sun Belt DT 4 No. 1 | 6-1 | 305 lb | Summerville, GA
2021 Troy Sun Belt DT 4 No. 1 | 6-1 | 305 lb | Summerville, GA