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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Mark Hensley /Northern Illinois

Mark Hensley

DT · Northern Illinois · So · #10

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

31 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Northern Illinois for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Northern Illinois for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive tackle · Northern Illinois

Returning around him

  • 53% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -17 net (5 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Northern Illinois · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #125 · 2026 recruiting class #84

DT · NORTHERN ILLINOIS · MID-AMERICAN

Mark Hensley

  • 2
  • #10
  • 6-3 | 290 lb
  • Labadie, MO

CFB Zeitgeist Score

56

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11813

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2239 national
CFB
College
Northern Illinois
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDT
Class2
Jersey10
Measurements6-3 | 290 lb
HometownLabadie, MO
Primary teamNorthern Illinois

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2239 recruit
Composite rating 0.8037 HighSchool
Signed with Northern Illinois 2023
Origin Washington Washington, MO, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8037 No. 2239 recruit | HighSchool | Northern Illinois

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11813Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11720Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Northern Illinois

Composite

0.8037

#2239 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Mark Hensley

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Mark Hensley

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
31Tackles
5Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
37Tackles
5.9Tackles for loss
1.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 31): needs 24.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 31): needs 34.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 4.5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Mark Hensley is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Northern Illinois's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 5.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11813 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 1.0 sacks | 5.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 31 18 solo | #1302/4942 (74th pct)
TFL 5.0 Backfield disruption | #553/4972 (89th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
31 74th
SOLO
18 74th
TFL
5.0 89th
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
1 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 19-17vs Holy Cross200.50.00
Wk 2L 9-20@ Maryland111.00.00
Wk 4L 10-38@ Mississippi State100.50.00
Wk 5L 3-6vs San Diego State210.00.00
Wk 6L 14-25vs Miami (OH)551.00.00
Wk 7L 10-16@ Eastern Michigan320.50.00
Wk 8L 21-48@ Ohio100.00.00
Wk 9W 21-7vs Ball State761.01.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 12W 45-3@ Massachusetts200.00.00
Wk 13L 19-35vs Western Michigan320.00.00
Wk 14L 31-35vs Kent State410.50.00
Total31185.01.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Northern Illinois3-9HC: Thomas Hammock · Run-heavy, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Northern Illinois31185.01.0------
Career1 loaded season31185.01.0------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 31 #1302/4942 74th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.0 #553/4972 89th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 18 #1178/4584 74th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g3.80.50.20.0
Road5g1.60.40.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g3.70.50.30.0
Losses8g2.50.40.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.30.60.00.0
Weeks 8+5g3.40.30.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DT cohort

56Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: passes defended (17th).

Tackles for loss#553 / 2975 · 80th pct
5.0defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Solo tackles#1178 / 2975 · 59th pct
18defe
Tackles#1302 / 2975 · 55th pct
31defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DT · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Mark HensleyNorthern IllinoisMicah DaveyUTEP· 73% simMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 72% simDaniel WingateMaryland· 72% sim
Tackles for loss
80
Hensley
91
Davey
87
Parker
87
Wingate
Sacks
63
Hensley
63
Davey
80
Parker
74
Wingate
Solo tackles
59
Hensley
99
Davey
96
Parker
99
Wingate
Tackles
55
Hensley
99
Davey
98
Parker
98
Wingate
QB hurries
55
Hensley
82
Davey
88
Parker
72
Wingate
Passes defended
18
Hensley
18
Davey
18
Parker
48
Wingate

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to James Smith’s 2024 season.

James Smith

91%match

Alabama · 2024

#2

Edric Hill

Alabama · 2025

89%
#3

Sean FitzSimmons

Pittsburgh · 2024

88%
#4

Corey McIntyre Jr.

West Virginia · 2025

88%
#5

Saadiq Clements

North Texas · 2025

83%

Matches James on

Weight
Class year
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Corey McIntyre Jr.'s sophomore season at West Virginia (2025).

Corey McIntyre Jr.

89%match

West Virginia · 2025

#2

Saadiq Clements

North Texas · 2025

85%
#3

Francis Brewu

Pittsburgh · 2025

84%
#4

Ashton Coker

UTEP · 2025

82%
#5

Rodney Lora

UCF · 2025

82%

Matches Corey on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Thomas Hammock

Pass share

33.0%

244 pass / 495 run

Plays / game

61.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.3%

234 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Thomas Hammock
Northern Illinois

Played his entire career under Thomas Hammock.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLabadie, MO
Height6'3"
Weight290 lb
Class2
PositionDT
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Northern Illinois DT2 #11813 #11720 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Northern Illinois DT2 #13338 #13033 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Northern Illinois Mid-American DT 2 No. 10 | 6-3 | 290 lb | Labadie, MO
2024 Northern Illinois Mid-American DT 2 No. 10 | 6-3 | 290 lb | Labadie, MO
2023 Northern Illinois Mid-American DT 2 No. 10 | 6-3 | 290 lb | Labadie, MO