cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Saadiq Clements /North Texas

Saadiq Clements

DL · North Texas · So · #98

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

30 TACKLES · 1.5 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred North Texas → Oklahoma State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Oklahoma State

2025North Texas
2026Oklahoma State

DL · NORTH TEXAS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Saadiq Clements

  • 2
  • #98
  • 6-4 | 290 lb
  • Henderson, KY

CFB Zeitgeist Score

58

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 74th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11348

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#701 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class2
Jersey98
Measurements6-4 | 290 lb
HometownHenderson, KY
Primary teamNorth Texas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 701 recruit
Composite rating 0.8761 HighSchool
Signed with Louisville 2023
Origin Henderson County Henderson, KY, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8761 No. 701 recruit | HighSchool | Louisville

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Oklahoma State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 10, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 North Texas -> Oklahoma State 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2025 Louisville -> North Texas 3-star | 0.8100 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11348Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11311Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Louisville

Composite

0.8761

#701 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Saadiq Clements

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Saadiq Clements

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
30Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
35Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
1.8Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 30): needs 25/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 30): needs 35/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1.5): needs 2.2/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1.5): needs 4.2/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Saadiq Clements is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on North Texas's defense, with 1.5 sacks, 5.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11348 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 30 15 solo | #1362/4942 (72nd pct)
TFL 5.5 Backfield disruption | #477/4972 (90th pct)
Sacks 1.5 Pass-rush finish | #724/4972 (85th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
30 72nd
SOLO
15 69th
TFL
5.5 90th
SACK
1.5 85th
QBH
1 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 2W 33-30@ Western Michigan100.00.00
Wk 3W 59-10vs Washington State100.00.00
Wk 4W 45-38@ Army421.00.00
Wk 5W 36-22vs South Alabama211.00.00
Wk 7L 36-63vs South Florida742.01.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 8W 55-17vs UTSA110.00.00
Wk 9W 54-20@ Charlotte000.00.00
Wk 10W 31-17vs Navy210.00.00
Wk 12W 53-24@ UAB411.50.50
Wk 15L 21-34@ Tulane440.00.00
BowlW 49-47@ San Diego State410.00.00
Total30155.51.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced
2025North Texas12-2HC: Eric Morris · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025North Texas30155.51.5------
2024Louisville110.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons31165.51.5------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 30 #1362/4942 72nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.5 #477/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.5 #724/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 15 #1434/4584 69th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.60.60.20.0
Road6g2.80.40.10.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g2.10.40.10.0
Losses2g5.51.00.50.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.20.70.20.0
Weeks 8+5g2.20.30.10.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

58Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (82nd). Concern: passes defended (17th).

Tackles for loss#477 / 2975 · 83rd pct
5.5defe
Sacks#707 / 2975 · 74th pct
1.5defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Tackles#1362 / 2975 · 53rd pct
30defe
Solo tackles#1434 / 2975 · 50th pct
15defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Saadiq ClementsNorth TexasMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 71% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 70% simJackson KuwatchMiami (OH)· 69% sim
Tackles for loss
83
Clements
87
Parker
91
Davey
96
Kuwatch
Sacks
74
Clements
80
Parker
63
Davey
96
Kuwatch
QB hurries
55
Clements
88
Parker
82
Davey
55
Kuwatch
Tackles
53
Clements
98
Parker
99
Davey
98
Kuwatch
Solo tackles
50
Clements
96
Parker
99
Davey
95
Kuwatch
Passes defended
18
Clements
18
Parker
18
Davey
48
Kuwatch

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to James Smith’s 2024 season.

James Smith

85%match

Alabama · 2024

#2

Mark Hensley

Northern Illinois · 2025

83%
#3

Jalen Logan-Redding

Minnesota · 2022

81%
#4

John Tate IV

Memphis · 2021

All-AAC
81%
#5

Rodney Lora

UCF · 2025

80%

Matches James on

Weight
Sack rate
Class year

Differs from James on

Height (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Rodney Lora's sophomore season at UCF (2025).

Rodney Lora

86%match

UCF · 2025

#2

Mark Hensley

Northern Illinois · 2025

85%
#3

Jerod Smith II

Kentucky · 2025

83%
#4

David Anderson

Duke · 2024

83%
#5

Corey McIntyre Jr.

West Virginia · 2025

82%

Matches Rodney on

Class year
Sack rate
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Eric Morris

Pass share

48.5%

475 pass / 504 run

Plays / game

69.9

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.9%

321 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Eric Morris
North Texas
2025
Eric Morris
North Texas

Played his entire career under Eric Morris.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHenderson, KY
Height6'4"
Weight290 lb
Class2
PositionDL
Jersey98

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Louisville DL2 #11348 #11311 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Louisville DL2 #8684 #8261 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 North Texas American Athletic DL 2 No. 98 | 6-4 | 290 lb | Henderson, KY
2024 Louisville ACC DL 2 No. 98 | 6-4 | 290 lb | Henderson, KY
2023 Louisville ACC DL 2 No. 98 | 6-4 | 290 lb | Henderson, KY