cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Michael Phoenix II /Sam Houston

Michael Phoenix II

WR · Sam Houston · Sr · #4

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

40 REC YDS · 4 REC · 0 REC TD

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Sam Houston)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Sam Houston
DestinationTBD

WR · SAM HOUSTON · CONFERENCE USA

Michael Phoenix II

  • 4
  • #4
  • 6-0 | 215 lb
  • Conroe, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

5

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 17th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3417

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#101 national
CFB
College
Sam Houston
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey4
Measurements6-0 | 215 lb
HometownConroe, TX
Primary teamSam Houston

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 101 recruit
Composite rating 0.8242 JUCO
Signed with Sam Houston 2024
Origin Kilgore College Conroe, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8242 No. 101 recruit | JUCO | Sam Houston

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 10, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Sam Houston -> -- 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3417Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3181Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Sam Houston

Composite

0.8242

#101 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Michael Phoenix II

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Michael Phoenix II

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
40Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
20Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
260Rec yards
26Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 40): needs 60/game over remaining 11.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 40): needs 87.3/game over remaining 11.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 4): needs 5.1/game over remaining 11.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 4): needs 6.9/game over remaining 11.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.9/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Michael Phoenix II's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Sam Houston, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3417 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 4 0 rec TD | #767/1110 (31st pct)
Receiving yards 40 10.0 per catch | #815/1107 (26th pct)
Scrimmage yards 40 Total offensive yardage | #815/1107 (26th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
4 31st
YDS
40 26th
YPR
10.0 33rd
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2L 20-37@ Hawai'i2199.5012
Wk 8L 17-35vs UTEP22110.5011Season-high 21 yds
Total44010.0012
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Sam Houston2-10HC: Phil Longo · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Sam Houston44010.00--
Career1 loaded season44010.00--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.8% 16.1% pass-game share | #197/1137 (83rd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 4 #767/1110 31st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 40 #815/1107 26th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 10.0 #746/1106 33rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 16.1% #197/1137 83rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 12 #915/1105 17th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 20.0% #3/1137 100th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 16.7% #26/1137 98th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 10.0% #219/1137 81st pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.8% #156/1137 86th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 3.0% #683/1137 40th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 0.0% #1017/1137 11th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home1g2.021.010.50.0
Road1g2.019.09.50.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Losses2g2.020.010.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g2.019.09.50.0
Weeks 8+1g2.021.010.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

5Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#462 / 558 · 17th pct
10.0rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Long catch#555 / 558 · 1st pct
12rece
Rec yards#558 / 558 · 0th pct
40rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
4rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Michael Phoenix IISam HoustonMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 47% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 42% simAaron TurnerRice· 39% sim
Yards / catch
17
II
9
III
15
Gibson
1
Turner
Rec TDs
7
II
24
III
7
Gibson
68
Turner
Long catch
1
II
16
III
56
Gibson
65
Turner
Rec yards
0
II
70
III
74
Gibson
48
Turner
Receptions
0
II
92
III
92
Gibson
92
Turner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Phil Longo

Pass share

51.3%

388 pass / 368 run

Plays / game

63.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.1%

324 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Phil Longo
Sam Houston

Played his entire career under Phil Longo.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownConroe, TX
Height6'0"
Weight215 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Sam Houston WR4 #3417 #3181 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Sam Houston Conference USA WR 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Conroe, TX
2024 Sam Houston Conference USA WR 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Conroe, TX