CFB Zeitgeist Score
37
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 92nd percentile.
NaQuari Rogers
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
387 RUSH YDS · 11 RUSH TD · 98 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Utah for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Utah
Returning around him
- 14% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 3 Utah players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -3 net (17 in / 20 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Utah · Last season: 11-2 (AP #15) · Talent rank #44 · 2026 recruiting class #40
RB · UTAH · BIG 12
NaQuari Rogers
- 4
- #21
- 5-10 | 205 lb
- Virginia Beach, VA
Heisman Heat
#4110
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Utah
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8317 | No. 1838 recruit | HighSchool | Campbell |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Campbell
Composite
0.8317
#1838 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on NaQuari Rogers
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about NaQuari Rogers
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
387Rush yards
98Carries
11Rush TDs
Per game
32.2Rush yards
8Carries
1Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
419.2Rush yards
106Carries
12Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 387): needs 363/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 387): needs 613/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 387): needs 1,113/game over remaining 1.
✓ Hit 10 rushing TDs · finished with 11.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 11): needs 4/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 11): needs 9/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
NaQuari Rogers's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Utah, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
98 77th
YDS
387 71st
YPC
3.9 30th
TD
11 96th
Receiving
REC
3 33rd
YDS
43 45th
YPR
14.3 93rd
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 43-10@ UCLA | 16 | 61 | 3.8 | 1 | 10 | Season-high 61 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 63-9vs Cal Poly | 7 | 31 | 4.4 | 2 | 7 | |
| Wk 3 | W 31-6@ Wyoming | 13 | 60 | 4.6 | 1 | 23 | |
| Wk 4 | L 10-34vs Texas Tech | 10 | 37 | 3.7 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 5 | W 48-14@ West Virginia | 13 | 61 | 4.7 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 7 | W 42-10vs Arizona State | 12 | 48 | 4.0 | 2 | 22 | |
| Wk 8 | L 21-24@ BYU | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 9 | W 53-7vs Colorado | 8 | 25 | 3.1 | 1 | 8 | |
| Wk 10 | W 45-14vs Cincinnati | 8 | 20 | 2.5 | 1 | 5 | |
| Wk 12 | W 55-28@ Baylor | 6 | 27 | 4.5 | 2 | 20 | |
| Wk 13 | W 51-47vs Kansas State | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Bowl | W 44-22vs Nebraska | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 1 | 6 | |
| Total | 98 | 387 | 3.8 | 11 | 23 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 387 | #214/735 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 11 | #27/739 | 96th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.9 | #516/735 | 30th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 3 | #371/552 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 43 | #302/548 | 45th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.23 | #35/362 | 91st pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 92 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 10.9% | #291/738 | 61st pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 98 | #169/739 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 23 | #358/733 | 51st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 32 | #114/540 | 79th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 14.3 | #39/548 | 93rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 18.0% | #292/738 | 61st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 14.0% | #240/738 | 68th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 12.7% | #283/738 | 62nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 10.4% | #328/738 | 56th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.7% | #354/738 | 52nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 1.9% | #618/738 | 16th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 1.2% | #480/738 | 35th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 25.1 | 3.6 | 1.0 |
| Road5g | 42.2 | 3.9 | 0.8 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins10g | 34.8 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| Losses2g | 19.5 | 2.9 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 44.1 | 4.1 | 1.0 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 15.6 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
37Mid-pack
Elite: rush tds (91st). Concern: receptions (8th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.23High (p75–p90) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
NaQuari RogersUtahTae MeadowsTroy· 71% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 69% simJordan GantAkron· 68% sim
Rush TDs
Carries
Rush yards
Rec yards
Long run
Yards / carry
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Marcus Carroll’s 2024 season.
Marcus Carroll
70%match
#2
Scottre Humphrey
All-Mountain West
61%
#3
Sandon McCoy
53%
#4
Ronald Awatt
46%
#5
Ryan Montgomery
56%
Matches Marcus on
Weight
EPA / carry (adj)
Yards / carry
Differs from Marcus on
Rush TD rate (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jemel Jones's junior season at Army (2022).
Jemel Jones
76%match
#2
Brandon Thomas
71%
#3
Ryan Montgomery
71%
#4
Jordan McCloud
All-Sun Belt
63%
#5
Mike Hollins
65%
Matches Jemel on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Yards / carry
Weight
Differs from Jemel on
EPA / carry (adj) (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kyle Whittingham
Pass share
39.8%
371 pass / 562 run
Plays / game
71.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.2%
289 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Kyle Whittingham
Utah
Played his entire career under Kyle Whittingham.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownVirginia Beach, VA
Height5'10"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey21
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUtah
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | New Mexico | RB4 | #4110 | #4525 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah | Big 12 | RB | 4 | No. 21 | 5-10 | 205 lb | Virginia Beach, VA |
| 2024 | New Mexico | Mountain West | RB | 4 | No. 21 | 5-10 | 205 lb | Virginia Beach, VA |