CFB Zeitgeist Score
25
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 42nd percentile.
Nicholas Cenacle
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
223 REC YDS · 28 REC · 2 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Hawai'i for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Wide receiver · Hawai'i
Returning around him
- 46% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- Transfer portal: +7 net (16 in / 9 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Hawai'i · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #120 · 2026 recruiting class #124
WR · HAWAI'I · MOUNTAIN WEST
Nicholas Cenacle
- 4
- #3
- 6-2 | 200 lb
- Montreal, PQ
Heisman Heat
#4480
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR03 · Backup
Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2025+125%
Up 125% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Hawai'i
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Nicholas Cenacle
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Nicholas Cenacle
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving TDs
2
count
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #302 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 43rd
Why it matters
#302 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 2 TDs on 28 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 2 (43th)
MODERATE · n=28 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#476 / 531
- Yards per reception#495 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 8 at Colorado State — 1 receiving_tds
Result W 31-19
The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Colorado State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 7g
223Rec yards
28Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
31.9Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
414.1Rec yards
52Receptions
4Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 223): needs 79.5/game over remaining 6.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 223): needs 129.5/game over remaining 6.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 28): needs 5.3/game over remaining 6.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 28): needs 8.7/game over remaining 6.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1/game over remaining 6.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1.3/game over remaining 6.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Nicholas Cenacle's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Hawai'i, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
28 73rd
YDS
223 61st
YPR
8.0 17th
TD
2 75th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 7 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 23-20vs Stanford | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 1 | L 6-40@ Arizona | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 7 | W 44-26vs Utah State | 6 | 57 | 9.5 | 0 | 26 | |
| Wk 8 | W 31-19@ Colorado State | 7 | 70 | 10.0 | 1 | 24 | Season-high 70 yds |
| Wk 10 | L 38-45@ San José State | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 11 | W 38-6vs San Diego State | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Bowl | W 35-31vs California | 8 | 59 | 7.4 | 1 | 22 | |
| Total | 28 | 223 | 6.7 | 2 | 26 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Hawai'i3-10HC: Timmy Chang · Pass-leaning
2023Hawai'i5-8HC: Timmy Chang · Pass-heavy
2025Hawai'i9-4HC: Timmy Chang · Pass-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 28 | #303/1110 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 223 | #436/1107 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #281/1111 | 75th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 8.0 | #918/1106 | 17th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 12.1% | #374/1137 | 67th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 26 | #650/1105 | 41st pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 13.9% | #74/1137 | 94th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.2% | #379/1137 | 67th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 7.7% | #230/1137 | 80th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 7.5% | #180/1137 | 84th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 7.4% | #276/1137 | 76th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.4% | #375/1137 | 67th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 7 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 4.5 | 32.5 | 5.7 | 0.2 |
| Road3g | 3.3 | 31.0 | 8.0 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 5.0 | 40.0 | 6.6 | 0.4 |
| Losses2g | 1.5 | 11.5 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 4.8 | 36.5 | 7.5 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 3.0 | 25.7 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
25Below cohort
Concern: yards / catch (3rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Nicholas CenacleHawai'iMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 69% simAaron TurnerRice· 64% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 59% sim
Receptions
Rec TDs
Rec yards
Long catch
Yards / catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to CJ Windham’s 2021 season.
CJ Windham
87%match
#2
Javon Ivory
79%
#3
Julian Ortega-Jones
79%
#4
Jeremiah Noga
79%
#5
Peter LeBlanc
78%
Matches CJ on
Total EPA (college ability)
Height
Yards / reception
Differs from CJ on
Class year (higher)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Marshel Martin’s path through Sacramento State.
Marshel Martin
100%match
#2
Devin Young
99%
#3
Karim Page
97%
#4
Petey Tucker
96%
#5
Efton Chism III
94%
Matches Marshel on
Yards per reception
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jeremiah Noga's senior season at Washington State (2025).
Jeremiah Noga
83%match
#2
Javon Ivory
80%
#3
Jadon Thompson
79%
#4
Eric Holley
77%
#5
Donnie Gray
76%
Matches Jeremiah on
Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Yards / reception
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Timmy Chang
Pass share
60.2%
540 pass / 357 run
Plays / game
69.0
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
427 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Timmy Chang
Hawai'i
2023
Timmy Chang
Hawai'i
2025
Timmy Chang
Hawai'i
Played his entire career under Timmy Chang.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMontreal, PQ
Height6'2"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey3
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamHawai'i
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Hawai'i | WR4 | #4480 | #4778 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Hawai'i | WR4 | #2936 | #3611 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | Hawai'i | WR4 | #3741 | #4433 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 3 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Montreal, PQ |
| 2024 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 3 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Montreal, PQ |
| 2023 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 3 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Montreal, PQ |
| 2022 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 3 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Montreal, PQ |