cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jordan Shipp /North Carolina

Jordan Shipp

WR · North Carolina · So · #1

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Jordan Shipp is a cornerstone for North Carolina — measured against the line he joined.

671REC YDS60REC6REC TD

4★ · NATIONAL RECRUIT

No.118

recruiting national rank

Read the story so far

Jordan Shipp arrived as a 4-star prospect, the No.118 recruit nationally. He lines up at WR for North Carolina.

On the field, the headline is 671 rec yds, with 60 rec.

How many games until Nathan Leacock (4★) takes the job from Jordan Shipp?

The clock is the open loop — and it is already ticking.

WR successioncontinuity
  • Pushed byNathan Leacock 4★
  • How many games until Nathan Leacock (4★) takes the job from Jordan Shipp?
Why nowThe WR job is the open question heading into 2026.
  • season totals
  • recruiting national rank
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to North Carolina for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to North Carolina for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · North Carolina

Returning around him

  • 16% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -11 net (20 in / 31 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

North Carolina · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #31 · 2026 recruiting class #41

WR · NORTH CAROLINA · ACC

Jordan Shipp

  • 2
  • #1
  • 6-2 | 190 lb
  • Charlotte, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

66

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 87th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3380

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#118 national
CFB
College
North Carolina
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey1
Measurements6-2 | 190 lb
HometownCharlotte, NC
Primary teamNorth Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 118 recruit
Composite rating 0.9470 HighSchool
Signed with North Carolina 2024
Origin Providence Day School Charlotte, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.9470 No. 118 recruit | HighSchool | North Carolina

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3380Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3373Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (671).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to North Carolina

Composite

0.9470

#118 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jordan Shipp

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Breakdown: Jordan Shipp &nbsp;&nbsp; 247Sports"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jordan Shipp

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving yards (total)

671

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #106 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 80th

Why it matters

#106 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 671 yards on 60 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 671 (80th)

HIGH · n=60 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#55 / 531
  • Yards per reception#337 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 14 at NC State — 90 receiving_yards_total

Result L 19-42

The week the volume broke through — put up 90 yds at NC State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
671Rec yards
60Receptions
6Rec TDs
Per game
55.9Rec yards
5Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
726.9Rec yards
65Receptions
6Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 671): needs 29/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 671): needs 329/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 60.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 60): needs 20/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 2/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jordan Shipp's story is about how role and output meet each other. For North Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3380 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 11.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 118 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 60 6 rec TD | #61/1110 (95th pct)
Receiving yards 671 11.2 per catch | #113/1107 (90th pct)
Scrimmage yards 679 Total offensive yardage | #113/1107 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
60 95th
YDS
671 90th
YPR
11.2 44th
TD
6 95th

Rushing

CAR
2 53rd
YDS
8 45th
YPC
4.0 47th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 14-48vs TCU48421.0039
Wk 2W 20-3@ Charlotte2136.507
Wk 3W 41-6vs Richmond45213.02292 TD catches
Wk 4L 9-34@ UCF34414.7024
Wk 6L 10-38vs Clemson5418.2021
Wk 8L 18-21@ California4194.806
Wk 9L 16-17vs Virginia7679.6023
Wk 10W 27-10@ Syracuse66410.7121
Wk 11W 20-15vs Stanford58316.6155
Wk 12L 12-28@ Wake Forest4317.8013
Wk 13L 25-32vs Duke88310.4122
Wk 14L 19-42@ NC State89011.3120Season-high 90 yds
Total6067111.2655
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025North Carolina4-8HC: Bill Belichick · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025North Carolina6067111.26--
Career1 loaded season6067111.26--
SeasonTeam
2025North Carolina28------
Career1 loaded season28------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 11.7% 21.8% pass-game share | #63/1137 (95th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 6 Across offense and returns | #56/1111 (95th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 60 #61/1110 95th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 671 #113/1107 90th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 6 #56/1111 95th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.2 #619/1106 44th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 21.8% #63/1137 95th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 8 #220/397 45th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 7 #212/346 39th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 4.0 #211/393 47th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 2 #194/407 53rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 55 #215/1105 81st pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 14.7% #54/1137 95th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 12.9% #100/1137 91st pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 11.7% #45/1137 96th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 11.2% #53/1137 95th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 11.2% #75/1137 93rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 10.4% #54/1137 95th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.7% #239/1137 79th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g5.568.313.10.7
Road6g4.543.59.30.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g4.253.011.71.0
Losses8g5.457.411.00.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.646.812.70.4
Weeks 8+7g6.062.410.20.6

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

66Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (88th). Strength: rec tds (86th).

Receptions#61 / 558 · 89th pct
60rece
Rec TDs#56 / 558 · 87th pct
6rece
Rec yards#113 / 558 · 80th pct
671rece
Long catch#189 / 558 · 65th pct
55rece
Rush yards#165 / 287 · 41st pct
8rush
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Yards / catch#385 / 558 · 30th pct
11.2rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Jordan ShippNorth CarolinaDonovan FaupelNew Mexico State· 96% simDevin MccuinUTSA· 95% simRyan DavisUtah· 91% sim
Receptions
89
Shipp
90
Faupel
93
Mccuin
91
Davis
Rec TDs
87
Shipp
92
Faupel
95
Mccuin
68
Davis
Rec yards
80
Shipp
79
Faupel
84
Mccuin
83
Davis
Long catch
65
Shipp
65
Faupel
60
Mccuin
67
Davis
Rush yards
41
Shipp
47
Mccuin
Rush TDs
39
Shipp
39
Mccuin
Yards / catch
30
Shipp
24
Faupel
30
Mccuin
36
Davis

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cortez Braham’s 2024 season.

Cortez Braham

80%match

Nevada · 2024

#2

Rashee Rice

SMU · 2020

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 24
74%
#3

Sam Brown

Houston · 2022

78%
#4

Theo Wease Jr.

Missouri · 2023

78%
#5

Grant DuBose

Charlotte · 2022

All-Conference USANFL Rd 7
78%

Matches Cortez on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Weight

Differs from Cortez on

Class year (lower)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Antwan Davis’s path through Ball State.

Antwan Davis

100%match

Ball State · 2020

#2

Louis Brown

Baylor · 2025

99%
#3

Neno Lemay

Nicholls · 2023

98%
#4

Trent Walker

Oregon State · 2025

94%
#5

Max Tomczak

Youngstown State · 2025

93%

Matches Antwan on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Cam Coleman's sophomore season at Auburn (2025).

Cam Coleman

76%match

Auburn · 2025

#2

Kwazi Gilmer

UCLA · 2025

74%
#3

Jalen McMillan

Washington · 2021

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 29
74%
#4

Nick Marsh

Michigan State · 2025

74%
#5

Audie Omotosho

East Carolina · 2021

72%

Matches Cam on

Yards / reception
Height
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Cam on

Recruiting rating (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bill Belichick

Pass share

51.1%

355 pass / 340 run

Plays / game

57.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

262 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Bill Belichick
North Carolina

Played his entire career under Bill Belichick.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCharlotte, NC
Height6'2"
Weight190 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 North Carolina WR2 #3380 #3373 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 North Carolina ACC WR 2 No. 1 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Charlotte, NC
2024 North Carolina ACC WR 2 No. 1 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Charlotte, NC