Last confirmed: Memphis, 2015. No 2026 box-score games on record.
6′7″ · Deltona, FL · Trinity Christian Academy
Paxton Lynch: QB · Memphis · #12.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Paxton Lynch
Picks you apart underneath and protects the ball. 2 stars out of high school, two seasons of real snaps at Memphis since. A game that shows it: 447 passing yards and 6 rushing yards against Tulsa — Week 8, 2015.
Play style
High-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
63.3% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 39.6% conversion-per-dropback — 32.3% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
9 of 13 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (69.2%). 2 of the team's 34 inside-the-5 carries (5.9%).
No outlet on our list has written about him by name this season.
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Game log · Week-by-week
2015 season · 13 games
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| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 63-7vs Missouri State | 8/12 | 78 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 | 84.1 | |
| Wk 2 | W 55-23@ Kansas | 22/25 | 354 | 2 | 0 | 14.2 | 95.5 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 3 | W 44-41@ Bowling Green | 29/40 | 386 | 3 | 0 | 9.6 | 88.8 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 4 | W 53-46vs Cincinnati | 24/36 | 412 | 2 | 0 | 11.4 | 80.3 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 5 | W 24-17@ South Florida | 20/33 | 305 | 2 | 0 | 9.2 | 72.8 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 7 | W 37-24vs No. 13 Ole Miss | 39/53 | 384 | 3 | 1 | 7.2 | 63.1 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 8 | W 66-42@ Tulsa | 32/44 | 447 | 4 | 0 | 10.2 | 96.0 | Season-high 447 yds |
| Wk 9 | W 41-13vs Tulane | 26/42 | 343 | 1 | 0 | 8.2 | 68.3 | |
| Wk 10 | L 20-45vs Navy | 26/42 | 305 | 1 | 1 | 7.3 | 67.9 | |
| Wk 11 | L 34-35@ No. 16 Houston | 20/31 | 278 | 2 | 1 | 9.0 | 69.1 | |
| Wk 12 | L 12-31@ Temple | 25/34 | 156 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 | 36.0 | |
| Wk 13 | W 63-0vs SMU | 9/14 | 222 | 7 | 0 | 15.9 | 98.7 | 7 TD passes |
 Bowl | L 10-31vs Auburn | 16/37 | 106 | 0 | 1 | 2.9 | 13.4 | |
| Total | 296/443 | 3776 | 28 | 4 | 8.5 | — |
Week 7 · 2015
W 37-24
vs Ole Miss
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 442 passing plays (295 completions) against the box score's 443 attempts (296 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
8.8013 of 198 QBsSack rate
3.5%39 of 198 QBsRarely sacked (39 of 198 QBs) and still 13 of 198 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 66.8% completion on 443 attempts · 53 deep completions averaging 32.8 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2015 baseline
No situation moves him more than 36 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
2 seasons under Justin Fuente, all run-leaning, fast tempo offenses — 19-7 over that span.
Splits · Per-game
2015 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 291 | 2.5 | 9.4 | 0.3 |
| Road6g | 321 | 2.2 | 9.5 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 289 | 1.9 | 8.7 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 292 | 2.5 | 9.2 | 0.3 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Justin Fuente
Pass share
45.7%
465 pass / 553 run
Plays / game
78.3
13 games
Scheme: Run-leaning, fast tempo.
Player standing · 2015
443 pass attempts and 87 carries in 13 games, more passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week.
How it ended
Two seasons at Memphis, 6,807 passing yards — drafted at #26 overall by the Denver Broncos.
His career
Coaching lineage · 2012–2015
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Justin Fuente.
Where he ended up · NFL
Denver BroncosEntering 11th NFL season
Denver BroncosEntering 11th NFL season
