cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Phillip Lee /Arkansas

Phillip Lee

DL · Arkansas · Sr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

31 TACKLES · 3.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Arkansas for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Arkansas for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Arkansas

Returning around him

  • 36% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 4 Arkansas players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (41 in / 43 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Arkansas · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #23 · 2026 recruiting class #32

DL · ARKANSAS · SEC

Phillip Lee

  • 4
  • #1
  • 6-4 | 240 lb
  • Jacksonville, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

68

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9426

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1491 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey1
Measurements6-4 | 240 lb
HometownJacksonville, FL
Primary teamArkansas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1491 recruit
Composite rating 0.8389 HighSchool
Signed with Hudson Valley 2021
Origin First Coast Jacksonville, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8389 No. 1491 recruit | HighSchool | Hudson Valley

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9426Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10420Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Hudson Valley

Composite

0.8389

#1491 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Phillip Lee

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Phillip Lee

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
31Tackles
6Tackles for loss
3.5Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.7Tackles for loss
0.4Sacks
Projected (13g)
45Tackles
8.7Tackles for loss
5.1Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 31): needs 12.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 31): needs 17.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 3.5): needs 0.6/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 3.5): needs 1.6/game over remaining 4.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Phillip Lee is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Arkansas's defense, with 3.5 sacks, 6.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9426 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 31 16 solo | #1302/4942 (74th pct)
TFL 6.0 Backfield disruption | #406/4972 (92nd pct)
Sacks 3.5 Pass-rush finish | #233/4972 (95th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
31 74th
SOLO
16 71st
TFL
6.0 92nd
SACK
3.5 95th
QBH
4 85th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 52-7vs Alabama A&M211.00.00
Wk 2W 56-14vs Arkansas State521.51.50
Wk 3L 35-41@ Ole Miss530.00.00
Wk 4L 31-32@ Memphis330.00.00
Wk 5L 13-56vs Notre Dame642.51.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 7L 31-34@ Tennessee100.00.00
Wk 10L 35-38vs Mississippi State211.01.00
Wk 13L 37-52@ Texas200.00.00
Wk 14L 17-31vs Missouri520.00.00
Total31166.03.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Troy12-2HC: Jon Sumrall · Run-leaning
2023Troy11-3HC: Jon Sumrall · Balanced
2024Troy4-8HC: Gerad Parker · Run-leaning
2025Arkansas2-10HC: Sam Pittman · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Arkansas31166.03.5------
2024Troy301510.55.01----
2023Troy1553.01.5------
2022Troy771.01.0------
Career4 loaded seasons834320.511.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 31 #1302/4942 74th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 6.0 #406/4972 92nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.5 #233/4972 95th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 16 #1348/4584 71st pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g4.01.20.70.0
Road4g2.80.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins2g3.51.20.80.0
Losses7g3.40.50.30.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.70.80.40.0
Weeks 8+3g3.00.30.30.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

68Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (91st). Strength: qb hurries (87th). Concern: passes defended (17th).

Sacks#233 / 2975 · 91st pct
3.5defe
QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Tackles for loss#406 / 2975 · 85th pct
6.0defe
Tackles#1302 / 2975 · 55th pct
31defe
Solo tackles#1348 / 2975 · 53rd pct
16defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Phillip LeeArkansasMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 75% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 73% simMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 72% sim
Sacks
91
Lee
80
Parker
74
Wesloski
89
Baranowski
QB hurries
88
Lee
88
Parker
95
Wesloski
82
Baranowski
Tackles for loss
85
Lee
87
Parker
95
Wesloski
95
Baranowski
Tackles
55
Lee
98
Parker
99
Wesloski
98
Baranowski
Solo tackles
53
Lee
96
Parker
99
Wesloski
98
Baranowski
Passes defended
18
Lee
18
Parker
18
Wesloski
48
Baranowski

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The 3-Tech Penetrator

Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jaylon Allen’s 2020 season.

Jaylon Allen

89%match

Memphis · 2020

#2

Richard Kinley II

Middle Tennessee · 2020

88%
#3

Zach Williams

Arkansas · 2022

88%
#4

Clinton Anokwuru

Coastal Carolina · 2023

88%
#5

Phillip Lee

Troy · 2023

88%

Matches Jaylon on

TFL rate
Weight
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Eddie Walls III's senior season at Houston (2025).

Eddie Walls III

88%match

Houston · 2025

#2

Devean Deal

TCU · 2024

88%
#3

Seth Coleman

Illinois · 2023

88%
#4

Donovan Branch

UConn · 2025

88%
#5

Marlon Bradley

Florida Atlantic · 2023

87%

Matches Eddie on

Class year
Height
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sam Pittman

Pass share

48.8%

381 pass / 400 run

Plays / game

65.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.3%

324 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Sam Pittman
Arkansas
2023
Sam Pittman
Arkansas
2024
Sam Pittman
Arkansas
2025
Sam Pittman
Arkansas

Played his entire career under Sam Pittman.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownJacksonville, FL
Height6'4"
Weight240 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Troy DL4 #9426 #10420 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Troy DL4 #5991 #6506 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Troy DL4 #8393 #8122 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt
2021 Troy DL4 #11736 #11637 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Arkansas SEC DL 4 No. 1 | 6-4 | 240 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2024 Troy Sun Belt DL 4 No. 1 | 6-4 | 240 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2023 Troy Sun Belt DL 4 No. 1 | 6-4 | 240 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2022 Troy Sun Belt DL 4 No. 1 | 6-4 | 240 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2021 Troy Sun Belt DL 4 No. 1 | 6-4 | 240 lb | Jacksonville, FL