cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Quinton Jackson /Rice

Quinton Jackson

RB · Rice · Jr · #10

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Quinton Jackson is a cornerstone for Rice — measured against the line he joined.

889RUSH YDS6RUSH TD180CARRIES

RUSHING VALUE · WEPA

+0.11

via your WEPA model · 2025 · 163 plays

Read the story so far

Quinton Jackson arrived as a 3-star prospect. He lines up at RB for Rice.

On the field, the headline is 889 rush yds, with 6 rush td.

He inherited the RB job from Dean Connors.

The number to watch: +0.11 — rushing value · wepa.

RB successioncontinuity
  • Inherited fromDean Connors
Why nowThe 2026 outlook is the live story — the offseason looks forward.
  • season totals
  • via your WEPA model · 2025 · 163 plays
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Rice for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Rice for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Rice

Returning around him

  • 75% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (20 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Rice · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #106 · 2026 recruiting class #100

RB · RICE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Quinton Jackson

  • 3
  • #10
  • 5-7 | 160 lb
  • Fort Worth, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

65

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 85th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#923

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
15.02022
25.02023
2752024
8892025

+5827%

Up 5827% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2024 national
CFB
College
Rice
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey10
Measurements5-7 | 160 lb
HometownFort Worth, TX
Primary teamRice

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2024 recruit
Composite rating 0.8100 HighSchool
Signed with Rice 2022
Origin North Crowley Fort Worth, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8100 No. 2024 recruit | HighSchool | Rice

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#923Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1489Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (889).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Rice

Composite

0.8100

#2024 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Quinton Jackson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Quinton Jackson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 13g
889Rush yards
180Carries
6Rush TDs
Per game
68.4Rush yards
14Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
889Rush yards
180Carries
6Rush TDs

✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 889.

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Quinton Jackson is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 889 rushing yards, 4 catches, and 265 return yards for Rice. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #923 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 20.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 265 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 963 889 rush | 74 rec | #54/735 (93rd pct)
Rush TD 6 180 carries | #83/739 (89th pct)
Yards/carry 4.9 Per-rush efficiency | #305/735 (59th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse against FBS RB peers.

Workhorse

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
180 95th
YDS
889 93rd
YPC
4.9 59th
TD
6 89th

Receiving

REC
4 38th
YDS
74 61st
YPR
18.5 97th
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 14-12@ Louisiana221195.4117
Wk 2L 9-35vs Houston15523.509
Wk 3W 38-17vs Prairie View A&M9424.7113
Wk 4W 28-17@ Charlotte12806.7026
Wk 5L 13-21@ Navy15604.0015
Wk 6L 21-27vs Florida Atlantic191286.7168
Wk 7L 13-61@ UTSA461.505
Wk 9W 37-34vs UConn211688.0373Season-high 168 yds
Wk 10L 14-38vs Memphis9222.406
Wk 11W 24-17vs UAB22813.7019
Wk 13L 24-56vs North Texas14503.607
Wk 14L 3-52@ South Florida231.502
BowlL 10-41@ Texas State16784.9035
Total1808894.4673
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Rice5-8HC: Mike Bloomgren · Run-leaning
2023Rice6-7HC: Mike Bloomgren · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Rice4-8HC: Mike Bloomgren · Pass-leaning
2025Rice5-8HC: Scott Abell · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Rice1808894.96--
2024Rice482755.71--
2023Rice7253.60--
2022Rice3155.00--
Career4 loaded seasons2381,2045.17--
SeasonTeam
2025Rice47418.51--
2024Rice11696.31--
2023Rice6335.50--
2022Rice25427.00--
Career4 loaded seasons2323010.02--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 4 74 rec yds | #343/552 (38th pct)
Usage 20.9% 28.3% rush share | #79/738 (89th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.11 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #192/362 (47th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 889 #54/735 93rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 6 #83/739 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.9 #305/735 59th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 4 #343/552 38th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 74 #217/548 61st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.11 #192/362 47th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 163 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 20.9% #79/738 89th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 180 #39/739 95th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 73 #44/733 94th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 75 #9/540 99th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 18.5 #16/548 97th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 262 #25/200 88th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 20.2 #77/199 62nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 13 #15/206 93rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Punt return avg 3.0 #24/27 15th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Punt return yards 3 #24/27 15th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Punt returns 1 #20/29 34th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 28.3% #141/738 81st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 25.8% #73/738 90th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 25.1% #74/738 90th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 21.3% #80/738 89th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 13.3% #112/738 85th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 12.3% #124/738 83rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.9% #318/738 57th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g77.64.70.7
Road6g57.74.00.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins5g98.05.71.0
Losses8g49.93.50.1

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-78g70.64.70.4
Weeks 8+5g64.83.80.6

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

65Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: carries (88th). Strength: long run (87th). Concern: receptions (12th).

Carries#39 / 349 · 89th pct
180rush
Long run#40 / 349 · 88th pct
73rush
Rush yards#54 / 349 · 85th pct
889rush
Rush TDs#83 / 349 · 72nd pct
6rush
Yards / carry#171 / 349 · 49th pct
4.9rush
Rec yards#194 / 338 · 42nd pct
74rece
Receptions#289 / 338 · 12th pct
4rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.11Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Quinton JacksonRiceBill DavisLouisiana· 89% simCaleb KomolafeNorthwestern· 83% simEvan DickensLiberty· 82% sim
Carries
89
Jackson
83
Davis
91
Komolafe
96
Dickens
Long run
88
Jackson
91
Davis
66
Komolafe
99
Dickens
Rush yards
85
Jackson
80
Davis
87
Komolafe
97
Dickens
Rush TDs
72
Jackson
72
Davis
92
Komolafe
99
Dickens
Yards / carry
49
Jackson
45
Davis
53
Komolafe
82
Dickens
Rec yards
42
Jackson
45
Davis
36
Komolafe
45
Dickens
Receptions
12
Jackson
39
Davis
45
Komolafe
23
Dickens

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Courtney Reese’s 2023 season.

Courtney Reese

64%match

UNLV · 2023

#2

Devin Roche

Old Dominion · 2025

64%
#3

Perris Jones

Virginia · 2022

52%
#4

Shedro Louis

Liberty · 2022

52%
#5

Brian Battie

Auburn · 2023

52%

Matches Courtney on

EPA / carry (adj)
Class year

Differs from Courtney on

Rush TD rate (lower)
Height (lower)
Receiving share (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Courtney Reese's senior season at UNLV (2023).

Courtney Reese

62%match

UNLV · 2023

#2

Brian Battie

Auburn · 2023

1st-team All-American
57%
#3

Jacquez Stuart

Toledo · 2023

50%
#4

Xavier Arline

Navy · 2023

47%
#5

Perris Jones

Virginia · 2023

41%

Matches Courtney on

Weight
Height
Receiving share

Differs from Courtney on

Class year (lower)
Rush TD rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Abell

Pass share

26.0%

224 pass / 636 run

Plays / game

66.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.6%

147 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2023
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2024
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2025
Scott Abell
Rice
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mike Bloomgren → Scott Abell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFort Worth, TX
Height5'7"
Weight160 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Rice RB3 #923 #1489 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Rice RB3 #2940 #3062 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Rice RB3 #3344 #3775 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Rice American Athletic RB 3 No. 10 | 5-7 | 160 lb | Fort Worth, TX
2024 Rice American Athletic RB 3 No. 10 | 5-7 | 160 lb | Fort Worth, TX
2023 Rice American Athletic RB 3 No. 10 | 5-7 | 160 lb | Fort Worth, TX
2022 Rice Conference USA RB 3 No. 10 | 5-7 | 160 lb | Fort Worth, TX