cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Reese Smith /Liberty

Reese Smith

WR · Liberty · Sr · #6

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

209 REC YDS · 23 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Liberty for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Liberty for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Liberty

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +7 net (26 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Liberty · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #84 · 2026 recruiting class #86

WR · LIBERTY · CONFERENCE USA

Reese Smith

  • 4
  • #6
  • 5-10 | 205 lb
  • Danville, KY

CFB Zeitgeist Score

20

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by receptions at the 32nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#523

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
1242021
2052022
2772024
2092025

+69%

Up 69% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#879 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#8 in market ▼ from #6 · 4 books

+10009.1% implied

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey6
Measurements5-10 | 205 lb
HometownDanville, KY
Primary teamLiberty

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 42 recruit
Composite rating 0.8485 JUCO
Signed with Liberty 2022
Origin Mississippi Gulf Coast C.C. Ridgeland, MS, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8485 No. 42 recruit | JUCO | Liberty
2020 3-star | 0.8626 No. 879 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Liberty 2023
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 5, 2022
Season Move Context
2023 West Virginia -> Liberty 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#523Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#555Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Liberty

Composite

0.8485

#42 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Reese Smith

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Reese Smith

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

1

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #402 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 24th

Why it matters

#402 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 1 TDs on 23 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 1 (24th)

MODERATE · n=23 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#460 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#493 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 1 vs Maine — 1 receiving_tds

Result W 28-7

The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td vs Maine.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
209Rec yards
23Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
20.9Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
271.7Rec yards
30Receptions
1Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 209): needs 163.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 209): needs 263.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 23): needs 12.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 23): needs 19/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 2.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 3/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Reese Smith's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Liberty, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #523 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 23 1 rec TD | #373/1110 (66th pct)
Receiving yards 209 9.1 per catch | #452/1107 (59th pct)
Scrimmage yards 209 Total offensive yardage | #452/1107 (59th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
23 66th
YDS
209 59th
YPR
9.1 26th
TD
1 64th

Returns

PR YDS
30 42nd
PR AVG
3.0 16th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 28-7vs Maine6467.7111
Wk 2L 24-34@ Jacksonville State2126.006
Wk 3L 13-23@ Bowling Green46015.0018
Wk 5L 7-21@ Old Dominion100.000
Wk 7W 19-8@ UTEP111.001
Wk 8W 30-27vs New Mexico State
Wk 10W 59-30vs Delaware133.003
Wk 11L 17-21vs Missouri State46215.5023Season-high 62 yds
Wk 12L 27-34@ Florida International294.505
Wk 14L 42-48vs Kennesaw State2168.0011
Total232096.7123
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021West Virginia6-6HC: Neal Brown · Balanced
2022West Virginia5-7HC: Neal Brown · Balanced
2024Liberty8-4HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
2025Liberty4-8HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Liberty232099.11--
2024Liberty1827715.44--
2022West Virginia1920510.81--
2021West Virginia1212410.31--
Career4 loaded seasons7281511.37--
SeasonTeam
2025Liberty------30--
2024Liberty------2--
2022West Virginia----128--
2021West Virginia----------
Career4 loaded seasons----1240--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.2% 10.5% pass-game share | #464/1137 (59th pct)
Return yards 30 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 23 #373/1110 66th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 209 #452/1107 59th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 9.1 #824/1106 26th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 30 #131/224 42nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 10.5% #464/1137 59th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 23 #708/1105 36th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 10 #65/237 73rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 3.0 #188/222 16th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.2% #282/1137 75th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 5.9% #603/1137 47th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.2% #582/1137 49th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 3.5% #604/1137 47th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.3% #656/1137 42nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.4% #871/1137 23rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g2.625.48.60.2
Road5g2.016.45.30.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g2.012.53.90.2
Losses6g2.526.58.20.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.823.85.90.2
Weeks 8+5g1.818.07.80.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

20Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long catch (6th).

Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Receptions#373 / 558 · 32nd pct
23rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Rec yards#451 / 558 · 19th pct
209rece
Yards / catch#501 / 558 · 10th pct
9.1rece
Long catch#518 / 558 · 7th pct
23rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Reese SmithLibertyMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 66% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 57% simAaron TurnerRice· 56% sim
Fumbles lost
36
Smith
6
III
81
Turner
Receptions
32
Smith
92
III
92
Gibson
92
Turner
Rec TDs
24
Smith
24
III
7
Gibson
68
Turner
Rec yards
19
Smith
70
III
74
Gibson
48
Turner
Yards / catch
10
Smith
9
III
15
Gibson
1
Turner
Long catch
7
Smith
16
III
56
Gibson
65
Turner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jamoi Mayes’s 2024 season.

Jamoi Mayes

81%match

Cincinnati · 2024

#2

Brandon Sanders

Rutgers · 2021

77%
#3

Reese Smith

West Virginia · 2021

77%
#4

Xavier Restrepo

Miami · 2022

77%
#5

Tyler Page

SMU · 2020

70%

Matches Jamoi on

Reception volume
Class year
Height

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Antwan Davis’s path through Ball State.

Antwan Davis

100%match

Ball State · 2020

#2

Neno Lemay

Nicholls · 2023

98%
#3

Max Tomczak

Youngstown State · 2025

93%
#4

Ian Duarte

Idaho State · 2025

93%
#5

Osirus Mitchell

Mississippi State · 2020

91%

Matches Antwan on

Yards per reception

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Luke Wysong's graduate season at Arizona (2025).

Luke Wysong

79%match

Arizona · 2025

All-Mountain West
#2

Julian Gray

Liberty · 2025

79%
#3

Trayvon Rudolph

Toledo · 2025

All-MAC
78%
#4

Jordan Brown

Nevada · 2025

All-AACNFL Rd 7
76%
#5

Keegan Jones

UCLA · 2024

74%

Matches Luke on

Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)
Weight

Differs from Luke on

Recruiting rating (higher)
TD rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jamey Chadwell

Pass share

38.7%

314 pass / 498 run

Plays / game

67.7

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

249 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Hugh Freeze
Liberty
2022
Hugh Freeze
Liberty
2024
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty
era →
2025
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty

Coaching transition mid-career: Hugh Freeze → Jamey Chadwell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDanville, KY
Height5'10"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Liberty WR4 #523 #555 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Liberty WR4 #2521 #2067 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 West Virginia WR4 #2049 #2498 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 West Virginia WR4 #1674 #1704 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Liberty Conference USA WR 4 No. 6 | 5-10 | 205 lb | Danville, KY
2024 Liberty Conference USA WR 4 No. 6 | 5-10 | 205 lb | Danville, KY
2023 Liberty Conference USA WR 4 No. 6 | 5-10 | 205 lb | Danville, KY
2022 West Virginia Big 12 WR 4 No. 6 | 5-10 | 205 lb | Danville, KY
2021 West Virginia Big 12 WR 4 No. 6 | 5-10 | 205 lb | Danville, KY