cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Sam Phillips /Iowa

Sam Phillips

WR · Iowa · Sr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

261 REC YDS · 16 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Iowa for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Iowa for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Iowa

Returning around him

  • 49% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 7 Iowa players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +7 net (15 in / 8 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Iowa · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #42 · 2026 recruiting class #38

WR · IOWA · BIG TEN

Sam Phillips

  • 4
  • #2
  • 5-7 | 183 lb
  • Cartersville, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

35

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 86th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Iowa
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements5-7 | 183 lb
HometownCartersville, GA
Primary teamIowa

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Iowa 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 9, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Chattanooga -> Iowa 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Sam Phillips

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Counting Down Iowa Football's Most Indispensable Players: No. 22 LJ Phillips &nb"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Sam Phillips

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
261Rec yards
16Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
26.1Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
339.3Rec yards
21Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 261): needs 146.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 261): needs 246.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 16): needs 14.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 16): needs 21.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Sam Phillips's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Iowa, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load 3.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 46 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 16 0 rec TD | #465/1110 (58th pct)
Receiving yards 261 16.3 per catch | #397/1107 (64th pct)
Scrimmage yards 261 Total offensive yardage | #397/1107 (64th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
16 58th
YDS
261 64th
YPR
16.3 83rd
TD
0 45th

Returns

PR YDS
46 51st
PR AVG
46.0 100th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 34-7vs UAlbany
Wk 2L 13-16@ Iowa State11515.0015
Wk 3W 47-7vs Massachusetts37525.0045Season-high 75 yds
Wk 4W 38-28@ Rutgers12525.0025
Wk 5L 15-20vs Indiana56412.8021
Wk 7W 37-0@ Wisconsin11414.0014
Wk 9W 41-3vs Minnesota11111.0011
Wk 11L 16-18vs Oregon11212.0012
Wk 13W 20-17vs Michigan State13333.0033
Wk 14W 40-16@ Nebraska2126.0011
Total1626117.1045
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Iowa9-4HC: Kirk Ferentz · Run-heavy, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Iowa1626116.30--
Career1 loaded season1626116.30--
SeasonTeam
2025Iowa------46--
Career1 loaded season------46--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.6% 9.5% pass-game share | #510/1137 (55th pct)
Return yards 46 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 16 #465/1110 58th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 261 #397/1107 64th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 16.3 #186/1106 83rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 46 #111/224 51st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 9.5% #510/1137 55th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 45 #344/1105 69th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 46.0 #1/222 100th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 1 #182/237 24th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 5.2% #692/1137 39th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.3% #703/1137 38th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.0% #651/1137 43rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.6% #673/1137 41st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.2% #667/1137 41st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 3.1% #669/1137 41st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g1.832.518.80.0
Road4g1.216.515.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g1.324.319.00.0
Losses3g2.330.313.30.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g1.832.218.40.0
Weeks 8+4g1.217.015.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

35Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (86th). Concern: rec tds (6th).

Yards / catch#77 / 558 · 86th pct
16.3rece
Long catch#300 / 558 · 45th pct
45rece
Rec yards#397 / 558 · 29th pct
261rece
Receptions#465 / 558 · 15th pct
16rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Sam PhillipsIowaNik McMillanBuffalo· 49% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 49% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 49% sim
Yards / catch
86
Phillips
84
McMillan
28
Jr.
15
Gibson
Long catch
45
Phillips
65
McMillan
56
Jr.
56
Gibson
Rec yards
29
Phillips
96
McMillan
84
Jr.
74
Gibson
Receptions
15
Phillips
90
McMillan
94
Jr.
92
Gibson
Rec TDs
7
Phillips
57
McMillan
24
Jr.
7
Gibson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jahcour Pearson’s 2021 season.

Jahcour Pearson

63%match

Ole Miss · 2021

#2

Ja'Khi Douglas

Florida State · 2021

61%
#3

Tyrin Smith

UTEP · 2021

57%
#4

Anthony Gould

Oregon State · 2021

NFL Rd 5
57%
#5

Jaylon Robinson

UCF · 2021

56%

Matches Jahcour on

Weight
Yards / reception

Differs from Jahcour on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)
Height (lower)
Reception volume (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Cornell Powell’s path through Clemson.

Cornell Powell

92%match

Clemson · 2020

NFL Rd 5
#2

T.J. Simmons

West Virginia · 2020

86%
#3

Isaiah McKoy

Kent State · 2020

All-MAC
86%
#4

Dez Fitzpatrick

Louisville · 2020

NFL Rd 4
84%
#5

Bailey Gaither

San José State · 2020

All-Mountain West
81%

Matches Cornell on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jamari Hawkins's junior season at Memphis (2025).

Jamari Hawkins

60%match

Memphis · 2025

#2

Kacper Rutkiewicz

Northern Illinois · 2023

59%
#3

Mason Pierce

Marshall · 2023

54%
#4

Aaron Anderson

LSU · 2025

All-SEC
52%
#5

Giles Jackson

Washington · 2022

51%

Differs from Jamari on

Class year (higher)
Reception volume (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kirk Ferentz

Pass share

36.6%

286 pass / 495 run

Plays / game

60.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.9%

228 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Kirk Ferentz
Iowa

Played his entire career under Kirk Ferentz.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCartersville, GA
Height5'7"
Weight183 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Iowa Big Ten WR 4 No. 2 | 5-7 | 183 lb | Cartersville, GA