cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Suderian Harrison /Virginia

Suderian Harrison

WR · Virginia · Jr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

62 REC YDS · 2 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Virginia → East Tennessee State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to East Tennessee State

2025Virginia
2026East Tennessee State

WR · VIRGINIA · ACC

Suderian Harrison

  • 3
  • #1
  • 5-10 | 184 lb
  • McCormick, SC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

31

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 100th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1320

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
94.02023
99.02024
62.02025

-34%

Sharp dropoff (-34%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1150 national
CFB
College
Virginia
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey1
Measurements5-10 | 184 lb
HometownMcCormick, SC
Primary teamVirginia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1150 recruit
Composite rating 0.8589 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin Woodland Dorchester, SC, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8589 No. 1150 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination East Tennessee State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 11, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Virginia -> East Tennessee State 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1320Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1527Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8589

#1150 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Suderian Harrison

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Suderian Harrison &nbsp;&nbsp; virginiasports.com"Own fansNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Riley Leonard hits Jayden Harrison for an 8-yard touchdown to finish off the nin"National
  • Own fans · n=1
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Suderian Harrison

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
62Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
31Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
403Rec yards
13Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 62): needs 58/game over remaining 11.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 62): needs 85.3/game over remaining 11.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 2): needs 5.3/game over remaining 11.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 2): needs 7.1/game over remaining 11.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.9/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Suderian Harrison's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Virginia, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1320 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 1.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 2 0 rec TD | #886/1110 (20th pct)
Receiving yards 62 31.0 per catch | #741/1107 (33rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 62 Total offensive yardage | #741/1107 (33rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
2 20th
YDS
62 33rd
YPR
31.0 99th
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 3W 55-16vs William & Mary26231.0056Season-high 62 yds
Wk 5W 46-38vs Florida State
Total26231.0056
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Virginia3-9HC: Tony Elliott · Run-leaning
2024Virginia5-7HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced
2025Virginia11-3HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Virginia26231.00--
2024Virginia11999.00--
2023Virginia99410.40--
Career3 loaded seasons2225511.60--
SeasonTeam
2025Virginia----------
2024Virginia----------
2023Virginia------37--
Career3 loaded seasons------37--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 1.9% 4.3% pass-game share | #924/1137 (19th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 2 #886/1110 20th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 62 #741/1107 33rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 31.0 #12/1106 99th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 4.3% #924/1137 19th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 56 #205/1105 82nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.0% #560/1137 51st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.5% #774/1137 32nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 1.9% #971/1137 15th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 0.0% #993/1137 13th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #937/1137 18th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 0.0% #1009/1137 11th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g1.031.031.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g1.031.031.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-72g1.031.031.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

31Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (100th). Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#1 / 558 · 100th pct
31.0rece
Long catch#183 / 558 · 67th pct
56rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Rec yards#558 / 558 · 0th pct
62rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
2rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Suderian HarrisonVirginiaNik McMillanBuffalo· 37% simHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 35% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 35% sim
Yards / catch
100
Harrison
84
McMillan
78
III
15
Gibson
Long catch
67
Harrison
65
McMillan
65
III
56
Gibson
Rec TDs
7
Harrison
57
McMillan
68
III
7
Gibson
Rec yards
0
Harrison
96
McMillan
94
III
74
Gibson
Receptions
0
Harrison
90
McMillan
90
III
92
Gibson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Elliott

Pass share

48.0%

492 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

73.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

337 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Tony Elliott
Virginia
2024
Tony Elliott
Virginia
2025
Tony Elliott
Virginia

Played his entire career under Tony Elliott.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMcCormick, SC
Height5'10"
Weight184 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Virginia WR3 #1320 #1527 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Virginia WR3 #3289 #3772 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Virginia ACC WR 3 No. 1 | 5-10 | 184 lb | McCormick, SC
2024 Virginia ACC WR 3 No. 1 | 5-10 | 184 lb | McCormick, SC
2023 Virginia ACC WR 3 No. 1 | 5-10 | 184 lb | McCormick, SC