CFB Zeitgeist Score
11
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by fumbles lost at the 81st percentile.
Tiger Bachmeier
The Hope Economyas of 2026-06-22
Tiger Bachmeier arrives at BYU with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
59REC YDS7REC0REC TD
3★ · NATIONAL RECRUIT
No.489
recruiting national rank
BYU fans sell the ceiling harder than the résumé; the upside is the whole argument.
high confidence119 sources
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to BYU for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · BYU
Returning around him
- 87% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- 2 BYU players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -4 net (9 in / 13 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
BYU · Last season: 12-2 (AP #12) · Talent rank #70 · 2026 recruiting class #55
WR · BYU · BIG 12
Tiger Bachmeier
- 3
- #19
- 6-1 | 190 lb
- Murrieta, CA
Heisman Heat
#1981
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025-86%
Sharp dropoff (-86%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#23 in market ▼ from #21 · 6 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8875 | No. 489 recruit | HighSchool | Stanford |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Stanford -> BYU | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Stanford
Composite
0.8875
#489 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Tiger Bachmeier
Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window
Belief Meter
74
Quietly Bullish
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=160
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Tiger Bachmeier
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 8g
59Rec yards
7Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
7.4Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
95.9Rec yards
11Receptions
0Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 59): needs 128.2/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 59): needs 188.2/game over remaining 5.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 7): needs 10.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 7): needs 14.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 5.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Tiger Bachmeier's story is about how role and output meet each other. For BYU, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
7 40th
YDS
59 33rd
YPR
8.4 19th
TD
0 45th
Rushing
CAR
1 35th
YDS
2 24th
YPC
2.0 28th
TD
0 81st
Returns
KR YDS
21 27th
KR AVG
21.0 63rd
PR YDS
48 52nd
PR AVG
9.6 65th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 69-0vs Portland State | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 2 | W 27-3vs Stanford | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 4 | W 34-13@ East Carolina | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 5 | W 24-21@ Colorado | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 6 | W 38-24vs West Virginia | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 9 | W 41-27@ Iowa State | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 0 | 17 | Season-high 25 yds |
| Wk 12 | W 44-13vs TCU | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 14 | W 41-21vs UCF | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Total | 7 | 59 | 7.8 | 0 | 17 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Stanford3-9HC: Troy Taylor · Balanced
2024Stanford3-9HC: Troy Taylor · Run-leaning
2025BYU12-2HC: Kalani Sitake · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 7 | #667/1110 | 40th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 59 | #748/1107 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #615/1111 | 45th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 8.4 | #899/1106 | 19th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 21 | #174/238 | 27th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 48 | #108/224 | 52nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 6.8% | #704/1137 | 38th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 2 | #314/346 | 10th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 2 | #302/397 | 24th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 2.0 | #283/393 | 28th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #264/407 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 17 | #827/1105 | 25th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 21.0 | #88/236 | 63rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 9.6 | #78/222 | 65th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 5 | #122/237 | 49th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #169/243 | 31st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 5.7% | #626/1137 | 45th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 5.2% | #625/1137 | 45th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 2.9% | #827/1137 | 27th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 2.9% | #789/1137 | 31st pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 2.4% | #829/1137 | 27th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 2.0% | #884/1137 | 22nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.5% | #284/1137 | 75th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 1.0 | 6.8 | 6.6 | 0.0 |
| Road3g | 0.7 | 8.3 | 12.5 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 0.9 | 7.4 | 7.8 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 0.6 | 4.6 | 7.8 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 1.3 | 12.0 | 7.8 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
11Below cohort
Elite: fumbles lost (80th). Concern: receptions (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Tiger BachmeierBYUMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 50% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 47% simAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 44% sim
Fumbles lost
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Rec TDs
Yards / catch
Long catch
Rec yards
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kalani Sitake
Pass share
43.5%
401 pass / 520 run
Plays / game
65.8
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.6%
270 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Kalani Sitake
BYU
2024
Kalani Sitake
BYU
2025
Kalani Sitake
BYU
Played his entire career under Kalani Sitake.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMurrieta, CA
Height6'1"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey19
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBYU
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.