cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tra Thomas /NC State

Tra Thomas

LB · NC State · Sr · #4

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

24 TACKLES · 4 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to NC State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to NC State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · NC State

Returning around him

  • 95% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 2 NC State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (20 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

NC State · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #45 · 2026 recruiting class #34

LB · NC STATE · ACC

Tra Thomas

  • 4
  • #4
  • 6-3 | 228 lb
  • Glen Burnie, MD

CFB Zeitgeist Score

61

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11988

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#19 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey4
Measurements6-3 | 228 lb
HometownGlen Burnie, MD
Primary teamNC State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 19 recruit
Composite rating 0.8700 JUCO
Signed with Temple 2022
Origin Independence C.C. Glen Burnie, MD, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8700 No. 19 recruit | JUCO | Temple

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11988Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12822Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Temple

Composite

0.8700

#19 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tra Thomas

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tra Thomas

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
24Tackles
6Tackles for loss
4Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.4Sacks
Projected (13g)
28Tackles
7.1Tackles for loss
4.7Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 24): needs 28/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 24): needs 38/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 4): needs 1/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 4): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tra Thomas is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on NC State's defense, with 4.0 sacks, 6.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11988 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 24 7 solo | #1737/4942 (65th pct)
TFL 6.0 Backfield disruption | #406/4972 (92nd pct)
Sacks 4.0 Pass-rush finish | #169/4972 (97th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
24 65th
SOLO
7 48th
TFL
6.0 92nd
SACK
4.0 97th
QBH
5 90th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 24-17vs East Carolina200.50.00
Wk 2W 35-31vs Virginia310.50.00
Wk 4L 33-45@ Duke731.51.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 5L 21-23vs Virginia Tech100.00.00
Wk 6W 56-10vs Campbell401.00.50
Wk 7L 7-36@ Notre Dame100.50.50
Wk 9L 34-53@ Pittsburgh100.00.00
Wk 12L 7-41@ Miami100.00.00
Wk 13W 21-11vs Florida State210.00.00
Wk 14W 42-19vs North Carolina111.01.00
BowlW 31-7vs Memphis111.01.00
Total2476.04.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Temple3-9HC: Stan Drayton · Pass-leaning
2023Temple3-9HC: Stan Drayton · Pass-leaning
2024Temple3-9HC: Everett Withers · Balanced
2025NC State8-5HC: Dave Doeren · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025NC State2476.04.0------
2024Temple28154.52.0--1--
2023Temple3085.03.0------
2022Temple1454.03.0------
Career4 loaded seasons963519.512.0--1--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 5 Quarterback hurries | #188/1878 (90th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 24 #1737/4942 65th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 6.0 #406/4972 92nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 4.0 #169/4972 97th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 5 #188/1878 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 7 #2403/4584 48th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.00.60.40.0
Road4g2.50.50.40.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g2.20.70.40.0
Losses5g2.20.40.30.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.70.70.40.0
Weeks 8+4g1.20.20.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

61Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (93rd). Strength: qb hurries (92nd). Concern: solo tackles (16th).

Sacks#169 / 2975 · 93rd pct
4.0defe
QB hurries#188 / 2975 · 92nd pct
5defe
Tackles for loss#406 / 2975 · 85th pct
6.0defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles#1737 / 2975 · 40th pct
24defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Solo tackles#2397 / 2975 · 17th pct
7defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Tra ThomasNC StateMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 63% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 61% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 60% sim
Sacks
93
Thomas
80
Parker
74
Wesloski
63
Davey
QB hurries
92
Thomas
88
Parker
95
Wesloski
82
Davey
Tackles for loss
85
Thomas
87
Parker
95
Wesloski
91
Davey
Forced fumbles
47
Thomas
47
Parker
47
Wesloski
47
Davey
Tackles
40
Thomas
98
Parker
99
Wesloski
99
Davey
Passes defended
18
Thomas
18
Parker
18
Wesloski
18
Davey
Solo tackles
17
Thomas
96
Parker
99
Wesloski
99
Davey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Wade Woodaz’s 2023 season.

Wade Woodaz

81%match

Clemson · 2023

NFL Rd 4
#2

Sifa Leota

North Texas · 2022

75%
#3

Sebastian Cheeks

Wisconsin · 2025

74%
#4

Shamar McCollum

Georgia State · 2021

74%
#5

Romello Height

USC · 2023

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 6
71%

Matches Wade on

Tackle volume
TFL rate
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Kevin Swint's senior season at Georgia State (2023).

Kevin Swint

79%match

Georgia State · 2023

All-Sun Belt
#2

Tyler Guidry

Louisiana · 2023

77%
#3

TJ Guy

Michigan · 2024

76%
#4

Deshawn Holt

Toledo · 2023

75%
#5

Blaine Spires

Utah State · 2023

75%

Matches Kevin on

Class year
Height
Weight

Differs from Kevin on

Sack rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dave Doeren

Pass share

49.7%

411 pass / 416 run

Plays / game

63.6

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

307 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Dave Doeren
NC State
2023
Dave Doeren
NC State
2024
Dave Doeren
NC State
2025
Dave Doeren
NC State

Played his entire career under Dave Doeren.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGlen Burnie, MD
Height6'3"
Weight228 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Temple LB4 #11988 #12822 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Temple LB4 #12413 #13274 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Temple LB4 #10657 #11099 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 NC State ACC LB 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 228 lb | Glen Burnie, MD
2024 Temple American Athletic LB 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 228 lb | Glen Burnie, MD
2023 Temple American Athletic LB 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 228 lb | Glen Burnie, MD
2022 Temple American Athletic LB 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 228 lb | Glen Burnie, MD