Heisman / Players / Zach Hrbacek /Sam Houston

Zach Hrbacek

RB · Sam Houston · Sr · #27

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSSam Houston 2023 alumnusAs of Jun 22, 2026

RB · SAM HOUSTON · CONFERENCE USA

Zach Hrbacek

4
#27
5-9 | 190 lb
Troy, TX

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#2447

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

—

CONSENSUS

All-American

—

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R00 · Walk-on

Walk-on. Earning a roster spot is the starting line.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

Recruit

—

No recruit profile

CFB

College

Sam Houston

2023

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB

Class4

Jersey27

Measurements5-9 | 190 lb

HometownTroy, TX

Primary teamSam Houston

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive

Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player

Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable

Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable

Class	Profile	Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file

Latest destination Weber State 2025

Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context

Eligibility Immediate Apr 25, 2025

Season	Move	Context
2025	Sam Houston -> Weber State	Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16

Current nowcast#2447Latest modeled ballot order

Season forecast#2229Where the full season sim points

Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy

Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier

Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot

Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP—

FWAA—

AFCA—

WCFF—

SN—

SI—

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game

Through 2g

63Rush yards

23Carries

0Rush TDs

Per game

31.5Rush yards

12Carries

0Rush TDs

Projected (13g)

409.5Rush yards

150Carries

0Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 63): needs 62.5/game over remaining 11.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 63): needs 85.2/game over remaining 11.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 63): needs 130.6/game over remaining 11.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 0.9/game over remaining 11.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.4/game over remaining 11.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.8/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Zach Hrbacek's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Sam Houston, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2447 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist

Role load -- Role share still loading

Profile quirk Development arc 14 return yds

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level

Scrimmage yards 136 93 rush | 43 rec | #446/735 (39th pct)

Rush TD 0 37 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)

Yards/carry 2.5 Per-rush efficiency | #667/735 (9th pct)

Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

Rushing

CAR

37 52nd

YDS

93 39th

YPC

2.5 9th

0 40th

Receiving

REC

7 51st

YDS

43 45th

YPR

6.1 40th

0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG	Note
Wk 1	L 10-45@ James Madison	12	39	3.3	8	Season-high 39 yds
Wk 2	L 3-48@ Arizona	11	24	2.2	7
Total		23	63	2.8	8

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Sam Houston3-9HC: K.C. Keeler · Balanced

Season	Team
2023	Sam Houston	37	93	2.5	0	--
Career	1 loaded season	37	93	2.5	0	--

Season	Team
2023	Sam Houston	7	43	6.1	0	--
Career	1 loaded season	7	43	6.1	0	--

Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context

Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 7 43 rec yds | #270/552 (51st pct)

Usage -- Role share still loading

Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading

Open full stat explorer

Group	Metric	Value	Rank	Pct	Why it matters
Rushing	Rushing yards	93	#446/735	39th pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing	Rush TD	0	#447/739	40th pct	Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing	Yards / carry	2.5	#667/735	9th pct	Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving	Receptions	7	#270/552	51st pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving	Receiving yards	43	#302/548	45th pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing	Carries	37	#355/739	52nd pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing	Rushing LONG	10	#571/733	22nd pct	Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving	Receiving LONG	21	#218/540	60th pct	Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving	Yards / catch	6.1	#332/548	40th pct	Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving	Receiving TD	0	#169/552	70th pct	Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns	Kick return avg	16.0	#132/199	34th pct	Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns	Kick return yards	16	#164/200	18th pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Returns	Kick returns	1	#139/206	33rd pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Returns	Punt returns	1	#20/29	34th pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Returns	Punt return avg	-2.0	#27/27	4th pct	Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns	Punt return yards	-2	#27/27	4th pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Ball Security	Fumbles lost	1	#78/256	70th pct	Turnoversvs FBS RB

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

Status—Awaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Road2g	31.5	2.8	0.0

Win vs Loss

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Losses2g	31.5	2.8	0.0

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Weeks 1-72g	31.5	2.8	0.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

EPA / dropback—

awaiting

CPOE—

awaiting

Success rate—

awaiting

Explosive rate (20+)—

awaiting

aDOT—

awaiting

Deep-ball accuracy—

awaiting

Pressure-to-sack—

awaiting

3rd-down EPA—

awaiting

Red-zone TD rate—

awaiting

Play-action EPA—

awaiting

Scramble EPA—

awaiting

Turnover-worthy play rate—

awaiting

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Phil Longo

Pass share

51.3%

388 pass / 368 run

Plays / game

63.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.1%

324 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023

1 coach

2023

K.C. Keeler

Sam Houston

Played his entire career under K.C. Keeler.

HometownTroy, TX

Height5'9"

Weight190 lb

Class4

PositionRB

Jersey27

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season	Honor	Scope	Team / Selector	Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season	Team	Role	Latest Model	Forecast	Win	Finalist	Official Finish	Points	Context
2024	Sam Houston	RB4	#2447	#2229	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W16 snapshot \| Conference USA
2023	Sam Houston	RB4	#3324	#3733	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W19 snapshot \| Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season	Team	Conference	Pos	Class	Bio
2024	Sam Houston	Conference USA	RB	4	No. 27 \| 5-9 \| 190 lb \| Troy, TX
2023	Sam Houston	Conference USA	RB	4	No. 27 \| 5-9 \| 190 lb \| Troy, TX

Zach Hrbacek

R00 · Walk-on

Identity & Role

Recruiting Pedigree

Transfer Arc

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

The Room on Zach Hrbacek

How rival fanbases talk about Zach Hrbacek

Awaiting candidate metric

What made this player interesting

2023 Season · Final

RB season snapshot

What kind of player is this?

2023 Season · Final

Traditional Stats

Advanced Metrics

Player Standing

Percentile Card

Advanced Savant

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Trophy Case · Detail

No formal honors on the ledger yet

Honors Timeline

Heisman By Year

Roster Timeline