Alabama State

2-1

SWAC · Hornet Stadium · 26,500 · 18,678 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetvs Mississippi Valley State · our model 92% Alabama State · a number, not a pick

LastL 17–34 at Troy · Sat Sep 12 · Jamarie Hostzclaw 80 rush yds, 1 TD, 10 rec yds

Nextvs Mississippi Valley State · Sat Sep 26 · 6 pm ET · Hornet Stadium · series 15-2, won the last 4 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Player stats — 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

Home-field advantage · Alabama State · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Alabama State has been 0.3 points worse at home than on the road.

Worse at home, 1st percentile of 133 programs

0% at home, 0% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (0–1 home, 0–9 away).

model 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3.

Hornet Stadium seats 26,500 and has averaged 73% full (19,385, 12 games reported). Visitors cover a median 248 miles to get here (2018-present).

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 37 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.

Home0–1Away0–9Edge−0.3Visitor trip248 mi

More in this tab

Havoc & trenchesDisruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc & trenches

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc Rate (D) 0.191
86th
Havoc Allowed (O) 0.133
77th
Stuff Rate (D) 0.230
77th
Stuff Rate Allowed (O) 0.256
14th
Line Yards (O) 2.420
14th
Line Yards Allowed (D) 2.558
68th
Standard-Downs Success (O) 0.427
14th
Standard-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.376
95th
Passing-Downs Success (O) 0.189
5th
Passing-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.267
59th
Screened 12 claims, 10 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Alabama State

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

76°F average kickoff temp; 4% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.

Based on 28 home games with weather data.

CFB Zeitgeist · team-pages v1.0 “Go Hornets”
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site