Next game
at Bethany (WV)
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Bison Stadium · series 3-0, won the last 3
Allegheny 74% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Allegheny
5-1Presidents' · Frank B. Fuhrer Field · 3,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 3-56 vs Washington & Jefferson
Our model gave Allegheny 28% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Case Western Reserve 36%, Geneva 44%
Win out 8% · expect 2.3 of 4 more wins
Allegheny's chance to win each game left, from our model: Bethany (WV) 74%, Geneva 44%, Hiram 72%, Case Western Reserve 36%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Bethany (WV) · our model 74% Allegheny
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Allegheny · 2026 schedule and results5-1Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 34%.Our rank entering each game: #597 to #560
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #597 | #666 | — | @Anderson (IN) | W 28-12 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #600 | #657 | — | Juniata | W 27-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #595 | #601 | — | Waynesburg | W 38-20 | 3-0 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #592 | #614 | — | @Saint Vincent | W 27-23 | 4-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #576 | #653 | — | @Thiel | W 41-10 | 5-0 | 3-0 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #560 | #463 | — | Washington & Jefferson | L 3-56 | 5-1 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #570 | #618 | @Bethany (WV) | 1 pm ET74% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #570 | #544 | @Geneva | 7 pm ET44% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Hiram | 1 pm ET72% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Case Western Reserve | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Allegheny, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Allegheny: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Allegheny has won four of its last five.
7-3 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 7-3
Range of outcomes · Allegheny · 2026
Range of outcomes · Allegheny · 2026Allegheny’s most likely regular season is 7-3. 89% of outcomes land from 6-4 to 8-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 3%; 6 wins 18%; 7 wins 39%; 8 wins 32%; 9 wins 8%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor8-4Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base10-2Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling11-1Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-1
Game feel48rock fightscombined pts / game11th highest-scoring of 13 in the Presidents'
Heart rate1-0some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)9th most one-score games of 13 in the Presidents'
Margin+7.2competitiveavg scoring margin6th best margin of 13 in the Presidents'
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Presidents' teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Allegheny is the Presidents' Athletic Conference program anchored by a 1990 national championship, playing every fall for the tradition of small-school excellence in northwest Pennsylvania.
Title DroughtSince 1990 · 36 yrs
Fans here believe no chip, really — Allegheny carries the pride of 1990 with quiet confidence. The motivation is internal: honor the championship, honor Coach Jerry Finkbeiner's legacy, build a…
Game day
The experience
Allegheny is the Presidents' Athletic Conference program anchored by a 1990 national championship, playing every fall for the tradition of small-school excellence in northwest Pennsylvania.
Playoff path
Allegheny sits 4th in the Presidents’ Conference and 63rd of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — on the at-large bubble — the conference title is the surer route.
Presidents' · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington & Jefferson | 4-0 | 5-1 | 65.9 |
| 2 | Grove City | 4-0 | 4-2 | 57.8 |
| 3 | Case Western Reserve | 3-1 | 5-1 | 61.3 |
| 4 | Allegheny | 3-1 | 5-1 | 59.3 |
| 5 | Hiram | 2-2 | 4-2 | 51.3 |
| 6 | Geneva | 2-2 | 3-3 | 50.0 |
| 7 | Westminster (PA) | 2-2 | 2-4 | 46.5 |
| 8 | Saint Vincent | 2-2 | 3-2 | 46.4 |
59.3 CFB Zeitgeist#63 of 245 D342.8 strength of schedule
Win the Presidents' Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 5-1
Signature win 41-10 over Thiel; toughest day 3-56 against Washington & Jefferson.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site