Next game
vs Washington & Jefferson
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Alumni Stadium (PA) · series 0-6, lost the last 6
Thiel <1% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Thiel
0-6Presidents' · Alumni Stadium (PA) · 1,400 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 10
L 20-62 at Saint Vincent
Our model gave Thiel 9% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Westminster (PA) 10%
Win out <1% · expect 0.1 of 4 more wins
Thiel's chance to win each game left, from our model: Washington & Jefferson <1%, Case Western Reserve 1%, Westminster (PA) 10%, Grove City <1%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Washington & Jefferson · our model <1% Thiel
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 6
Schedule and results
Thiel · 2026 schedule and results0-6Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 57%.Our rank entering each game: #642 to #655
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #642 | #585 | — | @Alfred State | L 13-74 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #642 | #469 | — | Adrian | L 7-48 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #641 | #647 | — | @Bethany (WV) | L 3-52 | 0-3 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #647 | #619 | — | Hiram | L 19-32 | 0-4 | 0-2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #653 | #576 | — | Allegheny | L 10-41 | 0-5 | 0-3 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #655 | #606 | — | @Saint Vincent | L 20-62 | 0-6 | 0-4 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | #652 | #450 | Washington & Jefferson | 1 pm ET<1% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #652 | #482 | @Case Western Reserve | 1 pm ET1% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Westminster (PA) | 1 pm ET10% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Grove City | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Thiel, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Thiel: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Thiel has lost eight straight.
1-9 over the last 10, and lost the last eight.
Streak L8Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 1-9
Range of outcomes · Thiel · 2026
Range of outcomes · Thiel · 2026Thiel’s most likely regular season is 0-10. 100% of outcomes land from 0-10 to 1-9.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
0 wins 89%; 1 wins 11%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor0-12Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base0-12Mid-table finish.
Ceiling3-9Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 0-6
Game feel64shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 13 in the Presidents'
Heart rate0-0rarely closein one-score games (0 of 6)13th most one-score games of 13 in the Presidents'
Margin-39.5outgunnedavg scoring margin13th best margin of 13 in the Presidents'
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Presidents' teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Thiel College is the Presidents' Athletic Conference program where tradition runs deep through the Tomcat mascot (named by a visiting coach in 1924) and the Victory Bell rivalry tradition, a small Pennsylvania school playing with quiet pride.
Standard GapA small liberal-arts college where football is one tradition among…
Fans here believe no chip — Thiel's identity is built on tradition, not grievance. The Tomcat name and the Victory Bell are the program's anchors.
Game day
The experience
Thiel College is the Presidents' Athletic Conference program where tradition runs deep through the Tomcat mascot (named by a visiting coach in 1924) and the Victory Bell rivalry tradition, a small Pennsylvania school playing with quiet pride.
Playoff path
Thiel sits 13th in the Presidents’ Conference and 240th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Presidents' · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington & Jefferson | 4-0 | 5-1 | 65.9 |
| 2 | Grove City | 4-0 | 4-2 | 57.8 |
| 3 | Case Western Reserve | 3-1 | 5-1 | 61.3 |
| 4 | Allegheny | 3-1 | 5-1 | 59.3 |
| 5 | Hiram | 2-2 | 4-2 | 51.3 |
| 6 | Geneva | 2-2 | 3-3 | 50.0 |
| 7 | Westminster (PA) | 2-2 | 2-4 | 46.5 |
| 13 | Thiel | 0-4 | 0-6 | 30.3 |
30.3 CFB Zeitgeist#240 of 245 D350.3 strength of schedule
Win the Presidents' Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 0-6
Signature win 19-32 over Hiram; toughest day 13-74 against Alfred State.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site