Alfred State College · Next-Season Outcome BandECFC Championship 2023
First conference title in program history
Alfred State College5-5Verdict Begins·Offseason
Alfred State is the brand-new Division III program that just joined Empire 8 in 2025 and celebrated its inaugural victory with the Alfred Cup rivalry born that same year.
Title DroughtSince 1995 · 30 yrs
No chip. The fanbase is building from the ground up.
low signal
Quiet weeks in Pioneers country.
Alfred State College · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 3-9
Base 5-7
Ceiling 8-4
floor3-9Rebuild year. Below .500.
base5-7Mid-table finish.
ceiling8-4Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cooling
Two of five. Schedule has caught up.
Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 5-5
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs Thiel · at home
Game Week
9 days
until kickoff · vs Thiel · Sat Sep 5 · 20:00 UTC
The experience
Alfred State is the brand-new Division III program that just joined Empire 8 in 2025 and celebrated its inaugural victory with the Alfred Cup rivalry born that same year.
DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL
Alfred State College sits 5th in the Empire 8 Conference and 149th of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Empire 8 · 2025
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUNY Cortland | 7-0 | 8-3 | 61.5 |
| 2 | Utica | 6-1 | 8-3 | 60.8 |
| 3 | St. John Fisher | 5-2 | 7-4 | 54.0 |
| 4 | Brockport | 4-3 | 7-4 | 54.1 |
| 5 | Alfred State | 4-4 | 5-5 | 46.3 |
| 6 | Alfred | 2-5 | 4-6 | 46.2 |
| 7 | Hartwick | 2-6 | 4-6 | 42.3 |
| 8 | SUNY Morrisville | 0-7 | 0-10 | 31.1 |
46.3 CFB Zeitgeist#149 of 240 D345.0 strength of schedule
Win the Empire 8 Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
THE 2025 SEASON · 5-5
Signature win 49-13 over Hilbert; toughest day 7-49 against SUNY Cortland.
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Alfred State College
—
Quiet weeks in Pioneers country.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
"Go Alfred State"
— Alfred State College fanbase · recurring line
0 mentions · awaiting signal
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Alfred State College · 2025 schedule & results5-5Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 38%.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sep 6 | — | — | — | @Anderson (IN) | L 6–7 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #603 | #630 | — | @Hilbert | W 49–13 | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #598 | #632 | — | Buffalo State | W 56–20 | 2-1 | 1-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #590 | #493 | — | @Utica | L 13–45 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #588 | #608 | — | SUNY Morrisville | W 41–21 | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #573 | #503 | — | @Brockport | L 14–48 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #585 | #628 | — | Hartwick | W 54–28 | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #572 | #463 | — | SUNY Cortland | L 7–49 | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #579 | #584 | — | Alfred | W 35–28 | 5-4 | 4-3 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #573 | #563 | — | @St. John Fisher | L 14–41 | 5-5 | 4-4 |
Home-Field Advantage · Alfred State College · 2018-present
Elite
71% home win rate vs 25% on the road. margin runs +20.8 better at home. Pioneer Stadium seats 1,500.
Home15-6Away5-15
Venue texture
56°F average kickoff temp; 0% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.
Based on 5 home games with weather data.
All-Time Record
20-21
since 2022 · 4 seasons · .487 win rate
HOME
15-6
AWAY
5-15
NEUTRAL
0-0
2020s
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
ECFC Championship 2024
Back-to-back championship and NCAA Tournament berth
2025
First Alfred Cup Victory
Defeated Alfred University in the inaugural Alfred Cup rivalry game
Moment of the Year · Alfred State College · 2025
Moment of the Year · Alfred State College · 2025Won 49-13 at Hilbert
Week 3 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.
Postseason History
Postseason HistoryRecent postseason (2023): 0-1
Most recent: 2023 — loss 56-14 (away). Last 5 postseason: 0-1.
2023
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