Next game
at Buffalo State
Sat Oct 24 · 3 pm ET
Coyer Field · series 0-3, lost the last 3
Hilbert College 32% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Hilbert College
0-6Empire 8 · St. Francis High School
Last game · Sat Oct 10
L 0-56 vs St. Lawrence
Our model gave Hilbert College 42% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Buffalo State 32%
Win out <1% · expect 0.6 of 4 more wins
Hilbert College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Buffalo State 32%, Union 2%, Hobart 2%, Hartwick 21%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Buffalo State · our model 32% Hilbert College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 6
Schedule and results
Hilbert College · 2026 schedule and results0-6Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 60%.Our rank entering each game: #657 to #659
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #657 | #618 | — | @Saint Vincent | L 6-60 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #659 | #582 | — | @Alfred State | L 12-57 | 0-2 | 0-1 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #660 | #483 | — | @Ithaca | L 6-76 | 0-3 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #658 | #570 | — | Rochester (NY) | L 6-48 | 0-4 | 0-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #659 | #502 | — | @Rensselaer | L 0-83 | 0-5 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #659 | #626 | — | St. Lawrence | L 0-56 | 0-6 | 0-1 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | #658 | #643 | @Buffalo State | 3 pm ET32% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #658 | #513 | Union | 12 pm ET2% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Hobart | 1 pm ET2% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Hartwick | 12 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Hilbert College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Hilbert College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Hilbert College has lost ten straight.
0-10 over the last 10, and lost the last ten.
Streak L10Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 0-10
Range of outcomes · Hilbert College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Hilbert College · 2026Hilbert College’s most likely regular season is 0-10. 92% of outcomes land from 0-10 to 1-9.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
0 wins 52%; 1 wins 40%; 2 wins 8%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor0-12Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base0-12Mid-table finish.
Ceiling3-9Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 0-6
Game feel68shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 9 in the Empire 8
Heart rate0-0rarely closein one-score games (0 of 6)8th most one-score games of 9 in the Empire 8
Margin-58.3outgunnedavg scoring margin9th best margin of 9 in the Empire 8
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Empire 8 teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Hawks of tiny Hilbert College in Hamburg, New York — a brand-new program that kicked off in 2022 and is still chasing its first win, building football from absolute zero in the Empire 8.
Standard GapA startup program with no wins yet, fighting just to get its first one…
Hilbert keeps suiting up the Hawks every week despite being college football's newest program — and everyone counts them out before kickoff.
Game day
The experience
The Hawks of tiny Hilbert College in Hamburg, New York — a brand-new program that kicked off in 2022 and is still chasing its first win, building football from absolute zero in the Empire 8.
Playoff path
Hilbert College sits 9th in the Empire 8 Conference and 242nd of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Empire 8 · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUNY Cortland | 4-0 | 6-0 | 75.1 |
| 2 | Brockport | 3-0 | 5-1 | 62.7 |
| 3 | Utica | 2-1 | 5-1 | 68.4 |
| 4 | St. John Fisher | 2-1 | 5-1 | 60.2 |
| 5 | Alfred State | 2-2 | 4-2 | 52.5 |
| 6 | Alfred | 1-2 | 2-4 | 46.6 |
| 7 | SUNY Morrisville | 0-3 | 1-5 | 40.7 |
| 9 | Hilbert | 0-1 | 0-6 | 30.3 |
30.3 CFB Zeitgeist#242 of 245 D350.9 strength of schedule
Win the Empire 8 Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 0-6
Signature win 6-48 over Rochester (NY); toughest day 0-83 against Rensselaer.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site