Next game
vs Ithaca
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Frank Bailey Field · series 1-3
Union (NY) 39% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Union (NY)
3-3Liberty League · Frank Bailey Field · 1,600 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 10
L 12-18 at Hobart
Our model gave Union (NY) 61% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Ithaca 39%, Rensselaer 41%
Win out 12% · expect 2.6 of 4 more wins
Union (NY)'s chance to win each game left, from our model: Ithaca 39%, Hilbert 98%, Rochester (NY) 80%, Rensselaer 41%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Ithaca · our model 39% Union (NY)
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 6
Schedule and results
Union (NY) · 2026 schedule and results3-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 47%.Our rank entering each game: #516 to #506
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #516 | #440 | — | Susquehanna | L 17-23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #505 | #464 | — | SUNY Cortland | L 0-26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #514 | #594 | — | @SUNY Morrisville | W 38-17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #511 | #648 | — | Buffalo State | W 63-14 | 2-2 | 1-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 2 | #518 | #618 | — | @St. Lawrence | W 49-7 | 3-2 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #506 | #511 | — | @Hobart | L 12-18 | 3-3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | #513 | #486 | Ithaca | 1 pm ET39% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #513 | #658 | @Hilbert | 12 pm ET98% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Rochester (NY) | 1 pm ET80% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Rensselaer | 12 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Union (NY), through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Union (NY): a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Union (NY) has won three of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · Union (NY) · 2026
Range of outcomes · Union (NY) · 2026Union (NY)’s most likely regular season is 6-4. 92% of outcomes land from 5-5 to 7-3.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 8%; 5 wins 39%; 6 wins 41%; 7 wins 12%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base6-6Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-3
Game feel47even gamescombined pts / game4th highest-scoring of 7 in the Liberty League
Heart rate0-2white-knucklein one-score games (2 of 6)2nd most one-score games of 7 in the Liberty League
Margin+12.3competitiveavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 7 in the Liberty League
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Liberty League teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Garnet Chargers of Union College in Schenectady — a Liberty League program that reached the Division III playoffs in 2023 and plays at historic Frank Bailey Field, meeting RPI for the Dutchman Shoes.
Standard GapA prestigious old college with recent playoff form, trying to make…
Union earned an at-large D3 playoff bid in 2023 — proof the Garnet Chargers belong, even as a small academic college nobody pencils in.
Game day
The experience
The Garnet Chargers of Union College in Schenectady — a Liberty League program that reached the Division III playoffs in 2023 and plays at historic Frank Bailey Field, meeting RPI for the Dutchman Shoes.
Playoff path
Union (NY) sits 3rd in the Liberty League and 113th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Liberty League · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ithaca | 3-0 | 5-1 | 58.6 |
| 2 | Rensselaer | 2-0 | 4-2 | 55.6 |
| 3 | Union | 2-1 | 3-3 | 51.4 |
| 4 | Rochester (NY) | 1-1 | 3-3 | 47.8 |
| 5 | Hobart | 1-2 | 3-3 | 52.9 |
| 6 | St. Lawrence | 0-2 | 2-4 | 44.2 |
| 7 | Buffalo State | 0-3 | 0-6 | 31.1 |
51.4 CFB Zeitgeist#113 of 245 D351.3 strength of schedule
Win the Liberty League for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-3
Signature win 63-14 over Buffalo State; toughest day 0-26 against SUNY Cortland.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site