Next game
vs St. John Fisher
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Stadium Red Field · series 4-0, won the last 4
SUNY Cortland 90% to win · our ratings after 6 games
SUNY Cortland
6-0Empire 8 · Stadium Red Field · 6,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 45-7 at Alfred
Our model gave SUNY Cortland 88% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Every game left is at least 70%
Win out 47% · expect 3.3 of 4 more wins
SUNY Cortland's chance to win each game left, from our model: St. John Fisher 90%, Alfred State 95%, Brockport 71%, Ithaca 77%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs St. John Fisher · our model 90% SUNY Cortland
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
SUNY Cortland · 2026 schedule and results6-0Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 44%.Our rank entering each game: #465 to #458
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #465 | #473 | — | @Grove City | W 28-18 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #464 | #505 | — | @Union | W 26-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #459 | #631 | — | Hartwick | W 55-3 | 3-0 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #458 | #600 | — | SUNY Morrisville | W 62-6 | 4-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #457 | #476 | — | @Utica | W 31-21 | 5-0 | 3-0 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #458 | #557 | — | @Alfred | W 45-7 | 6-0 | 4-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #443 | #534 | St. John Fisher | 1 pm ET90% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #443 | #560 | Alfred State | 1 pm ET95% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Brockport | 12 pm ET71% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Ithaca (N) | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for SUNY Cortland, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for SUNY Cortland: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
SUNY Cortland has won six straight.
8-2 over the last 10, and won the last six.
Streak W6Last 5 · 5-0Last 10 · 8-2
Range of outcomes · SUNY Cortland · 2026
Range of outcomes · SUNY Cortland · 2026SUNY Cortland’s most likely regular season is 10-0. 99% of outcomes land from 8-2 to 10-0.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
7 wins 1%; 8 wins 11%; 9 wins 40%; 10 wins 47%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor10-2Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base12-0Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling12-0Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 6-0
Game feel50even gamescombined pts / game6th highest-scoring of 9 in the Empire 8
Heart rate0-0some dramain one-score games (0 of 6)7th most one-score games of 9 in the Empire 8
Margin+32.0comfortableavg scoring margin1st best margin of 9 in the Empire 8
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Empire 8 teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Cortland is the national champion that won the 2023 Stagg Bowl and owns the most iconic rivalry in Division III — the Cortaca Jug against Ithaca, the biggest little game in America.
Title DroughtSince 2023 · 3 yrs
Fans here believe cortland's chip is earned: beat #1 North Central 38–37 in the 2023 Stagg Bowl to win the national championship, proving a small SUNY program could do what the big boys couldn't.
Game day
The experience
Cortland is the national champion that won the 2023 Stagg Bowl and owns the most iconic rivalry in Division III — the Cortaca Jug against Ithaca, the biggest little game in America.
Playoff path
SUNY Cortland sits 1st in the Empire 8 Conference and 4th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — in the projected field with a seedable rating.
Empire 8 · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUNY Cortland | 4-0 | 6-0 | 75.1 |
| 2 | Brockport | 3-0 | 5-1 | 62.7 |
| 3 | Utica | 2-1 | 5-1 | 68.4 |
| 4 | St. John Fisher | 2-1 | 5-1 | 60.2 |
| 5 | Alfred State | 2-2 | 4-2 | 52.5 |
| 6 | Alfred | 1-2 | 2-4 | 46.6 |
| 7 | SUNY Morrisville | 0-3 | 1-5 | 40.7 |
| 8 | Hartwick | 0-4 | 1-5 | 39.4 |
75.1 CFB Zeitgeist#4 of 245 D350.7 strength of schedule2 quality wins
Win the Empire 8 Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 6-0
Signature win 62-6 over SUNY Morrisville; toughest day 28-18 against Grove City.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site