Next game
vs Alfred
Sat Oct 24 · 12 pm ET
Charles A. Gaetano Stadium · series 3-1
Utica University 95% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Utica University
5-1Empire 8 · Charles A. Gaetano Stadium · 1,200 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 10
W 33-7 at SUNY Morrisville
Our model gave Utica University 91% before kickoff
The rest of the season
One real test left: Brockport 69%
Win out 48% · expect 3.4 of 4 more wins
Utica University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Alfred 95%, St. John Fisher 75%, Hartwick 97%, Brockport 69%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Alfred · our model 95% Utica University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 6
Schedule and results
Utica University · 2026 schedule and results5-1Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 63%.Our rank entering each game: #500 to #471
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #500 | #470 | — | Washington & Jefferson | W 26-11 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #494 | #490 | — | @Rensselaer | W 38-14 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #485 | #484 | — | Hobart | W 36-29 | 3-0 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #484 | #567 | — | @Alfred State | W 58-13 | 4-0 | 1-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #476 | #457 | — | SUNY Cortland | L 21-31 | 4-1 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #471 | #602 | — | @SUNY Morrisville | W 33-7 | 5-1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | #467 | #562 | Alfred | 12 pm ET95% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #466 | #534 | @St. John Fisher | 2 pm ET75% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Hartwick | 1 pm ET97% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Brockport | 12 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Utica University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Utica University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Utica University has won four of its last five.
8-2 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 8-2
Range of outcomes · Utica University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Utica University · 2026Utica University’s most likely regular season is 9-1. 99% of outcomes land from 7-3 to 9-1.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
7 wins 10%; 8 wins 41%; 9 wins 48%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor8-4Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base10-2Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling11-1Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-1
Game feel53even gamescombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 9 in the Empire 8
Heart rate1-0some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)3rd most one-score games of 9 in the Empire 8
Margin+17.8competitiveavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 9 in the Empire 8
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Empire 8 teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Utica is the mid-Major program in its 25th-anniversary season, led by long-tenured coach Blaise Faggiano in his 18th consecutive year, competing consistently in Empire 8.
Standard GapA small university with a long-standing football program built on…
Fans here believe no chip. Utica plays for continuous improvement.
Game day
The experience
Utica is the mid-Major program in its 25th-anniversary season, led by long-tenured coach Blaise Faggiano in his 18th consecutive year, competing consistently in Empire 8.
Playoff path
Utica University sits 3rd in the Empire 8 Conference and 15th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — in the projected field with a seedable rating.
Empire 8 · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUNY Cortland | 4-0 | 6-0 | 75.1 |
| 2 | Brockport | 3-0 | 5-1 | 62.7 |
| 3 | Utica | 2-1 | 5-1 | 68.4 |
| 4 | St. John Fisher | 2-1 | 5-1 | 60.2 |
| 5 | Alfred State | 2-2 | 4-2 | 52.5 |
| 6 | Alfred | 1-2 | 2-4 | 46.6 |
| 7 | SUNY Morrisville | 0-3 | 1-5 | 40.7 |
| 8 | Hartwick | 0-4 | 1-5 | 39.4 |
68.4 CFB Zeitgeist#15 of 245 D357.1 strength of schedule2 quality wins
Win the Empire 8 Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 5-1
Signature win 58-13 over Alfred State; toughest day 21-31 against SUNY Cortland.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site