Next game
at Rochester (NY)
Sat Oct 24 · 12 pm ET
Edwin Fauver Stadium · series 3-1
Rensselaer 74% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Rensselaer
4-2Liberty League · ECAV Stadium · 5,200 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 10
W 56-0 at Buffalo State
Our model gave Rensselaer 90% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Ithaca 32%, Union 59%
Win out 13% · expect 2.6 of 4 more wins
Rensselaer's chance to win each game left, from our model: Rochester (NY) 74%, St. Lawrence 92%, Ithaca 32%, Union 59%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Rochester (NY) · our model 74% Rensselaer
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 6
Schedule and results
Rensselaer · 2026 schedule and results4-2Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 47%.Our rank entering each game: #487 to #510
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #487 | #630 | — | WPI | W 35-7 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #490 | #494 | — | Utica | L 14-38 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #500 | #494 | — | @Brockport | L 10-45 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #515 | #486 | — | Hobart | W 33-7 | 2-2 | 1-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #502 | #659 | — | Hilbert | W 83-0 | 3-2 | 1-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #510 | #648 | — | @Buffalo State | W 56-0 | 4-2 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | #506 | #574 | @Rochester (NY) | 12 pm ET74% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #507 | #607 | St. Lawrence | 12 pm ET92% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Ithaca | 1 pm ET32% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Union | 12 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Rensselaer, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Rensselaer: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Rensselaer has won three of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and won the last three.
Streak W3Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · Rensselaer · 2026
Range of outcomes · Rensselaer · 2026Rensselaer’s most likely regular season is 7-3. 99% of outcomes land from 5-5 to 8-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 10%; 6 wins 35%; 7 wins 42%; 8 wins 13%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor6-6Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base8-4Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-2
Game feel55shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 7 in the Liberty League
Heart rate0-0rarely closein one-score games (0 of 6)6th most one-score games of 7 in the Liberty League
Margin+22.3comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 7 in the Liberty League
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Liberty League teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Engineers of Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute in Troy, New York, who play in the Liberty League and carry the identity of America's oldest technological university onto a Division III football field.
Standard GapAn engineering school whose football is an act of discipline more than…
Everyone knows Rensselaer for engineering and ice hockey — the football Engineers grind in the Liberty League without anyone outside Troy paying attention.
Game day
The experience
The Engineers of Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute in Troy, New York, who play in the Liberty League and carry the identity of America's oldest technological university onto a Division III football field.
Playoff path
Rensselaer sits 2nd in the Liberty League and 88th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Liberty League · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ithaca | 3-0 | 5-1 | 58.6 |
| 2 | Rensselaer | 2-0 | 4-2 | 55.6 |
| 3 | Union | 2-1 | 3-3 | 51.4 |
| 4 | Rochester (NY) | 1-1 | 3-3 | 47.8 |
| 5 | Hobart | 1-2 | 3-3 | 52.9 |
| 6 | St. Lawrence | 0-2 | 2-4 | 44.2 |
| 7 | Buffalo State | 0-3 | 0-6 | 31.1 |
55.6 CFB Zeitgeist#88 of 245 D350.3 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the Liberty League for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 4-2
Signature win 83-0 over Hilbert; toughest day 10-45 against Brockport.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site