CFB Zeitgeist
June 22, 2026 · Dead Period · Heritage Window · 2026 Outlook

Buffalo State College

1-9 2025 final

Buffalo State is a regional SUNY program in its sixth season of Liberty League competition, building identity in a new conference landscape.

The Bengals hold the line.

Record
1-9
win% .100
Conference
7th of 7
Liberty League · 0-6
Index Rating
34.3
D3 #220 of 240
Playoff Path
Win the league
Dead PeriodOffseasonPatientPost-loss — diagnostic
The Long Wait·Offseason

Buffalo State is a regional SUNY program in its sixth season of Liberty League competition, building identity in a new conference landscape.

Title DroughtSince 2020 · 5 yrs

Buffalo State competed in Liberty League play in 2025, compiling a 1–6 record as of late October. Coach Lazarus Morgan leads a program in transition within the Liberty League. Founded 1871 as a teacher-training institution, Buffal…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

Offseason

69 days

until kickoff · Sun Aug 30 · 17:00 UTC

Act I

The 2026 Outlook

DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL

Buffalo State College sits 7th in the Liberty League and 220th of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.

Liberty League · 2025
TeamConfOverallIndex
1Union (NY)6-08-360.9
2Ithaca College5-18-264.4
3Rensselaer4-28-360.0
4Hobart College3-36-552.6
5St. Lawrence2-44-644.1
6University of Rochester (NY)1-55-547.6
7Buffalo State0-61-934.3
34.3 CFB Zeitgeist#220 of 240 D350.2 strength of schedule

Win the Liberty League for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.

Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
THE 2025 SEASON · 1-9
L 0-41 vs Brockport · Wk 2-41BrockporL 27-29 vs Hartwick · Wk 3-2HartwickL 20-56 at Alfred State · Wk 4-36Alfred SW 15-8 at Hilbert College · Wk 5+7Hilbert L 6-28 vs Union (NY) · Wk 6-22Union (NL 13-57 at Rensselaer · Wk 7-44RensselaL 3-23 vs University of Rochester (NY) · Wk 9-20UniversiL 7-49 at Ithaca College · Wk 10-42Ithaca CL 19-24 vs St. Lawrence · Wk 11-5St. LawrL 9-35 at Hobart College · Wk 12-26Hobart C

Signature win 15-8 over Hilbert College; toughest day 13-57 against Rensselaer.

The Pulse on Buffalo State College

Quiet · dead period heritage · signal ramps back in camp
The Bengals hold the line.

What moved it — offseason · last 30 days

June Dead-period quiet — official-visit + heritage window
Camp Fall camp ~40 days out
"Go Buffalo State" — Buffalo State College fanbase · recurring line
0 mentions · awaiting signal

Aspiration Ladder

Brief Part III §33.4 · Buffalo State College

Winning record

The baseline for a successful season.

Conference title

The primary goal and national bracket path.

32-team bracket qualifierLocked

One of 32 national tournament entries.

Stagg BowlLocked

The Division III national championship game.

Buffalo State College · Next-Season Outcome Band

Floor / Base / Ceiling

floor0-12Rebuild year. Below .500.
base1-11Mid-table finish.
ceiling4-8Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.

Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.

Act II

Who We Are

Home-Field Advantage · Buffalo State College · 2018-present

Above-Average

14% home win rate vs 15% on the road. margin runs +5.1 better at home.

Home3-18Away3-16
Act III

Last Season Reviewed

2025 season · tap to expand

Recent Form · last 10 games

Hibernating

Zero of five. Reset territory.

Streak L6Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 1-9

Schedule Strength · Buffalo State College · 2025

Balanced

Average opponent win rate 52% across 10 finalized games. Balanced slate across the conference slate.

Opp Win %0.524

From the Archive — Buffalo State College

2024: Lost 14-49 vs Ithaca College

In 2024, the program lost 14-49 vs Ithaca College — a stinging home result, 35 points either way.

Go Bengals.