Next game
vs Alfred State
Sat Oct 24 · 3 pm ET
Wright Stadium · series 0-1
Hartwick College 22% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Hartwick College
1-5Empire 8 · Wright Stadium · 1,200 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 10
L 13-27 at St. John Fisher
Our model gave Hartwick College 7% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Utica 3%, Alfred State 22%, SUNY Morrisville 42%
Win out <1% · expect 1.5 of 4 more wins
Hartwick College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Alfred State 22%, SUNY Morrisville 42%, Utica 3%, Hilbert 79%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Alfred State · our model 22% Hartwick College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 6
Schedule and results
Hartwick College · 2026 schedule and results1-5Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 63%.Our rank entering each game: #635 to #628
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #635 | #572 | — | @Misericordia | L 14-42 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #637 | #638 | — | Buffalo State | W 47-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #631 | #459 | — | @SUNY Cortland | L 3-55 | 1-2 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #624 | #489 | — | Brockport | L 11-37 | 1-3 | 0-2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #625 | #569 | — | Alfred | L 7-27 | 1-4 | 0-3 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #628 | #532 | — | @St. John Fisher | L 13-27 | 1-5 | 0-4 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | #621 | #561 | Alfred State | 3 pm ET22% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #621 | #604 | @SUNY Morrisville | 1 pm ET42% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Utica | 1 pm ET3% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Hilbert | 12 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Hartwick College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Hartwick College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Hartwick College has won one of its last five.
3-7 over the last 10, and lost the last four.
Streak L4Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 3-7
Range of outcomes · Hartwick College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Hartwick College · 2026Hartwick College’s most likely regular season is 2-8. 82% of outcomes land from 2-8 to 3-7.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 9%; 2 wins 44%; 3 wins 38%; 4 wins 8%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base2-10Mid-table finish.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-5
Game feel49even gamescombined pts / game7th highest-scoring of 9 in the Empire 8
Heart rate0-0some dramain one-score games (0 of 6)6th most one-score games of 9 in the Empire 8
Margin-17.7competitiveavg scoring margin7th best margin of 9 in the Empire 8
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Empire 8 teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Hartwick is a small Division III program where academics and lacrosse are the identity, and football plays the role of a secondary sport in a tight-knit college community.
Title DroughtSince 1977 · 49 yrs
Fans here believe no chip. Hartwick plays for itself.
Game day
The experience
Hartwick is a small Division III program where academics and lacrosse are the identity, and football plays the role of a secondary sport in a tight-knit college community.
Playoff path
Hartwick College sits 8th in the Empire 8 Conference and 195th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Empire 8 · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUNY Cortland | 4-0 | 6-0 | 75.1 |
| 2 | Brockport | 3-0 | 5-1 | 62.7 |
| 3 | Utica | 2-1 | 5-1 | 68.4 |
| 4 | St. John Fisher | 2-1 | 5-1 | 60.2 |
| 5 | Alfred State | 2-2 | 4-2 | 52.5 |
| 6 | Alfred | 1-2 | 2-4 | 46.6 |
| 7 | SUNY Morrisville | 0-3 | 1-5 | 40.7 |
| 8 | Hartwick | 0-4 | 1-5 | 39.4 |
39.4 CFB Zeitgeist#195 of 245 D356.1 strength of schedule
Win the Empire 8 Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 1-5
Signature win 47-13 over Buffalo State; toughest day 3-55 against SUNY Cortland.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site