Next game
at SUNY Cortland
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Stadium Red Field · series 0-4, lost the last 4
St John Fisher University 10% to win · our ratings after 6 games
St John Fisher University
5-1Empire 8 · Growney Stadium · 2,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 10
W 27-13 vs Hartwick
Our model gave St John Fisher University 93% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: SUNY Cortland 10%, Utica 25%, Alfred State 59%
Win out 1% · expect 1.9 of 4 more wins
St John Fisher University's chance to win each game left, from our model: SUNY Cortland 10%, Utica 25%, SUNY Morrisville 92%, Alfred State 59%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at SUNY Cortland · our model 10% St John Fisher University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 6
Schedule and results
St John Fisher University · 2026 schedule and results5-1Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 36%.Our rank entering each game: #554 to #532
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #554 | #591 | — | FDU Florham | W 38-8 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 11 | #552 | #598 | — | @St. Lawrence | W 30-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #547 | #575 | — | Rochester (NY) | W 14-13 | 3-0 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #543 | #553 | — | @Alfred | W 33-15 | 4-0 | 1-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #535 | #487 | — | @Brockport | L 28-38 | 4-1 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #532 | #628 | — | Hartwick | W 27-13 | 5-1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | #534 | #443 | @SUNY Cortland | 1 pm ET10% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #534 | #466 | Utica | 2 pm ET25% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | SUNY Morrisville | 1 pm ET92% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Alfred State | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for St John Fisher University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for St John Fisher University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
St John Fisher University has won four of its last five.
7-3 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 7-3
Range of outcomes · St John Fisher University · 2026
Range of outcomes · St John Fisher University · 2026St John Fisher University’s most likely regular season is 7-3. 96% of outcomes land from 6-4 to 8-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 2%; 6 wins 30%; 7 wins 49%; 8 wins 17%; 9 wins 1%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor8-4Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base10-2Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling11-1Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-1
Game feel44rock fightscombined pts / game8th highest-scoring of 9 in the Empire 8
Heart rate1-0some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)4th most one-score games of 9 in the Empire 8
Margin+12.2competitiveavg scoring margin5th best margin of 9 in the Empire 8
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Empire 8 teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Cardinals of Rochester, an Empire 8 founding member whose 2006 team went 12-2 and reached the NCAA Division III national semifinals before falling to Mount Union.
Standard GapA program that has already touched the Final Four — the bar isn't just…
Fisher proved in 2006 it could reach the national semifinals, then ran into Mount Union — the same dynasty that has stopped half of Division III from ever winning it all.
Game day
The experience
The Cardinals of Rochester, an Empire 8 founding member whose 2006 team went 12-2 and reached the NCAA Division III national semifinals before falling to Mount Union.
Playoff path
St John Fisher University sits 4th in the Empire 8 Conference and 57th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — on the at-large bubble — the conference title is the surer route.
Empire 8 · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUNY Cortland | 4-0 | 6-0 | 75.1 |
| 2 | Brockport | 3-0 | 5-1 | 62.7 |
| 3 | Utica | 2-1 | 5-1 | 68.4 |
| 4 | St. John Fisher | 2-1 | 5-1 | 60.2 |
| 5 | Alfred State | 2-2 | 4-2 | 52.5 |
| 6 | Alfred | 1-2 | 2-4 | 46.6 |
| 7 | SUNY Morrisville | 0-3 | 1-5 | 40.7 |
| 8 | Hartwick | 0-4 | 1-5 | 39.4 |
60.2 CFB Zeitgeist#57 of 245 D345.4 strength of schedule
Win the Empire 8 Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 5-1
Signature win 38-8 over FDU Florham; toughest day 28-38 against Brockport.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site