Next game
vs Hobart
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Leckonby Stadium · series 0-4, lost the last 4
St. Lawrence University 22% to win · our ratings after 6 games
St. Lawrence University
2-4Liberty League · Leckonby Stadium · 1,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 10
W 56-0 at Hilbert
Our model gave St. Lawrence University 58% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Rensselaer 8%, Hobart 22%, Rochester (NY) 27%
Win out <1% · expect 1.4 of 4 more wins
St. Lawrence University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Hobart 22%, Rensselaer 8%, Buffalo State 82%, Rochester (NY) 27%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Hobart · our model 22% St. Lawrence University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 6
Schedule and results
St. Lawrence University · 2026 schedule and results2-4Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 50%.Our rank entering each game: #595 to #626
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #595 | #658 | — | @Norwich | W 18-10 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 11 | #598 | #552 | — | St. John Fisher | L 10-30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #603 | #563 | — | @Alfred | L 7-31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #612 | #485 | — | @Ithaca | L 0-66 | 1-3 | 0-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 2 | #618 | #518 | — | Union | L 7-49 | 1-4 | 0-2 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #626 | #659 | — | @Hilbert | W 56-0 | 2-4 | 0-2 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | #607 | #507 | Hobart | 1 pm ET22% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #607 | #507 | @Rensselaer | 12 pm ET8% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Buffalo State | 1 pm ET82% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Rochester (NY) | 12 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for St. Lawrence University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for St. Lawrence University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
St. Lawrence University has won one of its last five.
4-6 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 4-6
Range of outcomes · St. Lawrence University · 2026
Range of outcomes · St. Lawrence University · 2026St. Lawrence University’s most likely regular season is 3-7. 83% of outcomes land from 3-7 to 4-6.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 10%; 3 wins 50%; 4 wins 33%; 5 wins 7%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base4-8Mid-table finish.
Ceiling7-5Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-4
Game feel47even gamescombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 7 in the Liberty League
Heart rate1-0some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)4th most one-score games of 7 in the Liberty League
Margin-14.7outgunnedavg scoring margin6th best margin of 7 in the Liberty League
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Liberty League teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
St. Lawrence is a small liberal-arts college with a 1950 golden era and a return to competitiveness in Liberty League, representing academic tradition with athletic pride.
Title DroughtSince 1950 · 76 yrs
Fans here believe no chip. St. Lawrence plays for itself.
Game day
The experience
St. Lawrence is a small liberal-arts college with a 1950 golden era and a return to competitiveness in Liberty League, representing academic tradition with athletic pride.
Playoff path
St. Lawrence University sits 6th in the Liberty League and 164th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Liberty League · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ithaca | 3-0 | 5-1 | 58.6 |
| 2 | Rensselaer | 2-0 | 4-2 | 55.6 |
| 3 | Union | 2-1 | 3-3 | 51.4 |
| 4 | Rochester (NY) | 1-1 | 3-3 | 47.8 |
| 5 | Hobart | 1-2 | 3-3 | 52.9 |
| 6 | St. Lawrence | 0-2 | 2-4 | 44.2 |
| 7 | Buffalo State | 0-3 | 0-6 | 31.1 |
44.2 CFB Zeitgeist#164 of 245 D349.2 strength of schedule
Win the Liberty League for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 2-4
Signature win 56-0 over Hilbert; toughest day 0-66 against Ithaca.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site