Next game
at St. Lawrence
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Leckonby Stadium · series 4-0, won the last 4
Hobart College 78% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Hobart College
3-3Liberty League · Boswell Field at David J. Urick Stadium · 3,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 10
W 18-12 vs Union
Our model gave Hobart College 39% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Every game left is at least 70%
Win out 52% · expect 3.4 of 4 more wins
Hobart College's chance to win each game left, from our model: St. Lawrence 78%, Rochester (NY) 72%, Hilbert 98%, Buffalo State 94%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at St. Lawrence · our model 78% Hobart College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 6
Schedule and results
Hobart College · 2026 schedule and results3-3Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 66%.Our rank entering each game: #483 to #511
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #483 | #566 | — | Alfred | W 24-17 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #485 | #493 | — | Brockport | W 27-14 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #484 | #485 | — | @Utica | L 29-36 | 2-1 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #486 | #515 | — | @Rensselaer | L 7-33 | 2-2 | 0-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #498 | #488 | — | Ithaca | L 20-27 | 2-3 | 0-2 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #511 | #506 | — | Union | W 18-12 | 3-3 | 1-2 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | #507 | #607 | @St. Lawrence | 1 pm ET78% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #508 | #574 | Rochester (NY) | 1 pm ET72% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Hilbert | 1 pm ET98% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Buffalo State | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Hobart College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Hobart College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Hobart College has won two of its last five.
7-3 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 7-3
Range of outcomes · Hobart College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Hobart College · 2026Hobart College’s most likely regular season is 7-3. 91% of outcomes land from 6-4 to 7-3.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 9%; 6 wins 39%; 7 wins 52%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base6-6Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-3
Game feel44rock fightscombined pts / game6th highest-scoring of 7 in the Liberty League
Heart rate2-2white-knucklein one-score games (4 of 6)1st most one-score games of 7 in the Liberty League
Margin-2.3competitiveavg scoring margin5th best margin of 7 in the Liberty League
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Liberty League teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Statesmen of Hobart College in Geneva, New York — a 12-time Liberty League champion that reached the NCAA Division III Elite Eight in 2012 and 2014, playing at historic Boswell Field.
Standard GapA genuine Liberty League power measured against the deep playoff runs…
Hobart owns a dozen Liberty League titles and back-to-back Elite Eight runs — and still gets overshadowed by its own famous lacrosse program and the national D3 names.
Game day
The experience
The Statesmen of Hobart College in Geneva, New York — a 12-time Liberty League champion that reached the NCAA Division III Elite Eight in 2012 and 2014, playing at historic Boswell Field.
Playoff path
Hobart College sits 5th in the Liberty League and 101st of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Liberty League · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ithaca | 3-0 | 5-1 | 58.6 |
| 2 | Rensselaer | 2-0 | 4-2 | 55.6 |
| 3 | Union | 2-1 | 3-3 | 51.4 |
| 4 | Rochester (NY) | 1-1 | 3-3 | 47.8 |
| 5 | Hobart | 1-2 | 3-3 | 52.9 |
| 6 | St. Lawrence | 0-2 | 2-4 | 44.2 |
| 7 | Buffalo State | 0-3 | 0-6 | 31.1 |
52.9 CFB Zeitgeist#101 of 245 D357.2 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the Liberty League for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-3
Signature win 27-14 over Brockport; toughest day 7-33 against Rensselaer.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site