Next game
at Waynesburg
Sat Oct 24 · 12 pm ET
John F. Wiley Stadium · series 3-0, won the last 3
Grove City College 96% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Grove City College
4-2Presidents' · Robert E. Thorn Field · 3,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 52-7 vs Hiram
Our model gave Grove City College 83% before kickoff
The rest of the season
One real test left: Washington & Jefferson 24%
Win out 17% · expect 2.9 of 4 more wins
Grove City College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Waynesburg 96%, Washington & Jefferson 24%, Case Western Reserve 71%, Thiel >99%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Waynesburg · our model 96% Grove City College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Grove City College · 2026 schedule and results4-2Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 50%.Our rank entering each game: #473 to #456
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #473 | #465 | — | SUNY Cortland | L 18-28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #473 | #460 | — | @Mount Union | L 17-21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 4 | Sep 26 | #474 | #286 | — | @Saint Francis | W 36-6 | 1-2 | 1-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #448 | #643 | — | Bethany (WV) | W 40-20 | 2-2 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #452 | #534 | — | @Westminster (PA) | W 34-19 | 3-2 | 3-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #456 | #564 | — | Hiram | W 52-7 | 4-2 | 4-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #451 | #608 | @Waynesburg | 12 pm ET96% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #451 | #449 | @Washington & Jefferson | 6 pm ET24% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Case Western Reserve | 1 pm ET71% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Thiel | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Grove City College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Grove City College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Grove City College has won four of its last five.
7-3 over the last 10, and won the last four.
Streak W4Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 7-3
Range of outcomes · Grove City College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Grove City College · 2026Grove City College’s most likely regular season is 7-3. 99% of outcomes land from 6-4 to 8-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
6 wins 23%; 7 wins 59%; 8 wins 17%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor6-6Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base8-4Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-2
Game feel50even gamescombined pts / game7th highest-scoring of 13 in the Presidents'
Heart rate0-1some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)8th most one-score games of 13 in the Presidents'
Margin+16.0comfortableavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 13 in the Presidents'
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Presidents' teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Wolverines of Grove City, a Christian liberal-arts college in western Pennsylvania playing Division III in the Presidents' Athletic Conference at Robert E. Thorn Field.
Standard GapA faith-grounded small college where football is part of a tight…
Grove City is a proud Christian college with a long football history, and the wider Division III world barely registers a small school in rural western Pennsylvania.
Game day
The experience
The Wolverines of Grove City, a Christian liberal-arts college in western Pennsylvania playing Division III in the Presidents' Athletic Conference at Robert E. Thorn Field.
Playoff path
Grove City College sits 2nd in the Presidents’ Conference and 73rd of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Presidents' · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington & Jefferson | 4-0 | 5-1 | 65.9 |
| 2 | Grove City | 4-0 | 4-2 | 57.8 |
| 3 | Case Western Reserve | 3-1 | 5-1 | 61.3 |
| 4 | Allegheny | 3-1 | 5-1 | 59.3 |
| 5 | Hiram | 2-2 | 4-2 | 51.3 |
| 6 | Geneva | 2-2 | 3-3 | 50.0 |
| 7 | Westminster (PA) | 2-2 | 2-4 | 46.5 |
| 8 | Saint Vincent | 2-2 | 3-2 | 46.4 |
57.8 CFB Zeitgeist#73 of 245 D351.7 strength of schedule
Win the Presidents' Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 4-2
Signature win 52-7 over Hiram; toughest day 18-28 against SUNY Cortland.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site