Next game
at UMass Dartmouth
Sat Oct 24 · 4 pm ET
Cressy Field · series 1-3
Bridgewater State University 71% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Bridgewater State University
5-1MSCAC · Edward C. Swenson Athletic Complex · 1,560 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 55-18 at Dean
Our model gave Bridgewater State University 94% before kickoff
The rest of the season
One real test left: Mass Maritime 65%
Win out 46% · expect 2.3 of 3 more wins
Bridgewater State University's chance to win each game left, from our model: UMass Dartmouth 71%, Fitchburg State 99%, Mass Maritime 65%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at UMass Dartmouth · our model 71% Bridgewater State University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Bridgewater State University · 2026 schedule and results5-1Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 47%.Our rank entering each game: #546 to #510
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #546 | #479 | — | Curry | W 63-35 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #536 | #622 | — | @Westfield State | W 34-28 | 2-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #538 | #540 | — | @Plymouth State | W 35-7 | 3-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #522 | #588 | — | Worcester State | L 34-35 | 3-1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 9 | #526 | #545 | — | Framingham State | W 38-7 | 4-1 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #510 | #655 | — | @Dean | W 55-18 | 5-1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #504 | #525 | @UMass Dartmouth | 4 pm ET71% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #505 | #637 | Fitchburg State | 12 pm ET99% to win | ||||
| 10 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Mass Maritime | 12 pm ET65% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Bridgewater State University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Bridgewater State University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Bridgewater State University has won four of its last five.
8-2 over the last 10, and won the last two.
Streak W2Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 8-2
Range of outcomes · Bridgewater State University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Bridgewater State University · 2026Bridgewater State University’s most likely regular season is 8-1. 100% of outcomes land from 6-3 to 8-1.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
6 wins 11%; 7 wins 44%; 8 wins 46%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor8-4Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base10-2Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling11-1Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-1
Game feel65shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 9 in the MSCAC
Heart rate1-1some dramain one-score games (2 of 6)4th most one-score games of 9 in the MSCAC
Margin+21.5comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 9 in the MSCAC
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among MSCAC teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Bridgewater State is the Massachusetts Bear that has built institutional football credibility through Peter Mezzoferro's legendary 37-year coaching tenure (1968–2004, 195 wins) and 40+ years of sustained competitive football.
Title DroughtSince 1974 · 52 yrs
Fans here believe no real chip — Bridgewater State's identity is too rooted in Mezzoferro's stability and MASCAC competence to carry a grievance.
Game day
The experience
Bridgewater State is the Massachusetts Bear that has built institutional football credibility through Peter Mezzoferro's legendary 37-year coaching tenure (1968–2004, 195 wins) and 40+ years of sustained competitive football.
Playoff path
Bridgewater State University sits 2nd in the MSCAC and 50th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — on the at-large bubble — the conference title is the surer route.
MSCAC · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mass Maritime | 4-0 | 5-0 | 60.1 |
| 2 | Bridgewater State | 4-1 | 5-1 | 61.5 |
| 3 | Westfield State | 3-1 | 3-2 | 52.0 |
| 4 | Worcester State | 3-2 | 3-4 | 45.7 |
| 5 | Framingham State | 2-2 | 3-2 | 54.8 |
| 6 | UMass Dartmouth | 2-2 | 2-3 | 47.7 |
| 7 | Plymouth State | 1-3 | 2-3 | 42.8 |
| 8 | Fitchburg State | 1-4 | 1-5 | 34.9 |
61.5 CFB Zeitgeist#50 of 245 D346.8 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the MSCAC for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 5-1
Signature win 55-18 over Dean; toughest day 34-35 against Worcester State.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site