Next game
vs Bridgewater State
Sat Oct 24 · 4 pm ET
Cressy Field · series 3-1, last win 2024
UMass Dartmouth 29% to win · our ratings after 5 games
UMass Dartmouth
2-3MSCAC · Cressy Field · 1,850 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 49-40 at Worcester State
Our model gave UMass Dartmouth 41% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Bridgewater State 29%, Westfield State 63%
Win out 13% · expect 2.6 of 4 more wins
UMass Dartmouth's chance to win each game left, from our model: Bridgewater State 29%, Dean 94%, Westfield State 63%, Plymouth State 75%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Bridgewater State · our model 29% UMass Dartmouth
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
UMass Dartmouth · 2026 schedule and results2-3Our rank entering each game: #495 to #524
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #495 | #514 | — | Salve Regina | L 13-21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #498 | #621 | — | @Fitchburg State | W 56-22 | 1-1 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 18 | #496 | #555 | — | Framingham State | L 21-23 | 1-2 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #509 | #574 | — | @Mass Maritime | L 22-26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #524 | #559 | — | @Worcester State | W 49-40 | 2-3 | 2-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #525 | #504 | Bridgewater State | 4 pm ET29% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #526 | #653 | Dean | 2:30 pm ET94% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Westfield State | 12 pm ET63% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Plymouth State | 12 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for UMass Dartmouth, through 5 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for UMass Dartmouth: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
UMass Dartmouth has won two of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · UMass Dartmouth · 2026
Range of outcomes · UMass Dartmouth · 2026UMass Dartmouth’s most likely regular season is 5-4. 92% of outcomes land from 4-5 to 6-3.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
3 wins 8%; 4 wins 34%; 5 wins 44%; 6 wins 13%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor3-9Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base5-7Mid-table finish.
Ceiling8-4Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 5 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-3
Game feel59even gamescombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 9 in the MSCAC
Heart rate0-3white-knucklein one-score games (3 of 5)1st most one-score games of 9 in the MSCAC
Margin+5.8competitiveavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 9 in the MSCAC
Measured from 5 games · ranks are among MSCAC teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
UMass Dartmouth is the Corsair on the rise — a 40-year-old program that captured its first MASCAC title in 2022 and has won three consecutive conference championships (2022–2024), capped by a perfect 2024 regular season (10–0) and an automatic NCAA playoff bye.
Title DroughtSince 1974 · 52 yrs
UMass Dartmouth is invisible to the national college football conversation. Three consecutive MASCAC titles and a 10–0 regular season in 2024 merit zero ESPN coverage. The chip is that nobody…
Game day
The experience
UMass Dartmouth is the Corsair on the rise — a 40-year-old program that captured its first MASCAC title in 2022 and has won three consecutive conference championships (2022–2024), capped by a perfect 2024 regular season (10–0) and an automatic NCAA playoff bye.
Playoff path
UMass Dartmouth sits 6th in the MSCAC and 136th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
MSCAC · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mass Maritime | 4-0 | 5-0 | 60.1 |
| 2 | Bridgewater State | 4-1 | 5-1 | 61.5 |
| 3 | Westfield State | 3-1 | 3-2 | 52.0 |
| 4 | Worcester State | 3-2 | 3-4 | 45.7 |
| 5 | Framingham State | 2-2 | 3-2 | 54.8 |
| 6 | UMass Dartmouth | 2-2 | 2-3 | 47.7 |
| 7 | Plymouth State | 1-3 | 2-3 | 42.8 |
| 8 | Fitchburg State | 1-4 | 1-5 | 34.9 |
47.7 CFB Zeitgeist#136 of 245 D350.9 strength of schedule
Win the MSCAC for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 2-3
Signature win 56-22 over Fitchburg State; toughest day 13-21 against Salve Regina.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site