Next game
at Dean
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Dale Lippert Field · series 1-0
Worcester St 84% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Worcester St
3-4MSCAC · John Coughlin Memorial Field · 2,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 40-49 vs UMass Dartmouth
Our model gave Worcester St 59% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Mass Maritime 37%, Framingham State 51%
Win out 16% · expect 1.7 of 3 more wins
Worcester St's chance to win each game left, from our model: Dean 84%, Mass Maritime 37%, Framingham State 51%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Dean · our model 84% Worcester St
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Worcester St · 2026 schedule and results3-4Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 43%.Our rank entering each game: #613 to #559
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #613 | #559 | — | @SUNY Maritime | L 41-42 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #609 | #525 | — | Plymouth State | W 28-6 | 1-1 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #596 | #462 | — | Western New England | L 40-42 | 1-2 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #588 | #626 | — | Westfield State | L 21-24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #588 | #522 | — | @Bridgewater State | W 35-34 | 2-3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #574 | #620 | — | @Fitchburg State | W 34-14 | 3-3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #559 | #524 | — | UMass Dartmouth | L 40-49 | 3-4 | 3-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #563 | #654 | @Dean | 1 pm ET84% to win | ||||
| 9 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Mass Maritime | 12 pm ET37% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Framingham State | 12 pm ET51% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Worcester St, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Worcester St: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Worcester St has won two of its last five.
4-6 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 4-6
Range of outcomes · Worcester St · 2026
Range of outcomes · Worcester St · 2026Worcester St’s most likely regular season is 5-5. 95% of outcomes land from 4-6 to 6-4.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
3 wins 5%; 4 wins 34%; 5 wins 45%; 6 wins 16%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor3-9Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base5-7Mid-table finish.
Ceiling8-4Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-4
Game feel64shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 9 in the MSCAC
Heart rate1-3white-knucklein one-score games (4 of 7)2nd most one-score games of 9 in the MSCAC
Margin+4.0competitiveavg scoring margin4th best margin of 9 in the MSCAC
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among MSCAC teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Lancers of Worcester State, a Massachusetts public university that has claimed three conference titles and meets Fitchburg State every year for the Sterling Cup at John F. Coughlin Field.
Title DroughtSince 1997 · 29 yrs
Worcester State has three league titles and the Sterling Cup rivalry — a real Massachusetts public-school program that outsiders treat as a faceless state school.
Game day
The experience
The Lancers of Worcester State, a Massachusetts public university that has claimed three conference titles and meets Fitchburg State every year for the Sterling Cup at John F. Coughlin Field.
Playoff path
Worcester St sits 4th in the MSCAC and 155th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
MSCAC · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mass Maritime | 4-0 | 5-0 | 60.1 |
| 2 | Bridgewater State | 4-1 | 5-1 | 61.5 |
| 3 | Westfield State | 3-1 | 3-2 | 52.0 |
| 4 | Worcester State | 3-2 | 3-4 | 45.7 |
| 5 | Framingham State | 2-2 | 3-2 | 54.8 |
| 6 | UMass Dartmouth | 2-2 | 2-3 | 47.7 |
| 7 | Plymouth State | 1-3 | 2-3 | 42.8 |
| 8 | Fitchburg State | 1-4 | 1-5 | 34.9 |
45.7 CFB Zeitgeist#155 of 245 D347.0 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the MSCAC for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-4
Signature win 28-6 over Plymouth State; toughest day 40-49 against UMass Dartmouth.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site