BYU

2-0AP #11

Big 12 · Kalani Sitake, year 11 (86-45) · LaVell Edwards Stadium · 63,470 · 64,243 avg in 2026

The nationAP #11 · Coaches #13up 4 from last week
The model#10 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #18 (+16.8) · FPI #18
The marketBYU by 17.5at Colorado State · our model 78% BYU · a number, not a pick

LastW 28–17 vs Arizona · Sat Sep 12 · Tausili Akana 2.5 sacks, 2.5 TFL, 4 tackles

Nextat Colorado State · Sat Sep 19 · 7:30 pm ET · Canvas Stadium · BYU by 17.5 · series 39-27-3, won the last 7 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
45.5
Pts allowed/game
12.0
Total yards/gm#49 / 138 · 65th pct
443.0
Rush yards/gmT-#32 / 138 · 77th pct
228.0
Pass yards/gm#87 / 138 · 37th pct
215.0
Yards allowed/gm#31 / 138 · 78th pct
255.5
Rush yds allowed/gm#19 / 138 · 87th pct
73.0
SacksT-#60 / 138 · 50th pct
4
InterceptionsT-#5 / 115 · 91st pct
4
3rd-down conv#4 / 138 · 97th pct
68.2%
All 80 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
886443.0/gm7.15/play#49 / 138 · 65th pct#34 / 69 · 51st pct#10 / 16 · 41st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
511255.5/gm4.33/play#31 / 138 · 78th pct#28 / 69 · 60th pct#6 / 16 · 66th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
456228.0/gm3.68/playT-#32 / 138 · 77th pctT-#19 / 69 · 72nd pct#6 / 16 · 66th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
14673.0/gm1.24/play#19 / 138 · 87th pct#17 / 69 · 76th pct#5 / 16 · 72nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
7638.0/gmT-#62 / 138 · 53rd pctT-#31 / 69 · 51st pctT-#11 / 16 · 31st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5628.0/gm#22 / 138 · 84th pct#16 / 69 · 78th pct#4 / 16 · 78th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
63.0/gmT-#27 / 138 · 78th pctT-#19 / 69 · 71st pct#7 / 16 · 59th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#53 / 138 · 50th pctT-#34 / 69 · 36th pctT-#8 / 16 · 31st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
430215.0/gm3.47/play#87 / 138 · 37th pct#54 / 69 · 22nd pct#12 / 16 · 28th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
365182.5/gm3.09/play#55 / 138 · 61st pct#38 / 69 · 46th pct#7 / 16 · 59th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
4824.0/gmT-#105 / 138 · 23rd pctT-#60 / 69 · 13th pct#13 / 16 · 22nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6231.0/gmT-#79 / 138 · 41st pctT-#42 / 69 · 38th pctT-#9 / 16 · 44th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
3316.5/gmT-#92 / 138 · 32nd pctT-#55 / 69 · 20th pct#13 / 16 · 22nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3819.0/gmT-#73 / 138 · 45th pctT-#44 / 69 · 36th pctT-#9 / 16 · 44th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
63.0/gmT-#17 / 138 · 83rd pctT-#14 / 69 · 74th pctT-#3 / 16 · 78th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#13 / 138 · 80th pctT-#11 / 69 · 72nd pctT-#4 / 16 · 66th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating#26 / 115 · 78th pct#21 / 59 · 65th pct#5 / 14 · 68th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
168.6168.6
Interceptions thrown
Team
00.0/gmT-#92 / 138 · 17th pctT-#42 / 69 · 20th pctT-#11 / 16 · 19th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#123 / 138 · 7th pctT-#65 / 69 · 4th pct#16 / 16 · 3rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
42.0/gmT-#60 / 138 · 50th pctT-#36 / 69 · 40th pctT-#11 / 16 · 22nd pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#33 / 138 · 67th pctT-#20 / 69 · 62nd pctT-#7 / 16 · 53rd pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
94.5/gmT-#94 / 138 · 29th pctT-#52 / 69 · 22nd pct#14 / 16 · 16th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 99th pct#1 / 69 · 99th pct#1 / 16 · 97th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
4623.0/gmT-#57 / 138 · 59th pct#37 / 69 · 47th pct#12 / 16 · 28th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3015.0/gmT-#38 / 138 · 72nd pct#31 / 69 · 56th pct#9 / 16 · 47th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
157.5/gmT-#20 / 138 · 83rd pctT-#10 / 69 · 84th pctT-#3 / 16 · 78th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
105.0/gmT-#66 / 138 · 48th pctT-#42 / 69 · 35th pctT-#10 / 16 · 28th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2211.0/gmT-#105 / 138 · 21st pctT-#50 / 69 · 24th pctT-#12 / 16 · 25th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2512.5/gmT-#33 / 138 · 73rd pctT-#14 / 69 · 76th pctT-#2 / 16 · 78th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
00.0/gmT-#114 / 138 · 9th pctT-#52 / 69 · 13th pctT-#13 / 16 · 12th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#26 / 138 · 66th pctT-#15 / 69 · 62nd pctT-#4 / 16 · 62nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
00.0/gmT-#135 / 138 · 1st pctT-#66 / 69 · 3rd pctT-#15 / 16 · 6th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#20 / 138 · 74th pctT-#10 / 69 · 72nd pctT-#3 / 16 · 75th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
59:5229:56/gmT-#86 / 138 · 38th pctT-#44 / 69 · 36th pctT-#12 / 16 · 25th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
60:0830:04/gmT-#77 / 138 · 44th pctT-#44 / 69 · 36th pctT-#12 / 16 · 25th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.50 EPA/play47232 / 4669.6415
#72 FBS
9.06
#14 FBS
0188.46190.7
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
+0.07 EPA/play4227152
#58 FBS
5.6020
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+1.16 EPA/play12613923.22
#24 FBS
61
+0.46 EPA/play3289311.62
#24 FBS
29
+0.02 EPA/play725448.8018

2026 stat leaders · BYU

through 2 games

Legend Glasker leads BYU with 139 receiving yards through 2 games.

1. Legend Glasker WR 139 receiving yards
2. Bear Bachmeier QB 415 passing yards
3. LJ Martin RB 152 rushing yards
4. Cannon DeVries CB 10 tackles
5. Cade Uluave LB 9 tackles
How They Play · 2025

BYU fields a strong methodical, ball-control offense behind an elite, bend-don't-break defense.

Offense
76th pct EPA/play
Tempo
81st pct success, 17th explosiveness
Defense
85th pct EPA allowed
Defensive shape
75th pct at limiting explosive plays

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · BYU · 2025

BYU reads strongest in passing epa allowed (top 13%) and epa allowed (top 16%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where BYU sits at the 17th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.22
76th
Success Rate +0.46
81st
Explosive Plays +1.18
17th
Rushing EPA +0.17
75th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.05
85th
Success Rate Allowed +0.38
74th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.20
75th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.12
87th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.30
62nd
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.02
79th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 14 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · BYU · 2018–present · FBS opponents

BYU is worth +3.1 points more at home than on the road.

Bottom third of FBS, 31st percentile of 133 programs

74% at home, 61% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (31–11 home, 27–17 away). Interval ±3.7.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, BYU has beaten the number by −0.9 more at home than away over 70 games — inside the ±6.7 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

LaVell Edwards Stadium seats 63,470 and has averaged 98% full (62,231, 26 games reported). Visitors face the 5th-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 841 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads bottom third of fbs. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 48% of the 2026 roster (69 of 144 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 51 home games since 2018.

Home31–11Away27–17Edge+3.1 ±3.7Visitor trip841 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected

BYU's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time

Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 82nd percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 84th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.

league medianRaw 4th quarter · 82…Competitive snaps…Worst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · CFBD play-by-play, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin
Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

Season by season

How BYU’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Offense: Aaron Roderick (2021–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2021: 56% → 2026: 41% · 15-pt range · #44 of 184 · more than most
Red-zone pass rate
2021: 43% → 2026: 28% · 22-pt range · #23 of 182 · more than most
4th-down go rate
2021: 46% → 2025: 41% · 8-pt range · #147 of 172 · less than most
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank BYU

CFB Zeitgeist

#10

+10.0

SP+

#18

+16.8

FPI

#18

+15.4

Elo

#30

1683

The national models put BYU between 18th and 30th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is higher on them than any of these models, at 10th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · BYU

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

60°F average kickoff temp; 3% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.

Based on 74 home games with weather data.

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