cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Finn Hogan /Bowling Green

Finn Hogan

WR · Bowling Green · Sr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

183 REC YDS · 13 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Bowling Green for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Bowling Green for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Bowling Green

Returning around him

  • 8% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -12 net (15 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Bowling Green · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #107 · 2026 recruiting class #94

WR · BOWLING GREEN · MID-AMERICAN

Finn Hogan

  • 4
  • #11
  • 6-5 | 220 lb
  • Maple City, MI

CFB Zeitgeist Score

20

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 65th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4594

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
1552022
1632023
1832025

+18%

Modest growth (18%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey11
Measurements6-5 | 220 lb
HometownMaple City, MI
Primary teamBowling Green

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2023
Transfer stars 2-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 25, 2023
Season Move Context
2023 Central Michigan -> -- 2-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4594Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4952Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Finn Hogan

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Finn Hogan

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 6g
183Rec yards
13Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
30.5Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
396.5Rec yards
28Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 183): needs 73.9/game over remaining 7.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 183): needs 116.7/game over remaining 7.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 13): needs 6.7/game over remaining 7.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 13): needs 9.6/game over remaining 7.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.1/game over remaining 7.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.4/game over remaining 7.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Finn Hogan's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Bowling Green, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4594 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 13 0 rec TD | #510/1110 (54th pct)
Receiving yards 183 14.1 per catch | #493/1107 (56th pct)
Scrimmage yards 183 Total offensive yardage | #493/1107 (56th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
13 54th
YDS
183 56th
YPR
14.1 69th
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 6 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 26-7vs Lafayette22010.0010
Wk 2L 20-34@ Cincinnati35819.3024Season-high 58 yds
Wk 3W 23-13vs Liberty33612.0019
Wk 5L 20-35@ Ohio35117.0023
Wk 9L 21-24@ Kent State11212.0012
Wk 11L 21-27@ Eastern Michigan166.006
Total1318312.7024
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Central Michigan4-8HC: Jim McElwain · Run-leaning
2023Bowling Green7-6HC: Scot Loeffler · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Bowling Green4-8HC: Eddie George · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Bowling Green1318314.10--
2023Bowling Green1116314.81--
2022Central Michigan191558.21--
Career3 loaded seasons4350111.72--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.4% 11.9% pass-game share | #383/1137 (66th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 13 #510/1110 54th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 183 #493/1107 56th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.1 #340/1106 69th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 11.9% #383/1137 66th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 24 #689/1105 38th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.9% #314/1137 72nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.6% #581/1137 49th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 5.6% #324/1137 72nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.4% #442/1137 61st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 5.0% #707/1137 38th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.4% #493/1137 57th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 6 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g2.528.011.00.0
Road4g2.031.813.60.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g2.528.011.00.0
Losses4g2.031.813.60.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g2.841.214.60.0
Weeks 8+2g1.09.09.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

20Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (6th).

Yards / catch#192 / 558 · 65th pct
14.1rece
Rec yards#487 / 558 · 13th pct
183rece
Long catch#509 / 558 · 8th pct
24rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Receptions#510 / 558 · 7th pct
13rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Finn HoganBowling GreenMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 47% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 44% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 43% sim
Yards / catch
65
Hogan
9
III
15
Gibson
40
Walker
Rec yards
13
Hogan
70
III
74
Gibson
89
Walker
Long catch
8
Hogan
16
III
56
Gibson
39
Walker
Rec TDs
7
Hogan
24
III
7
Gibson
42
Walker
Receptions
7
Hogan
92
III
92
Gibson
95
Walker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Caleb Chapman’s 2021 season.

Caleb Chapman

78%match

Texas A&M · 2021

#2

Dacari Collins

Clemson · 2021

70%
#3

Nick Williams

UNLV · 2022

68%
#4

Loic Fouonji

Vanderbilt · 2024

66%
#5

Dont'E Thornton

Tennessee · 2023

66%

Matches Caleb on

Reception volume
EPA / play (adj)
Weight

Differs from Caleb on

Yards / reception (lower)
Class year (higher)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jalen McDonald’s path through Merrimack.

Jalen McDonald

98%match

Merrimack · 2025

#2

Ben Skowronek

Notre Dame · 2020

NFL Rd 7
98%
#3

Joshua Harris

Furman · 2024

97%
#4

DeVontres Dukes

South Florida · 2020

95%
#5

Dazz Newsome

North Carolina · 2020

NFL Rd 6
95%

Matches Jalen on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Trevor Kardell's senior season at Kansas (2024).

Trevor Kardell

66%match

Kansas · 2024

#2

Ben Yurosek

Stanford · 2023

65%
#3

Dominick Mazotti

San José State · 2023

64%
#4

E.J. Williams Jr.

Indiana · 2023

62%
#5

Austin Stogner

Oklahoma · 2023

62%

Matches Trevor on

Total EPA (college ability)
Reception volume

Differs from Trevor on

Weight (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Eddie George

Pass share

37.7%

281 pass / 465 run

Plays / game

62.2

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.9%

265 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Scot Loeffler
Bowling Green
2023
Scot Loeffler
Bowling Green
2025
Eddie George
Bowling Green
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Scot Loeffler → Eddie George. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMaple City, MI
Height6'5"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Bowling Green WR4 #4594 #4952 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Bowling Green WR4 #1967 #2144 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Central Michigan WR4 #3364 #3806 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Bowling Green Mid-American WR 4 No. 11 | 6-5 | 220 lb | Maple City, MI
2024 Bowling Green Mid-American WR 4 No. 11 | 6-5 | 220 lb | Maple City, MI
2023 Bowling Green Mid-American WR 4 No. 11 | 6-5 | 220 lb | Maple City, MI
2022 Central Michigan Mid-American WR 4 No. 11 | 6-5 | 220 lb | Maple City, MI