3identity shift
Jacksonville State's fanbase shift signals FBS expansion.
Charles Kelly's first season at Jacksonville State arrives with a 9-5 record and a fanbase uneasy about sustaining the program's recent bowl-winning momentum.
Jacksonville State
1-2Latest
Conference USA · Charles Kelly, year 2 (10-7) · AmFirst Stadium · 24,000 · 19,677 avg in 2026
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#63 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #91 (-7.0) · FPI #106
The marketJacksonville State by 3vs Georgia Southern · our model 68% Jacksonville State · a number, not a pick
LastL 27–29 at Ohio · Sat Sep 12 · Caden Creel 265 pass yds, 1 TD, 120 rush yds
Nextvs Georgia Southern · Sat Sep 19 · 7 pm ET · AmFirst Stadium · Jacksonville State by 3 · series 0-1 · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
The mood around Jacksonville State has soured.
Charles Kelly's year 2 (2026): 1-2, behind Rich Rodriguez's 9-5 in the same spot.
belief cooled ↓ 4.5vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Souring
44/100 · 173 mentions
~ our readThe model
#63
CFB Zeitgeist · +1.0
✓ measured3The Pulse on Jacksonville State
44
Δ -4.5 vs last wk
173
mentions this week · conversation velocity
What moved it — last 14 days
—
Awaiting next signal window
"Jax State"
— Jacksonville State fanbase · recurring line
50 mentions · sample growing
The Fever Year
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Inside the fanbase — all 7 corners
Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
UUnderdog Dynasty
CCampus paper
BBluesky
YYouTube
One voice
+0.00whole-room sentiment · even our read
Every cohort from the die-hards to the analytics crowd lands within 0.03 of each other — a rare consensus. The loudest voice in the room:
UUnderdog DynastyBeat · article
James Madison scores 87 points, ties largest margin of victory by FBS team since 1968
underdogdynasty.com →How Jacksonville State fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
The room, end to end
skeptical
buying in
Die-hards+0.01
Bettors−0.01
Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
244 mentions · 6 sources · week 2026-02. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Belief checkevidence-driven
~ our readJacksonville State fans are down on the program, and they're pointing to real stats and results to back it up — more than most fanbases right now.
backed by facts
the mood
✓ counted We read 173 posts from Jacksonville State fans this week.
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Radio, beat writers & editorial14 posts
The broader fanbase6 posts
Fanbase health · Jacksonville State
Fanbase health · Jacksonville StateJacksonville State's fanbase is growing — 68 of 100.
Audible (49 weighted voices in the latest week) and winning on the field (9-5 last season, 1-2 so far).
68
On the field — 9-5 last season, 1-2 so far72
How loud — 49 weighted voices in the latest week64
2 of 3 signals · on-field reading uses last season until 4 games are in · 0–100, bands at 26 / 51 / 76
More in this tab
Podcasts
From the booth
Voice profile
Fanbase Voice
563 fan mentions
Measured
vs the 81 highest-volume fanbases - 2025 season
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