Next game: vs Sam Houston
Jacksonville State’s best edge on Sam Houston is running
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Jacksonville State offense against Sam Houston defense
Sam Houston offense against Jacksonville State defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrambler · +0.28 EPA/play | 12 | 8 | 140 / 209 | 67.0 | 1746 #50 FBS | 8.4 | 13 #41 FBS | 8 | 150.0 | 68 | 61.3 | 7.4 | 3.7 | |
Yards by week → ScramblerMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. Impact starter — 209 pass attempts, 126 carries and 1 catch in 8 games, more passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB Creel extends plays on the move until something opens up. Parks is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Rush usage37.6% 95th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush yards / carry5.6 94th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Caden Creel's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satellite Back · +0.20 EPA/play | 6 | 6 | 44 | 240 | 5.5 | 3 | 45 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Satellite backDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. 44 carries and 8 catches in 6 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Likely wins in space out of the backfield. Allen is the one who wins in space out of the backfield. Season receipt Receiving share15.4% 81th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate6.8% 78th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jalen Likely's full player page | ||||||||||
| +0.24 EPA/play | 22 | 7 | 37 | 211 | 5.7 | 1 | 26 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| -0.15 EPA/play | 7 | 8 | 31 | 92 | 3.0 | 1 | 14 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +1.06 EPA/play | 11 | 8 | 23 | 438 | 19.0 | 3 | 42 | |
Yards by week → Deep threat· Money-downStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. lives on the sticks and moves the chains This week's matchup — WR Johnson beats you over the top. Sims is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception21.5 99th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.1 97th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Deondre Johnson's full player page | ||||||||
| Move TE · +0.86 EPA/play | 30 | 8 | 17 | 331 | 19.5 | 4 #70 FBS | 82 | |
Yards by week → Move TELined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield. 17 catches in 8 games. Fewer catches a game than most FBS tight ends who play every week. This week's matchup — TE Gilbert creates mismatches lined up all over the formation. Ezirim is the one who creates mismatches lined up all over the formation. Season receipt Yards / reception15.9 92th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate23.5% 94th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Luke Gilbert's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.57 EPA/play | 17 | 8 | 26 | 267 | 10.3 | 5 #39 FBS | 55 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine 26 catches, 6 carries and 1 pass attempt in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Williams moves the chains on third down. Sims is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception11.4 bottom 28th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate19.2% 94th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jamill Williams's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.34 EPA/play | 9 | 7 | 15 | 185 | 12.3 | 0 | 34 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains This week's matchup — WR Johnson moves the chains on third down. Sims is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception11.7 bottom 31th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ronnel Johnson's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.02 EPA/play | 3 | 7 | 23 | 176 | 7.7 | 0 | 38 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine This week's matchup — WR Cannon moves the chains on third down. Sims is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception7.8 bottom 6th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.0 bottom 7th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Darius Cannon's full player page | ||||||||
| -0.21 EPA/play | 5 | 4 | 5 | 54 | 10.8 | 0 | 15 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.28 EPA/play | 44 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 6.8 | 0 | 8 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 16 | 8 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 22 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Quay Hood's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 44 | 7 | 21 | 7 | 3.5 | 1 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 21 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Khurtiss Perry's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 15 | 7 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 21 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate23.8% 78th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Tae Floyd's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 93 | 7 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 19 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate10.5% bottom 34th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jawaun Campbell's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 92 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Marquis Hood's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 28 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Christopher Johnson's full player page | |||||||
| 99 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 2 | 8 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 38 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Morven Joseph's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 40 | 5 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.7% 86th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate3.3% bottom 20th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Walker O'Steen's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 13 | 8 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 76th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jacob Cruz's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | — | 8 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume22 bottom 19th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate2.3% bottom 16th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Myles Butler's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 34 | 6 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume20 bottom 16th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jameson McCollough's full player page | |||||||||
| 45 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 3.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 35 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 36 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 53 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 31 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rover | 1 | 8 | 52 | 3 | 2 #51 FBS | 1 | 0 |
Rover· Takeaway threatHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Impact starter — 52 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 33 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt View Caleb Nix's full player pagePD rate5.8% bottom 40th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles | |||||||
| Perimeter Tackler | 9 | 8 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
Perimeter tacklerTargeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter. 30 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume30 84th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jonavan Carr's full player page | |||||||
| Press Corner | 8 | 8 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Press cornerLong and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line. 27 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 34 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Height6'3" 96th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View JQ Brooks's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 3 | 8 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Tre'Quon Fegans's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 5 | 7 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Robert Billings's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 7 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate12.5% 73th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Marc Woods's full player page | |||||||
| 6 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 12 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 29 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 37 | 8 | 11/14 | 78.6 | 25/25 | 58 | 49 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 7 | 17 | 802 | 47.2 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.57 EPA/play | 17 | 8 | 8 | 175 | 21.9 | 0 | 36 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rover | 1 | 8 | 8 | 129 | 16.1 | 1 | 75 |
Biggest plays from Jacksonville State’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Jacksonville State’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 11:17 · Jacksonville State down 10Lucas Farrington runs 26 yards for a touchdownGeorgia Southern at Jacksonville State, week 3Q4, 11:17 · Jacksonville State 24, Georgia Southern 27Jacksonville State cut the deficit to 3 in the fourth quarterJacksonville State cut the deficit to 3 in the fourth quarterL.Farrington rush middle for 26 yards gain to the GS00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Sun Belt Conference
Q2, 12:30 · Georgia Southern up 3Weston Bryan runs 10 yards for a touchdownGeorgia Southern at Jacksonville State, week 3Q2, 12:30 · Georgia Southern 10, Jacksonville State 0▲14%Georgia Southern’s chance to win, 56% to 70%▲14%Georgia Southern’s chance to win, 56% to 70%W.Bryan rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Jax St00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference- Q3, 7:45 · Jacksonville State down 14Caden Creel finds Deondre Johnson for an 18-yard touchdownGeorgia Southern at Jacksonville State, week 3Q3, 7:45 · Jacksonville State 17, Georgia Southern 24Jacksonville State cut the deficit to 7 in the third quarterJacksonville State cut the deficit to 7 in the third quarterC.Creel pass complete short right to D.Johnson caught at GS03, for 18 yards to the GS00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
- Q2, 0:32 · Georgia Southern up 7Weston Bryan runs 2 yards for a touchdownGeorgia Southern at Jacksonville State, week 3Q2, 0:32 · Georgia Southern 24, Jacksonville State 10Weston Bryan's third touchdown of the gameWeston Bryan's third touchdown of the gameW.Bryan rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Jax St00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
- Q2, 2:07 · North Dakota State up 3Jonavan Carr intercepts Nathan HayesJacksonville State at North Dakota State, week 1Q2, 2:07 · North Dakota State 10, Jacksonville State 7▼7%North Dakota State’s chance to win, 82% to 75%▼7%North Dakota State’s chance to win, 82% to 75%N.Hayes pass intercepted by J.Carr at NDSU21, End Of Play▶Watch from this play
CBS Sports College Football - Q2, 12:16 · Jacksonville State down 10J. Williams fumbles and Georgia Southern recoversGeorgia Southern at Jacksonville State, week 3Q2, 12:16 · Jacksonville State 0, Georgia Southern 107Jacksonville State’s turnover led to a touchdown7Jacksonville State’s turnover led to a touchdownJacksonville State’s turnover led to a touchdownJ.Williams rush right for 2 yards gain to the Jax St27 fumbled by J.Williams at Jax St27 forced by C.Calicut recovered by GS B.Tyson at Jax St27 B.Tyson return 5 yards to the Jax St22 (C.Creel)▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
How scary each game got
Jacksonville State lost at Ohio after being 87% to win; the closest win was against Georgia Southern, down to 7%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Jacksonville State during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Jacksonville State
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · Jacksonville StateCaleb Nix leads Jacksonville State with 52 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+21 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Jacksonville State fields a strong methodical, ball-control offense behind a solid, bend-don't-break defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Jacksonville State reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 7%) and passing EPA allowed (top 11%); the crux lives in rushing EPA allowed, where Jacksonville State sits at the 21st percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Jacksonville State is worth +7.2 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 94th percentile of 133 programs
86% at home, 43% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (18-3 home, 12-16 away). Interval ±5.0.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Jacksonville State has beaten the number by +1.8 more at home than away over 55 games. That is inside the ±7.9 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
AmFirst Stadium seats 24,000 and has averaged 78% full (18,837, 23 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 270 miles trip since 2018, the 22nd-shortest of 135 FBS venues. Whatever the band above is picking up, it isn't the flight. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 37% of the 2026 roster (46 of 123 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 46 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Deep threatDeondre Johnson is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.
- Deep threatCaleb Coombs is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Jalen Likely and Lucas Farrington split the carries (43/78 vs 35/78) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Darius Cannon (WR) and Luke Gilbert (TE) split the targets (35/55 vs 20/55) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Luke Gilbert produces in bigger chunks.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Jacksonville State actually scores
62nd percentile quality, 41st percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Jacksonville State’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 73rd percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 51st — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Jacksonville State hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
82nd percentile success on standard downs, 80th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Jacksonville State by half
1st-half offense ranks 65th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 68th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Jacksonville State’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.19; 73rd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.07. The widest gap came in week 6: 0.21 raw vs. 0.06 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Jacksonville State’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Jacksonville State’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (69.3% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 183-play sample) — mid-pack, 106 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Jacksonville State’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (65.3% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 181-play sample) — mid-pack, 46 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 56% of their own fumbles — running hot vs. the ~52% league rate.
5 of 9 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Converting 22% of pass disruptions into takeaways — right in line with the ~18% league rate.
7 interceptions of 32 disrupted passes (25 deflected, 7 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Winning the penalty battle: 54 penalties committed vs. 74 drawn on opponents, a 147-yard edge.
468 penalty yards committed vs. 615 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Jacksonville State
Most similar programs · Jacksonville StateReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.