Next game
at Lincoln (MO)
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Dwight T. Reed Stadium · series 2-0, won the last 2
McKendree University 56% to win · our ratings after 7 games
McKendree University
2-5Great Lakes · Leemon Field · 2,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 21-28 at Missouri S&T
Our model gave McKendree University 47% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Truman State 6%
Win out <1% · expect 0.9 of 4 more wins
McKendree University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Lincoln (MO) 56%, Upper Iowa 19%, Northeastern State 8%, Truman State 6%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Lincoln (MO) · our model 56% McKendree University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
McKendree University · 2026 schedule and results2-5Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 45%.Our rank entering each game: #405 to #399
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 27 | #405 | #346 | — | @Saginaw Valley State | L 24-48 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 1 | Sep 5 | #405 | #332 | — | @Hillsdale | L 24-55 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | #403 | #308 | — | Indianapolis | W 35-31 | 1-2 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #401 | #380 | — | @William Jewell | L 21-28 | 1-3 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #400 | #377 | — | Quincy | W 46-43 | 2-3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #400 | #378 | — | Southwest Baptist | L 45-55 | 2-4 | 2-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #399 | #372 | — | @Missouri S&T | L 21-28 | 2-5 | 2-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #401 | #439 | @Lincoln (MO) | 1 pm ET56% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #400 | #315 | Upper Iowa | 2 pm ET19% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Northeastern State | 2 pm ET8% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Truman State | 4 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for McKendree University, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for McKendree University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
McKendree University has won two of its last five.
2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last two.
Streak L2Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 2-8
Range of outcomes · McKendree University · 2026
Range of outcomes · McKendree University · 2026McKendree University’s most likely regular season is 3-8. 98% of outcomes land from 2-9 to 4-7.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 31%; 3 wins 51%; 4 wins 17%; 5 wins 2%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base3-9Mid-table finish.
Ceiling6-6Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-5
Game feel72shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 9 in the Great Lakes
Heart rate2-2white-knucklein one-score games (4 of 7)2nd most one-score games of 9 in the Great Lakes
Margin-10.3competitiveavg scoring margin7th best margin of 9 in the Great Lakes
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Great Lakes teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
McKendree is the program that won a national championship and still isn't done — two NCAA Division II titles and a 150-year rivalry that never gets old.
Title DroughtSince 2000 · 26 yrs
No chip — McKendree has already proven it belongs. Two national titles say so. The chip is love for Quincy: a 150-year rivalry, a steel top hat, and the fact that beating your rival never gets tired.
Game day
The experience
McKendree is the program that won a national championship and still isn't done — two NCAA Division II titles and a 150-year rivalry that never gets old.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site