Next game
vs Southwest Baptist
Sat Oct 24 · 2:30 pm ET
Stokes Stadium · series 3-2, won the last 2
Truman State University 87% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Truman State University
3-4Great Lakes · Stokes Stadium · 4,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 38-14 at Quincy
Our model gave Truman State University 73% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Every game left is at least 85%
Win out 67% · expect 3.6 of 4 more wins
Truman State University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Southwest Baptist 87%, Lincoln (MO) 97%, William Jewell 85%, McKendree 94%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Southwest Baptist · our model 87% Truman State University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Truman State University · 2026 schedule and results3-4Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 53%.Our rank entering each game: #274 to #298
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #274 | #395 | — | Washburn | L 21-27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 1 | Sep 5 | #274 | #301 | — | @Davenport | L 14-28 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #285 | #284 | — | Northeastern State | L 24-31 | 0-3 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #291 | #304 | — | Missouri S&T | W 42-14 | 1-3 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #291 | #318 | — | @Indianapolis | W 29-27 | 2-3 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 6 | Oct 10 | #291 | #323 | — | @Upper Iowa | L 19-21 | 2-4 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #298 | #389 | — | @Quincy | W 38-14 | 3-4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #288 | #382 | Southwest Baptist | 2:30 pm ET87% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #288 | #440 | Lincoln (MO) | 1 pm ET97% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @William Jewell | 4 pm ET85% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | McKendree | 4 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Truman State University, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Truman State University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Truman State University has won three of its last five.
5-5 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 5-5
Range of outcomes · Truman State University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Truman State University · 2026Truman State University’s most likely regular season is 7-4. 95% of outcomes land from 6-5 to 7-4.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 4%; 6 wins 29%; 7 wins 67%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor3-9Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base5-7Mid-table finish.
Ceiling8-4Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-4
Game feel50rock fightscombined pts / game8th highest-scoring of 9 in the Great Lakes
Heart rate1-3some dramain one-score games (4 of 7)3rd most one-score games of 9 in the Great Lakes
Margin+3.6competitiveavg scoring margin4th best margin of 9 in the Great Lakes
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Great Lakes teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Truman is the GLVC powerhouse that climbed back to the NCAA D-II playoffs for the first time in 31 years — the mountain's still there, and the Bulldogs are climbing again.
Standard Gap27 conference championships and a 2025 GLVC Coach of the Year — Truman…
The chip is invisibility. Truman won 27 conference titles and nobody outside Missouri cared. The fanbase watched the Bulldogs get no respect while FCS and G5 programs hogged the spotlight. Now…
Game day
The experience
Truman is the GLVC powerhouse that climbed back to the NCAA D-II playoffs for the first time in 31 years — the mountain's still there, and the Bulldogs are climbing again.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site