Next game
at Langston
Sat Oct 31 · 3 pm ET
Northeastern State University 87% to win · our ratings after 8 games
Northeastern State University
4-3-1Independent DII · Gable Field at Doc Wadley Stadium · 8,300 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 52-10 vs William Jewell
Our model gave Northeastern State University 84% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Every game left is at least 80%
Win out 67% · expect 2.6 of 3 more wins
Northeastern State University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Langston 87%, McKendree 92%, West Alabama 84%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Donnie Smith 481 · Rushing Marco Smith 78 · Receiving Deuce Roberson 161 All player stats
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Langston · our model 87% Northeastern State University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Northeastern State University · 2026 schedule and results4-3-1Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 56%.Our rank entering each game: #291 to #272
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #291 | #294 | — | Delta State | W 52-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 1 | Sep 5 | #291 | #298 | — | @Missouri S&T | W 27-7 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #284 | #285 | — | @Truman State | W 31-24 | 3-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #282 | #250 | — | @Northern Colorado | L 17-23 | 3-1 | 0-0 | Pass Smith 155 · Rush Thompson 61 · Rec Butler 45 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #270 | #88 | — | @Stephen F. Austin | L 14-63 | 3-2 | 0-0 | Pass Smith 326 · Rush Smith 31 · Rec Roberson 121 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #269 | #272 | — | UT Permian Basin | L 27-38 | 3-3 | 0-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #271 | #244 | — | @West Florida | T 0-0 | 3-3-1 | 0-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #272 | #385 | — | William Jewell | W 52-10 | 4-3-1 | 0-0 | |
| 8 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #264 | @Langston | 3 pm ET87% to win | |||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @McKendree | 2 pm ET92% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | West Alabama | 1 pm ET84% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Northeastern State University, through 8 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
Line is the closing point spread for Northeastern State University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, big plays)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | @Stephen F. Austin | L 14-63 | — | — | — | +0.021 | 37.1% | 1.63 | |
| Sep 19 | @Northern Colorado | L 17-23 | — | — | — | +0.035 | 42.1% | 0.89 | |
| Season average (2 games) | — | — | +0.028 | 39.6% | 1.26 | ||||
What’s ahead
Off this week
7 days
until kickoff · at Langston · Sat Oct 31 · 3 pm ET
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Sat Oct 31Next: Langstonat Langston · on the road
Recent form · last 10 games
Northeastern State University has won one of its last five.
6-3 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 1-3Last 10 · 6-3
Range of outcomes · Northeastern State University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Northeastern State University · 2026Northeastern State University’s most likely regular season is 7-3. 96% of outcomes land from 6-4 to 7-3.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 4%; 6 wins 29%; 7 wins 67%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor5-7Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base7-5Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-3
Game feel48even gamescombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 1 in the Independent DII
Heart rate1-1some dramain one-score games (2 of 8)1st most one-score games of 1 in the Independent DII
Margin+6.9competitiveavg scoring margin1st best margin of 1 in the Independent DII
Big plays1.26some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)1st most explosive of 1 in the Independent DII
Measured from 8 games · ranks are among Independent DII teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Northeastern State is the RiverHawk that became an independent in 2024, rekindled the President's Cup rivalry with Central Oklahoma in 2025, and proved Oklahoma's forgotten rival is still formidable.
Title DroughtSince 1994 · 32 yrs
Fans here believe the President's Cup is the chip — 86 years of rivalry, two programs that have been going at it since 1912, and Northeastern State wants to prove the RiverHawks are the state's…
Game day
The experience
Northeastern State is the RiverHawk that became an independent in 2024, rekindled the President's Cup rivalry with Central Oklahoma in 2025, and proved Oklahoma's forgotten rival is still formidable.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site