Next game
vs Minnesota Duluth
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
MDU Resources Community Bowl · series 0-5, lost the last 5
University of Mary 8% to win · our ratings after 7 games
University of Mary
2-5Northern Sun · MDU Resources Community Bowl · 6,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 10
L 22-42 at Minnesota St Moorhead
Our model gave University of Mary 20% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Bemidji State 36%
Win out <1% · expect 0.8 of 4 more wins
University of Mary's chance to win each game left, from our model: Minnesota Duluth 8%, Minot State 25%, Winona State 16%, Bemidji State 36%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Minnesota Duluth · our model 8% University of Mary
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 6
Schedule and results
University of Mary · 2026 schedule and results2-5Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 63%.Our rank entering each game: #387 to #401
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 27 | #387 | — | — | Rocky Mountain (N) | L 10-23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 1 | Sep 5 | #387 | #283 | — | Minnesota State | L 7-48 | 0-2 | 0-1 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #408 | #387 | — | @Concordia St. Paul | W 13-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #404 | #317 | — | Sioux Falls | L 34-40 | 1-3 | 1-2 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #407 | #320 | — | @Northern State | L 14-21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #402 | #357 | — | Jamestown | W 21-13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #401 | #327 | — | @Minnesota St Moorhead | L 22-42 | 2-5 | 2-4 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | #397 | #281 | Minnesota Duluth | 2 pm ET8% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #396 | #344 | @Minot State | 3 pm ET25% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Winona State | 2 pm ET16% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Bemidji State | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for University of Mary, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for University of Mary: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
University of Mary has won two of its last five.
3-7 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 3-7
Range of outcomes · University of Mary · 2026
Range of outcomes · University of Mary · 2026University of Mary’s most likely regular season is 3-8. 98% of outcomes land from 2-9 to 4-7.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 38%; 3 wins 44%; 4 wins 16%; 5 wins 2%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base3-9Mid-table finish.
Ceiling6-6Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-5
Game feel45even gamescombined pts / game9th highest-scoring of 14 in the Northern Sun
Heart rate2-2some dramain one-score games (4 of 7)6th most one-score games of 14 in the Northern Sun
Margin-10.9outgunnedavg scoring margin11th best margin of 14 in the Northern Sun
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Northern Sun teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
University of Mary enters the 2026 season at 2-5.
2026 Record2-5
Game day
The experience
University of Mary is the Northern Sun program known for the marauders.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site