DII CONFERENCE · 2026 SEASON
Northern Sun
VERDICT BEGINS · 2026
The Mankato Standard
Minnesota State-Mankato has been the NSIC's dominant program for a decade: three DII national championships since 2018, including back-to-back titles in 2021-22 under Matt Entz. The Mavericks routinely appear in the DII top 10 and draw 10,000+ fans for home games in Mankato. The NSIC spans the upper Midwest from South Dakota to Minnesota to Wisconsin, with a culture of football seriousness that exceeds its conference's national profile. It is the DII answer to the SEC's model: one program sets the standard, and everyone else chases it.
Conference Standings · Northern Sun · 2026
Standings
| # | Team | Conf |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota State | 3–0 |
| 2 | Minnesota Duluth | 3–0 |
| 3 | Sioux Falls | 3–0 |
| 4 | Augustana (SD) | 2–1 |
| 5 | Wayne State (NE) | 2–1 |
| 6 | Northern State | 2–1 |
| 7 | Minnesota St Moorhead | 1–2 |
| 8 | Concordia St. Paul | 1–2 |
| 9 | Winona State | 1–2 |
| 10 | Minot State | 1–2 |
| 11 | Bemidji State | 1–2 |
| 12 | University of Mary | 1–2 |
| 13 | Southwest Minnesota State | 0–3 |
| 14 | Jamestown | 0–3 |
Conference record determines Super Region seeding. Power = neutral-field pts vs. all-level average.
Projected Standings · Northern Sun · 2026
Win Projection
Odds of winning at least N conference games from current power ratings — full slate played out, not locked to results. AVG = expected wins; W–L = most-likely record.
| # | Team | W–L | PWR | AVG | ≥10 | ≥9 | ≥8 | ≥7 | ≥6 | ≥5 | ≥4 | ≥3 | ≥2 | ≥1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favorites | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | Minnesota State | 6–4 | +2.5 | 5.7 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 54 | 77 | 92 | 98 | ✓ | ✓ | |
| 2 | Minnesota Duluth | 5–5 | +1.5 | 5.4 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 48 | 72 | 89 | 97 | 99 | ✓ | |
| 3 | Winona State | 5–5 | +1.1 | 5.3 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 45 | 69 | 87 | 96 | 99 | ✓ | |
| Challengers | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | Sioux Falls | 5–5 | +0.5 | 5.2 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 67 | 86 | 96 | 99 | ✓ | |
| 5 | Augustana (SD) | 5–5 | +0.8 | 5.2 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 66 | 86 | 96 | 99 | ✓ | |
| 6 | Wayne State (NE) | 5–5 | +0.6 | 5.1 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 66 | 85 | 96 | 99 | ✓ | |
| 7 | Northern State | 5–5 | +0.6 | 5.1 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 66 | 85 | 96 | 99 | ✓ | |
| The Field | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | Minot State | 5–5 | -0.1 | 5.0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 62 | 83 | 95 | 99 | ✓ | |
| 9 | Bemidji State | 5–5 | -0.2 | 5.0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 37 | 62 | 83 | 95 | 99 | ✓ | |
| 10 | Jamestown | 5–5 | -0.1 | 5.0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 37 | 62 | 83 | 95 | 99 | ✓ | |
| 11 | Minnesota St Moorhead | 5–5 | -0.1 | 4.9 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 36 | 61 | 82 | 94 | 99 | ✓ | |
| Rebuilding | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | University of Mary | 5–5 | -1.5 | 4.6 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 51 | 75 | 91 | 98 | ✓ | ||
| 13 | Concordia St. Paul | 4–6 | -2.0 | 4.5 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 51 | 75 | 91 | 98 | ✓ | ||
| 14 | Southwest Minnesota State | 4–6 | -3.6 | 4.1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 63 | 84 | 96 | 99 | ||
Conference Power · Division II
Where We Stand
| # | Conference | Avg Power |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | GLIAC | |
| 2 | South Atlantic | |
| 3 | Mid America | |
| 4 | Northern SunYou are here | |
| 5 | Rocky Mountain | |
| 6 | SIAC | |
| 7 | Great Midwest Athletic | |
| 8 | Lone Star | |
| 9 | Great Lakes | |
| 10 | Great American | |
| 11 | Pennsylvania State Athletic | |
| 12 | CIAA | |
| 13 | Northeast 10 | |
| 14 | Carolinas | |
| 15 | Mountain East |
Round-robin power = strength of schedule-adjusted conference average, points vs. all-level average team. Record = Northern Sun's record vs. that conference across all games this season.
Minnesota State-Mankato has been the NSIC's dominant program for a decade: three DII national championships since 2018, including back-to-back titles in 2021-22 under Matt Entz. The Mavericks routinely appear in the DII top 10 and draw 10,000+ fans for home games in Mankato. The NSIC spans the upper Midwest from South Dakota to Minnesota to Wisconsin, with a culture of football seriousness that exceeds its conference's national profile. It is the DII answer to the SEC's model: one program sets the standard, and everyone else chases it.
League Drivers
Northern Sun Team Board
The league stack, sorted by predictive strength. Power is shown as neutral-field points versus the all-level average team, while resume is shown on a 0-100 season score.
| Rank | Team | Record | Power | Resume | ATS | Wins vs Market | Recent Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #283 | Minnesota State | 4-0 | -0.7 | 87 | -- | +0.00 | 4-0 over the last 4 (W1 W1 W2 W3) |
| #295 | Minnesota Duluth | 3-1 | -1.7 | 49 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (L1 W1 W2 W3) |
| #305 | Winona State | 1-3 | -2.0 | 60 | -- | +0.00 | 1-3 over the last 4 (L1 L1 W2 L3) |
| #315 | Augustana (SD) | 3-1 | -2.4 | 53 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W1 L1 W2 W3) |
| #320 | Wayne State (NE) | 3-1 | -2.6 | 59 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W1 W1 L2 W3) |
| #322 | Northern State | 3-1 | -2.6 | 62 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W1 W1 W2 L3) |
| #323 | Sioux Falls | 3-1 | -2.6 | 59 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (L1 W1 W2 W3) |
| #335 | Minnesota St Moorhead | 2-2 | -3.2 | 41 | -- | +0.00 | 2-2 over the last 4 (W1 W1 L2 L3) |
| #336 | Jamestown | 0-4 | -3.2 | 1 | -- | +0.00 | 0-4 over the last 4 (L1 L1 L2 L3) |
| #339 | Minot State | 1-3 | -3.3 | 42 | -- | +0.00 | 1-3 over the last 4 (L1 L1 L2 W3) |
| #344 | Bemidji State | 1-3 | -3.4 | 37 | -- | +0.00 | 1-3 over the last 4 (L1 W1 L2 L3) |
| #384 | University of Mary | 1-3 | -4.7 | 43 | -- | +0.00 | 1-2 over the last 3 (L1 W2 L3) |
| #396 | Concordia St. Paul | 2-2 | -5.1 | 40 | -- | +0.00 | 2-2 over the last 4 (W1 L1 L2 W3) |
| #415 | Southwest Minnesota State | 1-3 | -6.7 | 12 | -- | +0.00 | 0-3 over the last 3 (L1 L2 L3) |