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DII CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON

Northern Sun

#34 overall#9 in DIIRR50 -1.9Upper strength -0.214 teamsTop 25 teams 0

THE LONG WAIT · 2025

The Mankato Standard

Minnesota State-Mankato has been the NSIC's dominant program for a decade: three DII national championships since 2018, including back-to-back titles in 2021-22 under Matt Entz. The Mavericks routinely appear in the DII top 10 and draw 10,000+ fans for home games in Mankato. The NSIC spans the upper Midwest from South Dakota to Minnesota to Wisconsin, with a culture of football seriousness that exceeds its conference's national profile. It is the DII answer to the SEC's model: one program sets the standard, and everyone else chases it.

Minnesota State won three DII titles but lost some continuity with coaching transitions. Augustana (SD), St. Cloud State, and Winona State all have the talent to challenge. Does the NSIC produce a new champion in 2026, or does Mankato's recruiting engine reassert itself in year one of any transition?

Division II14 teamsRace: Super Region

Northern Sun · 2026 Season Preview

Three Things to Watch

The StandardMinnesota State-Mankato: Three Titles, One Program

Minnesota State-Mankato won three DII national championships since 2018 under Matt Entz — including back-to-back titles in 2021-22. The Mavericks draw 10,000+ fans to home games in a city of 44,000 and recruit across the Upper Midwest with a staff that has produced more NFL players per decade than most FBS programs in their region. Their system survives coaching transitions because the program culture is embedded at every level of the organization.

The ChallengerAugustana (SD): The NSIC's Most Consistent Rival

Augustana University in Sioux Falls, South Dakota draws from the I-29 corridor between Sioux Falls and Fargo — a pipeline that produces linemen and defensive backs at a rate that exceeds its high school enrollment. They have won NSIC titles and appeared in Super Region championship games, competing with a physical style that matches the Upper Midwest's football identity. In any year Mankato struggles, Augustana is the program most likely to claim the conference title.

Wild CardWinona State's Warrior Identity

Winona State in Winona, Minnesota won four DII national championships between 2005 and 2012 — the previous NSIC dynasty before Mankato supplanted it. Their Warriors draw from the Mississippi River corridor and southeastern Minnesota, competing with a program culture built on winning national championships that predates Mankato's modern run. They are the NSIC's third-most decorated program historically and the one most likely to surprise if Mankato and Augustana both struggle in November.

Conference Standings · Northern Sun · 2025

Standings

# Team Conf Overall Pwr Last 5
1Minnesota Duluth10–110–2-0.7
2Augustana University (SD)8–29–2-0.9
3Minnesota State Moorhead7–38–3-0.7
4Minnesota State Mankato7–310–4+0.5
5Wayne State (NE)7–37–4-2.0
6Northern State7–47–4-1.8
7Sioux Falls6–47–4-2.2
8Winona State6–56–5-3.3
9Bemidji State4–64–7-2.3
10University of Mary3–74–7-1.2
11Minot State3–73–8-2.0
12Concordia University St Paul2–82–9-5.1
13Jamestown College1–91–9+1.3
14Southwest Minnesota State1–101–10-5.6

Conference record determines Super Region seeding. Power = neutral-field pts vs. all-level average.

Projected Standings · Northern Sun · 2025

Win Projection

Odds of winning at least N conference games from current power ratings — full slate played out, not locked to results. AVG = expected wins; W–L = most-likely record.

# Team W–L PWR AVG ≥10≥9≥8≥7≥6≥5≥4≥3≥2≥1
Favorites
1Jamestown College6–4+3.25.83133257799398
2Minnesota State Mankato6–4+2.35.63112853769198
3Minnesota State Moorhead5–5+1.25.227214468879699
Challengers
4Minnesota Duluth5–5+1.25.328224570889799
5Augustana University (SD)5–5+0.95.328224569879699
6Northern State5–5+0.05.217214368869699
7University of Mary5–5+0.75.116194166859699
The Field
8Wayne State (NE)5–5-0.15.116183964849599
9Sioux Falls5–5-0.35.016183863849599
10Minot State5–5-0.24.915153560819499
11Bemidji State5–5-0.44.814143257799399
Rebuilding
12Winona State5–5-1.54.613112853769298
13Concordia University St Paul4–6-3.34.2272042678697
14Southwest Minnesota State4–6-3.74.015173762849699

Conference Power · Division II

Where We Stand

Round-robin power = strength of schedule-adjusted conference average, points vs. all-level average team. Record = Northern Sun's record vs. that conference across all games this season.

Northern Sun reads like a weekly gauntlet. The middle of the league is strong enough that contenders do not get many breathers.

Conference Snapshot

RR50-1.9
Upper Strength-0.2
Median Power-1.9
Resume Pulse41.5
Avg ATS--
Wins vs Market+0.00
Top-to-Middle Gap3.2
Combined Record79-78

Northern Sun Team Board

The league stack, sorted by predictive strength. Power is shown as neutral-field points versus the all-level average team, while resume is shown on a 0-100 season score.

Rank Team Record Power Resume ATS Wins vs Market Recent Form
#281 Jamestown College 1-9 +1.3 6 -- +0.00 0-4 over the last 4 (L9 L10 L11 L12)
#295 Minnesota State Mankato 10-4 +0.5 78 -- +0.00 2-2 over the last 4 (L12 W13 W14 L15)
#321 Minnesota State Moorhead 8-3 -0.7 65 -- +0.00 3-1 over the last 4 (L9 W10 W11 W12)
#322 Minnesota Duluth 10-2 -0.7 82 -- +0.00 3-1 over the last 4 (W10 W11 W12 L13)
#329 Augustana University (SD) 9-2 -0.9 69 -- +0.00 2-2 over the last 4 (W9 W10 L11 L12)
#337 University of Mary 4-7 -1.2 27 -- +0.00 1-3 over the last 4 (L9 W10 L11 L12)
#346 Northern State 7-4 -1.8 59 -- +0.00 2-2 over the last 4 (W9 L10 L11 W12)
#348 Wayne State (NE) 7-4 -2.0 63 -- +0.00 4-0 over the last 4 (W9 W10 W11 W12)
#350 Minot State 3-8 -2.0 20 -- +0.00 1-3 over the last 4 (L9 L10 W11 L12)
#352 Sioux Falls 7-4 -2.2 49 -- +0.00 3-1 over the last 4 (W9 W10 L11 W12)
#355 Bemidji State 4-7 -2.3 22 -- +0.00 2-2 over the last 4 (W9 L10 L11 W12)
#378 Winona State 6-5 -3.3 27 -- +0.00 3-1 over the last 4 (W9 L10 W11 W12)
#423 Concordia University St Paul 2-9 -5.1 9 -- +0.00 1-3 over the last 4 (L9 L10 W11 L12)
#434 Southwest Minnesota State 1-10 -5.6 4 -- +0.00 0-4 over the last 4 (L9 L10 L11 L12)