DII CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON
Northern Sun
THE LONG WAIT · 2025
The Mankato Standard
Minnesota State-Mankato has been the NSIC's dominant program for a decade: three DII national championships since 2018, including back-to-back titles in 2021-22 under Matt Entz. The Mavericks routinely appear in the DII top 10 and draw 10,000+ fans for home games in Mankato. The NSIC spans the upper Midwest from South Dakota to Minnesota to Wisconsin, with a culture of football seriousness that exceeds its conference's national profile. It is the DII answer to the SEC's model: one program sets the standard, and everyone else chases it.
Minnesota State won three DII titles but lost some continuity with coaching transitions. Augustana (SD), St. Cloud State, and Winona State all have the talent to challenge. Does the NSIC produce a new champion in 2026, or does Mankato's recruiting engine reassert itself in year one of any transition?
Conference Standings · Northern Sun · 2025
Standings
| # | Team | Conf |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Duluth | 10–1 |
| 2 | Augustana University (SD) | 8–2 |
| 3 | Minnesota State Moorhead | 7–3 |
| 4 | Minnesota State Mankato | 7–3 |
| 5 | Wayne State (NE) | 7–3 |
| 6 | Northern State | 7–4 |
| 7 | Sioux Falls | 6–4 |
| 8 | Winona State | 6–5 |
| 9 | Bemidji State | 4–6 |
| 10 | University of Mary | 3–7 |
| 11 | Minot State | 3–7 |
| 12 | Concordia University St Paul | 2–8 |
| 13 | Jamestown College | 1–9 |
| 14 | Southwest Minnesota State | 1–10 |
Conference record determines Super Region seeding. Power = neutral-field pts vs. all-level average.
Projected Standings · Northern Sun · 2025
Win Projection
Odds of winning at least N conference games from current power ratings — full slate played out, not locked to results. AVG = expected wins; W–L = most-likely record.
| # | Team | W–L | PWR | AVG | ≥10 | ≥9 | ≥8 | ≥7 | ≥6 | ≥5 | ≥4 | ≥3 | ≥2 | ≥1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favorites | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | Jamestown College | 6–4 | +3.2 | 5.8 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 57 | 79 | 93 | 98 | ✓ | ✓ | |
| 2 | Minnesota State Mankato | 6–4 | +2.3 | 5.6 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 53 | 76 | 91 | 98 | ✓ | ✓ | |
| 3 | Minnesota State Moorhead | 5–5 | +1.2 | 5.2 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 68 | 87 | 96 | 99 | ✓ | |
| Challengers | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | Minnesota Duluth | 5–5 | +1.2 | 5.3 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 45 | 70 | 88 | 97 | 99 | ✓ | |
| 5 | Augustana University (SD) | 5–5 | +0.9 | 5.3 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 45 | 69 | 87 | 96 | 99 | ✓ | |
| 6 | Northern State | 5–5 | +0.0 | 5.2 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 68 | 86 | 96 | 99 | ✓ | |
| 7 | University of Mary | 5–5 | +0.7 | 5.1 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 66 | 85 | 96 | 99 | ✓ | |
| The Field | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | Wayne State (NE) | 5–5 | -0.1 | 5.1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 64 | 84 | 95 | 99 | ✓ | |
| 9 | Sioux Falls | 5–5 | -0.3 | 5.0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 63 | 84 | 95 | 99 | ✓ | |
| 10 | Minot State | 5–5 | -0.2 | 4.9 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 60 | 81 | 94 | 99 | ✓ | |
| 11 | Bemidji State | 5–5 | -0.4 | 4.8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 57 | 79 | 93 | 99 | ✓ | |
| Rebuilding | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | Winona State | 5–5 | -1.5 | 4.6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 53 | 76 | 92 | 98 | ✓ | |
| 13 | Concordia University St Paul | 4–6 | -3.3 | 4.2 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 67 | 86 | 97 | ✓ | ||
| 14 | Southwest Minnesota State | 4–6 | -3.7 | 4.0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 37 | 62 | 84 | 96 | 99 | ||
Conference Power · Division II
Where We Stand
| # | Conference | Avg Power |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | SIAC | |
| 2 | GLIAC | |
| 3 | CIAA | |
| 4 | Great Lakes | |
| 5 | Gulf South | |
| 6 | South Atlantic | |
| 7 | Northeast 10 | |
| 8 | Lone Star | |
| 9 | Northern SunYou are here | |
| 10 | Rocky Mountain | |
| 11 | Carolinas | |
| 12 | Great Midwest Athletic | |
| 13 | Mountain East | |
| 14 | Mid America | |
| 15 | Pennsylvania State Athletic | |
| 16 | Great American |
Round-robin power = strength of schedule-adjusted conference average, points vs. all-level average team. Record = Northern Sun's record vs. that conference across all games this season.
Northern Sun reads like a weekly gauntlet. The middle of the league is strong enough that contenders do not get many breathers.
League Drivers
Northern Sun Team Board
The league stack, sorted by predictive strength. Power is shown as neutral-field points versus the all-level average team, while resume is shown on a 0-100 season score.
| Rank | Team | Record | Power | Resume | ATS | Wins vs Market | Recent Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #281 | Jamestown College | 1-9 | +1.3 | 6 | -- | +0.00 | 0-4 over the last 4 (L9 L10 L11 L12) |
| #295 | Minnesota State Mankato | 10-4 | +0.5 | 78 | -- | +0.00 | 2-2 over the last 4 (L12 W13 W14 L15) |
| #321 | Minnesota State Moorhead | 8-3 | -0.7 | 65 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (L9 W10 W11 W12) |
| #322 | Minnesota Duluth | 10-2 | -0.7 | 82 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W10 W11 W12 L13) |
| #329 | Augustana University (SD) | 9-2 | -0.9 | 69 | -- | +0.00 | 2-2 over the last 4 (W9 W10 L11 L12) |
| #337 | University of Mary | 4-7 | -1.2 | 27 | -- | +0.00 | 1-3 over the last 4 (L9 W10 L11 L12) |
| #346 | Northern State | 7-4 | -1.8 | 59 | -- | +0.00 | 2-2 over the last 4 (W9 L10 L11 W12) |
| #348 | Wayne State (NE) | 7-4 | -2.0 | 63 | -- | +0.00 | 4-0 over the last 4 (W9 W10 W11 W12) |
| #350 | Minot State | 3-8 | -2.0 | 20 | -- | +0.00 | 1-3 over the last 4 (L9 L10 W11 L12) |
| #352 | Sioux Falls | 7-4 | -2.2 | 49 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W9 W10 L11 W12) |
| #355 | Bemidji State | 4-7 | -2.3 | 22 | -- | +0.00 | 2-2 over the last 4 (W9 L10 L11 W12) |
| #378 | Winona State | 6-5 | -3.3 | 27 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W9 L10 W11 W12) |
| #423 | Concordia University St Paul | 2-9 | -5.1 | 9 | -- | +0.00 | 1-3 over the last 4 (L9 L10 W11 L12) |
| #434 | Southwest Minnesota State | 1-10 | -5.6 | 4 | -- | +0.00 | 0-4 over the last 4 (L9 L10 L11 L12) |