DII CONFERENCE · 2026 SEASON

Northern Sun

#31 overall#6 in DIIRR50 -3.2Upper strength -2.014 teamsTop 25 teams 0

VERDICT BEGINS · 2026

The Mankato Standard

Minnesota State-Mankato has been the NSIC's dominant program for a decade: three DII national championships since 2018, including back-to-back titles in 2021-22 under Matt Entz. The Mavericks routinely appear in the DII top 10 and draw 10,000+ fans for home games in Mankato. The NSIC spans the upper Midwest from South Dakota to Minnesota to Wisconsin, with a culture of football seriousness that exceeds its conference's national profile. It is the DII answer to the SEC's model: one program sets the standard, and everyone else chases it.

Division II14 teamsRace: Super RegionLeader: Minnesota State

Northern Sun · 2026 Season

Three Things to Watch

The StandardMinnesota State-Mankato: Three Titles, One Program

Minnesota State-Mankato won three DII national championships since 2018 under Matt Entz — including back-to-back titles in 2021-22. The Mavericks draw 10,000+ fans to home games in a city of 44,000 and recruit across the Upper Midwest with a staff that has produced more NFL players per decade than most FBS programs in their region. Their system survives coaching transitions because the program culture is embedded at every level of the organization.

The Challenger

Augustana (SD): The NSIC's Most Consistent Rival

Augustana University in Sioux Falls, South Dakota draws from the I-29 corridor between Sioux Falls and Fargo — a pipeline that produces linemen and defensive backs at a rate that exceeds its high school enrollment. They have won NSIC titles and appeared in Super Region championship games, competing with a physical style that matches the Upper Midwest's football identity. In any year Mankato struggles, Augustana is the program most likely to claim the conference title.

Wild CardWinona State's Warrior Identity

Winona State in Winona, Minnesota won four DII national championships between 2005 and 2012 — the previous NSIC dynasty before Mankato supplanted it. Their Warriors draw from the Mississippi River corridor and southeastern Minnesota, competing with a program culture built on winning national championships that predates Mankato's modern run. They are the NSIC's third-most decorated program historically and the one most likely to surprise if Mankato and Augustana both struggle in November.

Conference Standings · Northern Sun · 2026

Standings

# Team Conf Overall Pwr Last 5
1Minnesota State3–04–0-0.7
2Minnesota Duluth3–03–1-1.7
3Sioux Falls3–03–1-2.6
4Augustana (SD)2–13–1-2.4
5Wayne State (NE)2–13–1-2.6
6Northern State2–13–1-2.6
7Minnesota St Moorhead1–22–2-3.2
8Concordia St. Paul1–22–2-5.1
9Winona State1–21–3-2.0
10Minot State1–21–3-3.3
11Bemidji State1–21–3-3.4
12University of Mary1–21–3-4.7
13Southwest Minnesota State0–31–3-6.7
14Jamestown0–30–4-3.2

Conference record determines Super Region seeding. Power = neutral-field pts vs. all-level average.

Projected Standings · Northern Sun · 2026

Win Projection

Odds of winning at least N conference games from current power ratings — full slate played out, not locked to results. AVG = expected wins; W–L = most-likely record.

# Team W–L PWR AVG ≥10≥9≥8≥7≥6≥5≥4≥3≥2≥1
Favorites
1Minnesota State6–4+2.55.73123054779298
2Minnesota Duluth5–5+1.55.429244872899799
3Winona State5–5+1.15.328224569879699
Challengers
4Sioux Falls5–5+0.55.217204267869699
5Augustana (SD)5–5+0.85.216204166869699
6Wayne State (NE)5–5+0.65.116194166859699
7Northern State5–5+0.65.116194166859699
The Field
8Minot State5–5-0.15.015173862839599
9Bemidji State5–5-0.25.015173762839599
10Jamestown5–5-0.15.015173762839599
11Minnesota St Moorhead5–5-0.14.915163661829499
Rebuilding
12University of Mary5–5-1.54.63112751759198
13Concordia St. Paul4–6-2.04.53102751759198
14Southwest Minnesota State4–6-3.64.116183863849699

Conference Power · Division II

Where We Stand

Round-robin power = strength of schedule-adjusted conference average, points vs. all-level average team. Record = Northern Sun's record vs. that conference across all games this season.

Minnesota State-Mankato has been the NSIC's dominant program for a decade: three DII national championships since 2018, including back-to-back titles in 2021-22 under Matt Entz. The Mavericks routinely appear in the DII top 10 and draw 10,000+ fans for home games in Mankato. The NSIC spans the upper Midwest from South Dakota to Minnesota to Wisconsin, with a culture of football seriousness that exceeds its conference's national profile. It is the DII answer to the SEC's model: one program sets the standard, and everyone else chases it.

Conference Snapshot

RR50-3.2
Upper Strength-2.0
Median Power-3.0
Resume Pulse46.1
Avg ATS--
Wins vs Market+0.00
Top-to-Middle Gap2.2
Combined Record28-28

Northern Sun Team Board

The league stack, sorted by predictive strength. Power is shown as neutral-field points versus the all-level average team, while resume is shown on a 0-100 season score.

Rank Team Record Power Resume ATS Wins vs Market Recent Form
#283 Minnesota State 4-0 -0.7 87 -- +0.00 4-0 over the last 4 (W1 W1 W2 W3)
#295 Minnesota Duluth 3-1 -1.7 49 -- +0.00 3-1 over the last 4 (L1 W1 W2 W3)
#305 Winona State 1-3 -2.0 60 -- +0.00 1-3 over the last 4 (L1 L1 W2 L3)
#315 Augustana (SD) 3-1 -2.4 53 -- +0.00 3-1 over the last 4 (W1 L1 W2 W3)
#320 Wayne State (NE) 3-1 -2.6 59 -- +0.00 3-1 over the last 4 (W1 W1 L2 W3)
#322 Northern State 3-1 -2.6 62 -- +0.00 3-1 over the last 4 (W1 W1 W2 L3)
#323 Sioux Falls 3-1 -2.6 59 -- +0.00 3-1 over the last 4 (L1 W1 W2 W3)
#335 Minnesota St Moorhead 2-2 -3.2 41 -- +0.00 2-2 over the last 4 (W1 W1 L2 L3)
#336 Jamestown 0-4 -3.2 1 -- +0.00 0-4 over the last 4 (L1 L1 L2 L3)
#339 Minot State 1-3 -3.3 42 -- +0.00 1-3 over the last 4 (L1 L1 L2 W3)
#344 Bemidji State 1-3 -3.4 37 -- +0.00 1-3 over the last 4 (L1 W1 L2 L3)
#384 University of Mary 1-3 -4.7 43 -- +0.00 1-2 over the last 3 (L1 W2 L3)
#396 Concordia St. Paul 2-2 -5.1 40 -- +0.00 2-2 over the last 4 (W1 L1 L2 W3)
#415 Southwest Minnesota State 1-3 -6.7 12 -- +0.00 0-3 over the last 3 (L1 L2 L3)