Next game
at Arkansas Monticello
Sat Oct 24 · 3 pm ET
Convoy Leslie Cotton Boll Stadium · series 5-0, won the last 5
Harding 98% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Harding
7-0Great American · First Security Stadium · 5,854 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 46-16 vs Henderson State
Our model gave Harding 75% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Every game left is at least 95%
Win out 93% · expect 3.9 of 4 more wins
Harding's chance to win each game left, from our model: Arkansas Monticello 98%, Oklahoma Baptist 96%, Southern Nazarene 99%, Arkansas Tech 98%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Arkansas Monticello · our model 98% Harding
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Harding · 2026 schedule and results7-0Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 53%.Our rank entering each game: #269 to #276
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | #269 | #402 | — | Northwestern (OK) | W 76-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 10 | #270 | #358 | — | @Southwestern Oklahoma State | W 37-14 | 2-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #270 | #360 | — | Southern Arkansas | W 52-21 | 3-0 | 3-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #271 | #308 | — | @Ouachita Baptist | W 28-27 | 4-0 | 4-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #274 | #346 | — | @East Central | W 42-21 | 5-0 | 5-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #275 | #342 | — | Southeastern Oklahoma State | W 38-24 | 6-0 | 6-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #276 | #321 | — | Henderson State | W 46-16 | 7-0 | 7-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #274 | #384 | @Arkansas Monticello | 3 pm ET98% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #274 | #377 | @Oklahoma Baptist | 3 pm ET96% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Southern Nazarene | 4 pm ET99% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Arkansas Tech | 3 pm ET |
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Harding, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Harding: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Harding has won seven straight.
9-1 over the last 10, and won the last seven.
Streak W7Last 5 · 5-0Last 10 · 9-1
Range of outcomes · Harding · 2026
Range of outcomes · Harding · 2026Harding’s most likely regular season is 11-0. 93% of outcomes land from 11-0 to 11-0.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
10 wins 7%; 11 wins 93%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor10-2Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base12-0Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling12-0Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 7-0
Game feel63shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 12 in the Great American
Heart rate1-0rarely closein one-score games (1 of 7)11th most one-score games of 12 in the Great American
Margin+28.0comfortableavg scoring margin1st best margin of 12 in the Great American
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Great American teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Harding enters the 2026 season at 7-0.
2026 Record7-0
Game day
The experience
Harding is the Great American program known for the bisons.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site