Next game
vs Harding
Sat Oct 24 · 3 pm ET
Convoy Leslie Cotton Boll Stadium · series 0-5, lost the last 5
Arkansas Monticello 2% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Arkansas Monticello
1-6Great American · Convoy Leslie Cotton Boll Stadium · 3,650 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 10-62 at Ouachita Baptist
Our model gave Arkansas Monticello 7% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Harding 2%
Win out <1% · expect 1.4 of 4 more wins
Arkansas Monticello's chance to win each game left, from our model: Harding 2%, Southwestern Oklahoma State 21%, Northwestern (OK) 69%, Southern Arkansas 48%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Harding · our model 2% Arkansas Monticello
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Arkansas Monticello · 2026 schedule and results1-6Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 59%.Our rank entering each game: #394 to #390
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | #394 | #364 | — | Southeastern Oklahoma State | L 12-21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | |
| 2 | Sep 10 | #398 | #340 | — | @East Central | L 37-42 | 0-2 | 0-2 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #394 | #332 | — | @Henderson State | L 24-35 | 0-3 | 0-3 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #390 | #362 | — | Arkansas Tech | W 30-27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #386 | #389 | — | @Southern Nazarene | L 34-40 | 1-4 | 1-4 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #385 | #388 | — | Oklahoma Baptist | L 20-34 | 1-5 | 1-5 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #390 | #307 | — | @Ouachita Baptist | L 10-62 | 1-6 | 1-6 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #384 | #274 | Harding | 3 pm ET2% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #383 | #353 | @Southwestern Oklahoma State | time TBA21% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Northwestern (OK) | 3 pm ET69% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Southern Arkansas (N) | 3 pm ET |
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Arkansas Monticello, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Arkansas Monticello: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Arkansas Monticello has won one of its last five.
1-9 over the last 10, and lost the last three.
Streak L3Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 1-9
Range of outcomes · Arkansas Monticello · 2026
Range of outcomes · Arkansas Monticello · 2026Arkansas Monticello’s most likely regular season is 2-9. 92% of outcomes land from 1-10 to 3-8.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 13%; 2 wins 43%; 3 wins 37%; 4 wins 7%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base2-10Mid-table finish.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-6
Game feel61even gamescombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 12 in the Great American
Heart rate1-2white-knucklein one-score games (3 of 7)2nd most one-score games of 12 in the Great American
Margin-13.4outgunnedavg scoring margin10th best margin of 12 in the Great American
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Great American teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Arkansas Monticello enters the 2026 season at 1-6.
2026 Record1-6
Game day
The experience
Arkansas Monticello is the Great American program known for the boll weevils.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site