Next game
at Henderson State
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Ruggles Field at Carpenter-Haygood Stadium · series 1-4
Arkansas Tech 15% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Arkansas Tech
3-4Great American · Thone Stadium at Buerkle Field · 6,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 37-27 vs Southern Arkansas
Our model gave Arkansas Tech 63% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Harding 2%
Win out <1% · expect 1.3 of 4 more wins
Arkansas Tech's chance to win each game left, from our model: Henderson State 15%, Southern Nazarene 60%, Oklahoma Baptist 56%, Harding 2%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Henderson State · our model 15% Arkansas Tech
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Arkansas Tech · 2026 schedule and results3-4Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 43%.Our rank entering each game: #350 to #362
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | #350 | #353 | — | Southwestern Oklahoma State | W 26-20 | 1-0 | 1-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 10 | #357 | #400 | — | @Northwestern (OK) | W 34-29 | 2-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #359 | #306 | — | Ouachita Baptist | L 17-34 | 2-1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #362 | #390 | — | @Arkansas Monticello | L 27-30 | 2-2 | 2-2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #363 | #359 | — | @Southeastern Oklahoma State | L 10-35 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #366 | #339 | — | East Central | L 56-58 | 2-4 | 2-4 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #362 | #363 | — | Southern Arkansas | W 37-27 | 3-4 | 3-4 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #363 | #326 | @Henderson State | 2 pm ET15% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #363 | #379 | @Southern Nazarene | 3 pm ET60% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Oklahoma Baptist | 3 pm ET56% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Harding | 3 pm ET |
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Arkansas Tech, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Arkansas Tech: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Arkansas Tech has won one of its last five.
4-6 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 4-6
Range of outcomes · Arkansas Tech · 2026
Range of outcomes · Arkansas Tech · 2026Arkansas Tech’s most likely regular season is 4-7. 94% of outcomes land from 3-8 to 5-6.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
3 wins 15%; 4 wins 44%; 5 wins 36%; 6 wins 5%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor3-9Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base5-7Mid-table finish.
Ceiling8-4Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-4
Game feel63shootoutscombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 12 in the Great American
Heart rate2-2white-knucklein one-score games (4 of 7)1st most one-score games of 12 in the Great American
Margin-3.7competitiveavg scoring margin7th best margin of 12 in the Great American
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Great American teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Arkansas Tech is the Wonder Boys—a 100-year-old identity born from a 13-0 season in 1920—a small D2 program that plays for pride in Russellville, not for national titles.
Title DroughtSince 1920 · 106 yrs
Arkansas Tech has no chip. The Wonder Boys play because they love the game and because the name means something in Russellville. That's the only fuel they need.
Game day
The experience
Arkansas Tech is the Wonder Boys, a 100-year-old identity born from a 13-0 season in 1920, a small D2 program that plays for pride in Russellville, not for national titles.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site