Next game
vs Southwestern Oklahoma State
Sat Oct 24 · 4 pm ET
Koi Ishto Stadium · series 3-2, lost the last 2
East Central 67% to win · our ratings after 7 games
East Central
6-1Great American · Koi Ishto Stadium · 5,000 seats
Last game · Thu Oct 15
W 17-10 at Oklahoma Baptist
Our model gave East Central 57% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Southeastern Oklahoma State 41%, Henderson State 43%, Southwestern Oklahoma State 67%
Win out 9% · expect 2.3 of 4 more wins
East Central's chance to win each game left, from our model: Southwestern Oklahoma State 67%, Southern Arkansas 78%, Henderson State 43%, Southeastern Oklahoma State 41%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Southwestern Oklahoma State · our model 67% East Central
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
East Central · 2026 schedule and results6-1Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 41%.Our rank entering each game: #339 to #343
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | #339 | #302 | — | @Ouachita Baptist | W 27-17 | 1-0 | 1-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 10 | #340 | #398 | — | Arkansas Monticello | W 42-37 | 2-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #348 | #382 | — | @Southern Nazarene | W 35-24 | 3-0 | 3-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #347 | #397 | — | Northwestern (OK) | W 42-24 | 4-0 | 4-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #346 | #274 | — | Harding | L 21-42 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #339 | #366 | — | @Arkansas Tech | W 58-56 | 5-1 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 15 | #343 | #379 | — | @Oklahoma Baptist | W 17-10 | 6-1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #341 | #353 | Southwestern Oklahoma State | 4 pm ET67% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #341 | #369 | @Southern Arkansas | 3 pm ET78% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Henderson State | 3 pm ET43% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Southeastern Oklahoma State | 3 pm ET |
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for East Central, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for East Central: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
East Central has won four of its last five.
7-3 over the last 10, and won the last two.
Streak W2Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 7-3
Range of outcomes · East Central · 2026
Range of outcomes · East Central · 2026East Central’s most likely regular season is 8-3. 88% of outcomes land from 7-4 to 9-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
6 wins 3%; 7 wins 17%; 8 wins 39%; 9 wins 32%; 10 wins 9%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor8-4Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base10-2Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling11-1Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 6-1
Game feel65shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 12 in the Great American
Heart rate3-0white-knucklein one-score games (3 of 7)3rd most one-score games of 12 in the Great American
Margin+4.6competitiveavg scoring margin5th best margin of 12 in the Great American
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Great American teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
East Central enters the 2026 season at 6-1.
2026 Record6-1
Game day
The experience
East Central is the Great American program known for the tigers.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site